Short Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1310.23 SUI at 0.668$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6529 (2.29 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6743 (0.91 %)
07 Aug 2026 at 11:07:05
hyperliquid
SUI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
07 Aug 2026 11:07
→ 12:10
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.6682$
Qty 1310.2253 SUI
Size 875.5057$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6529 (+2.29%)
TP $ 20.05$
SL 0.6743 (-0.91%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-0.91%
/ -7.99$
MAE -1.79%
MFE +0.40%
0.4R
expires
07 Aug 23:06
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 61666)
#32 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 11:00
score du 07/08/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2802
Quality Score
0.499
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 11:00
07/08 11:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#32 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#32 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -2.46×ATR |
| 1d | near | -3.61×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (-1) 07/08 11:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 07/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) 07/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 07/08 11:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4985
Score SMA
0.4970
Rank
#32
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2802
Rank Norm SMA
0.4417
Calculé le
07/08/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4258 | r1h: -0.482% · r4h: -0.713% · r1d: -0.97% · r3d: -3.27% · ema21_slope: -0.0362% · dist_ema21: -0.803% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3959 | rs_1h: -0.596% · rs_4h: -1.021% · rs_1d: -1.46% · rs_3d: -4.77% · beta_24h: 0.680 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4932 | rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: 0.419 · trend: 23.73% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4875 | ADX: 24.5 (weak) · Chop: 64.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.653% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.913%
(0.0061)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.823% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.958% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.398% | 0.4R | -0.958% | 1.1R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.398% | 0.4R | -0.958% | 1.1R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.398% | 0.4R | -1.791% | 2.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.398% | 0.4R | -5.579% | 6.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.34
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -3.6ATR | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -2.70% | -0.75 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 32% | mid | near -2.5ATR | — | 0.70 | bull_high | +1.19% | -0.47 | 07/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_medium_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.74 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.22% | -0.19 | 07/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_low |
33%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.66% | -0.10 | 07/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 34b | — | 4.232×ATR | p63 | -0.419×ATR | p45 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 17b | — | 3.541×ATR | p66 | -0.568×ATR | p64 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.216×ATR | p27 | -0.864×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.317×ATR | p33 | -0.52×ATR | p53 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8303
- reason: down_bo width=2.14×ATR dur=30b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.67431582
- tp_price: 0.65294545
- atr:
- score: 0.83026096947062
- expires_at: 2026-08-08T03:06:58.252046
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83026096947062
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0829
- obi_top10 : 0.007
- micro_price : 0.66940308
- spread_pct : 0.014939
- mid_price : 0.66945
- bid_wall_price : 0.668
- bid_wall_size : 1269625.42
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.67
- ask_wall_size : 1095157.38
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0312
- obi_top5_std : 0.05
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6985
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.6786
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.66915
- balance_zone_mid:
0.673875
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786010400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786114800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1437
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
30
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8303
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786111200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.66915
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.2132
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
3
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00440821 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
30
inside_close_ratio
0.9
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2132
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:07 | 0.66821000 | +0.001% |
| 2 | 11:13 | 0.66821000 | +0.001% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6985ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.083
avg -0.031
± 0.050
OBI Top 10
0.007
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.6695
Micro Price
0.6694
Spread
0.0149%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.6680
Size
1,269,625.42
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.6700
Size
1,095,157.38
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6682 | 0.6743 | 0.6529 | 2.51 | 0.8173 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6682
- Stop Loss: 0.6743
- Take Profit: 0.6529
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6743 - 0.6682 = 0.0061
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6682 - 0.6529 = 0.0153
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0153 / 0.0061 = 2.5082
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 875.5057 | 100 | 1310.2253 | 9.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0061
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0061 = 1311.48
Taille de position USD = 1311.48 x 0.6682 = 876.33
Donc, tu peux acheter 1311.48 avec un stoploss a 0.6743
Avec un position size USD de 876.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1311.48 x 0.0061 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1311.48 x 0.0153 = 20.07
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.07$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1311.48
- Taille de position USD 876.33
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.07
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5082
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.29 % | 20.05 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.91 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.91 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9578 % | 104.92 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6682 | 0.6743 | 0.6529 | 2.51 | 0.8173 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6682
- Stop Loss: 0.6743
- Take Profit: 0.6529
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6743 - 0.6682 = 0.0061
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6682 - 0.6529 = 0.0153
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0153 / 0.0061 = 2.5082
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.913%
(0.0061)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.823% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.958% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.398% | 0.4R | -0.958% | 1.1R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.398% | 0.4R | -0.958% | 1.1R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.398% | 0.4R | -1.791% | 2.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.398% | 0.4R | -5.579% | 6.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Commentaires
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