Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 323.72 LIT at 2.412$ per unit. Take profit: 2.461 (2.05 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3869 (1.02 %)
Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 323.72 LIT at 2.412$ per unit. Take profit: 2.461 (2.05 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3869 (1.02 %)
Position
Entry 2.4116$
Qty 323.7153 LIT
Size 780.6719$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 2.461 (+2.05%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 2.3869 (-1.02%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9747
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 07/08 11:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.286866 15m : 0.300394 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 07/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 07/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8930 | r1h: 0.377% · r4h: 3.293% · r1d: 10.77% · r3d: 20.41% · ema21_slope: 0.2967% · dist_ema21: 4.665% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8231 | rs_1h: 0.263% · rs_4h: 2.985% · rs_1d: 10.29% · rs_3d: 18.91% · beta_24h: 1.138 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6137 | rvol_20: 1.53× · zscore_50: 1.347 · trend: 69.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7866 | ADX: 44.1 (trend) · Chop: 48.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.692% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.589% | 0.6R | -1.012% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.589% | 0.6R | -2.704% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.589% | 0.6R | -5.171% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.589% | 0.6R | -5.171% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.589% | 0.6R | -5.399% | 5.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | — | bear_high | -2.70% | +0.52 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.35 | bull_high | +1.19% | +0.95 | 07/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.46 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.22% | +0.60 | 07/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.39 | range_low | +0.74% | +0.34 | 07/08 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 2.389×ATR | p0 | +1.145×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 20b | — | 6.462×ATR | p97 | +1.778×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 3.253×ATR | p67 | +1.371×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 4.444×ATR | p83 | +0.891×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64863.5
0.00111707
64936
0.286866
64680.5
0.00395012
64936
0.300394
64196.9
0.0114973
64935
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2.4982
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0.6204
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0.1539
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3.297
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0.1
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0.492
0.3735
4.5946
0.6
1.7439
3.8452
3.297
0.5604
0.3311
0.84
0.1965
0.5728
0.4741
0.8835
0.8693
-1.6219
10.7902
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:16 | 2.41160000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:22 | 2.41160000 | 0% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 10:00:00 | 2.3854 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 10:10:00 | 2.3854 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 10:35:00 | 2.3716 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 11:20:00 | 2.4232 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 11:50:00 | 2.3845 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 13:05:00 | 2.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 13:25:00 | 2.4206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 13:50:00 | 2.4778 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:20:00 | 2.4982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 15:15:00 | 2.4091 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 18:15:00 | 2.3313 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 20:15:00 | 2.2522 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 00:00:00 | 2.4194 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 01:45:00 | 2.4311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 2.3718 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 05:30:00 | 2.3409 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 2.3907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 08:15:00 | 2.3448 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 14:15:00 | 2.4982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 15:15:00 | 2.4091 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 2.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 2.1219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 2.0347 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 2.1566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 15:00:00 | 2.075 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 2.2131 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 04:00:00 | 2.1291 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 01:00:00 | 2.4311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 2.3409 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 2.4982 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4116 | 2.3869 | 2.461 | 2 | 4.753 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3869 - 2.4116 = -0.0247
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.4116 - 2.461 = -0.0494
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0494 / -0.0247 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 780.6719 | 100 | 323.7153 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0247 = -323.89
Taille de position USD = -323.89 x 2.4116 = -781.09
Donc, tu peux acheter -323.89 avec un stoploss a 2.3869
Avec un position size USD de -781.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -323.89 x -0.0247 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -323.89 x -0.0494 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.05 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.02 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.02 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2855 % | 125.51 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4116 | 2.3869 | 2.461 | 2 | 4.753 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3869 - 2.4116 = -0.0247
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.4116 - 2.461 = -0.0494
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0494 / -0.0247 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.589% | 0.6R | -1.012% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.589% | 0.6R | -2.704% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.589% | 0.6R | -5.171% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.589% | 0.6R | -5.171% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.589% | 0.6R | -5.399% | 5.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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