Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 31.16 HYPE at 55.558$ per unit. Take profit: 56.0714 (0.92 %) & Stop Loss: 55.3013 (0.46 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 31.16 HYPE at 55.558$ per unit. Take profit: 56.0714 (0.92 %) & Stop Loss: 55.3013 (0.46 %)
Position
Entry 55.558$
Qty 31.1618 HYPE
Size 1731.2864$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 56.0714 (+0.92%)
TP $ 16$
SL 55.3013 (-0.46%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7451
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.55×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.10×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.55×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 07/08 11:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.481496 15m : 0.574182 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 07/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 07/08 11:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4550 | r1h: -0.350% · r4h: -1.343% · r1d: 0.30% · r3d: 1.19% · ema21_slope: 0.0227% · dist_ema21: -0.120% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4414 | rs_1h: -0.464% · rs_4h: -1.652% · rs_1d: -0.18% · rs_3d: -0.31% · beta_24h: 1.199 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8547 | rvol_20: 2.88× · zscore_50: 1.839 · trend: 63.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6000 | ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 45.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.872% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.551% | 1.2R | -0.896% | 1.9R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.551% | 1.2R | -3.778% | 8.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.551% | 1.2R | -3.778% | 8.2R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.551% | 1.2R | -3.778% | 8.2R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.551% | 1.2R | -3.778% | 8.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
30%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.47 | bear_high | -2.70% | -0.55 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.58 | bull_high | +1.32% | -0.00 | 07/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.57 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.01% | -0.14 | 07/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
31%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early | — | — | 0.50 | range_low | +0.50% | -0.18 | 07/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 31b | — | 5.372×ATR | p76 | +0.453×ATR | p45 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.138×ATR | p0 | -0.203×ATR | p20 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.814×ATR | p57 | -0.962×ATR | p75 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.665×ATR | p0 | -0.691×ATR | p56 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64890.1
0.00160103
64994
0.481496
64683.3
0.00528191
65025
0.574182
64199.4
0.0134206
65061
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
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57.002
195
0.5195
0.6503
0.3231
0.2219
0.4058
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0.3228
0.486
0.6479
0.4064
0.568
0.6654
0.0392
0.0249
0.3333
-0.7221
-0.5392
0.6
0.4
1
4
1
0.5562
0.6718
4.3248
0.5
1.3059
4.1506
-0.5392
0.4784
0.3369
0.44
-0.0864
0.4613
0.5626
0
0.6654
-4.7064
9.3583
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 09:25:00 | 56.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 11:20:00 | 56.888 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 11:50:00 | 56.628 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 11:55:00 | 57.002 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 13:00:00 | 56.445 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 13:20:00 | 56.842 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:10:00 | 55.616 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 55.526 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 15:30:00 | 55.847 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 15:35:00 | 55.555 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 16:00:00 | 55.283 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:00:00 | 56.533 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 18:30:00 | 55.911 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 21:15:00 | 55.765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 22:30:00 | 56.308 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 00:30:00 | 55.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 05:45:00 | 55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:15:00 | 55.723 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 11:45:00 | 57.002 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 55.526 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 13:00:00 | 55.792 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 54.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 08:00:00 | 57.862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 56.517 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 17:00:00 | 57.961 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 54.614 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:00:00 | 56.533 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 11:00:00 | 57.002 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 55.526 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.558 | 55.3013 | 56.0714 | 2 | 84.523 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 55.3013 - 55.558 = -0.2567
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 55.558 - 56.0714 = -0.5134
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.5134 / -0.2567 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1731.2864 | 100 | 31.1618 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.2567 = -31.16
Taille de position USD = -31.16 x 55.558 = -1731.19
Donc, tu peux acheter -31.16 avec un stoploss a 55.3013
Avec un position size USD de -1731.19$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -31.16 x -0.2567 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -31.16 x -0.5134 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.92 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.46 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5292 % | 114.55 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.558 | 55.3013 | 56.0714 | 2 | 84.523 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 55.3013 - 55.558 = -0.2567
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 55.558 - 56.0714 = -0.5134
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.5134 / -0.2567 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.551% | 1.2R | -0.896% | 1.9R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.551% | 1.2R | -3.778% | 8.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.551% | 1.2R | -3.778% | 8.2R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.551% | 1.2R | -3.778% | 8.2R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.551% | 1.2R | -3.778% | 8.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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