Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 80.6 LTC at 45.748$ per unit. Take profit: 45.9465 (0.43 %) & Stop Loss: 45.6487 (0.22 %)
Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 80.6 LTC at 45.748$ per unit. Take profit: 45.9465 (0.43 %) & Stop Loss: 45.6487 (0.22 %)
Position
Entry 45.748$
Qty 80.5963 LTC
Size 3687.1199$ (margin 100$) (leverage 37)
Risk Setup
TP 45.9465 (+0.43%)
TP $ 16$
SL 45.6487 (-0.22%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6754
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.03×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.30×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.30×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 07/08 13:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.447998 15m : 0.631945 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 07/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 07/08 12:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5409 | r1h: -0.022% · r4h: 0.308% · r1d: 0.44% · r3d: 2.98% · ema21_slope: 0.0412% · dist_ema21: 0.622% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5261 | rs_1h: -0.100% · rs_4h: 0.809% · rs_1d: 0.13% · rs_3d: 1.41% · beta_24h: 0.449 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6716 | rvol_20: 2.46× · zscore_50: 0.245 · trend: 56.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6162 | ADX: 24.3 (weak) · Chop: 48.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.452% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.057% | 0.3R | -0.708% | 3.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.057% | 0.3R | -0.824% | 3.8R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.057% | 0.3R | -2.162% | 10.0R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.057% | 0.3R | -2.162% | 10.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.057% | 0.3R | -2.162% | 10.0R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -2.70% | -0.30 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bull_high | +1.38% | +0.21 | 07/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.59 | bull_low | +0.98% | +0.01 | 07/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_low |
46%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.36% | +0.04 | 07/08 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 1.921×ATR | p0 | +0.441×ATR | p52 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 26b | — | 5.125×ATR | p86 | +1.056×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 1.642×ATR | p2 | +0.781×ATR | p69 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 3.196×ATR | p53 | +0.676×ATR | p61 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64911.7
-0.00287744
64725
0.447998
64688.4
0.00056555
64725
0.631945
64386.6
0.00524019
64724
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45.59
197
0.7823
0.4873
0.4475
0.2142
0.6383
0.5775
0.4468
0.7789
0.7857
0.5614
0.5489
0.8647
0.0827
0.0782
1
0.5761
1.7221
0.8
0.2
1
5
1
0.5717
0.3568
3.3563
0.55
0.5775
1.9383
1.7221
0.5039
0.3781
0.62
-0.0159
0.4378
0.4121
0.924
0.8647
-1.3585
8.6843
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:12 | 45.74800000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:24 | 45.72200000 | -0.057% |
| 3 | 13:31 | 45.68700000 | -0.133% |
| 4 | 13:36 | 45.63500000 | -0.247% |
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 45.675 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:30:00 | 45.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 13:25:00 | 45.707 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 13:40:00 | 45.831 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:10:00 | 45.595 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 14:35:00 | 45.788 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 45.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 15:30:00 | 46.039 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:05:00 | 46.051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:10:00 | 45.748 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 21:30:00 | 45.648 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:15:00 | 45.332 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:15:00 | 45.695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:45:00 | 45.312 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 09:30:00 | 45.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 45.675 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:30:00 | 45.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 45.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 46.051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 45.748 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 04:00:00 | 44.702 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:00:00 | 44.709 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 45.426 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 04:00:00 | 44.869 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 44.782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:00:00 | 45.826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 45.695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 45.312 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 45.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 46.051 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.748 | 45.6487 | 45.9465 | 2 | 52.731 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.6487 - 45.748 = -0.099299999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.748 - 45.9465 = -0.1985
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1985 / -0.099299999999999 = 1.999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3687.1199 | 100 | 80.5963 | 37.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.099299999999999 = -80.56
Taille de position USD = -80.56 x 45.748 = -3685.46
Donc, tu peux acheter -80.56 avec un stoploss a 45.6487
Avec un position size USD de -3685.46$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -80.56 x -0.099299999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -80.56 x -0.1985 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.43 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.22 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.247 % | 113.77 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.748 | 45.6487 | 45.9465 | 2 | 52.731 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.6487 - 45.748 = -0.099299999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.748 - 45.9465 = -0.1985
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1985 / -0.099299999999999 = 1.999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.057% | 0.3R | -0.708% | 3.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.057% | 0.3R | -0.824% | 3.8R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.057% | 0.3R | -2.162% | 10.0R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.057% | 0.3R | -2.162% | 10.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.057% | 0.3R | -2.162% | 10.0R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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