Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.062 BTC at 64616$ per unit. Take profit: 64874.1481 (0.4 %) & Stop Loss: 64486.926 (0.2 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.062 BTC at 64616$ per unit. Take profit: 64874.1481 (0.4 %) & Stop Loss: 64486.926 (0.2 %)
Position
Entry 64616$
Qty 0.06198 BTC
Size 4004.8953$ (margin 100$) (leverage 40)
Risk Setup
TP 64874.1481 (+0.4%)
TP $ 16$
SL 64486.926 (-0.2%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7852
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.57×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.48×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.59×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 07/08 13:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 07/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 13:00 Score : -1 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5174 | r1h: 0.079% · r4h: -0.501% · r1d: 0.31% · r3d: 1.57% · ema21_slope: 0.0354% · dist_ema21: 0.353% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2257 | rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.839 · trend: 11.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7114 | ADX: 25.4 (trend) · Chop: 36.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.398% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.362% | 1.8R | -0.204% | 1.0R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.478% | 2.4R | -0.204% | 1.0R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.593% | 3.0R | -0.204% | 1.0R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.692% | 3.5R | -0.204% | 1.0R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.692% | 3.5R | -0.204% | 1.0R | 3.4× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near -1.6ATR | — | — | — | — | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | — | — | — | — | 07/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | — | — | — | — | 07/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | — | — | — | — | 07/08 13:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 17b | — | 1.177×ATR | p0 | +0.652×ATR | p61 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 26b | — | 5.309×ATR | p87 | +0.631×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.697×ATR | p52 | -0.447×ATR | p46 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 3.635×ATR | p69 | -0.953×ATR | p75 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Array
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[0] => 2026-08-05 13:00:00
[1] => 63850
[2] => L
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[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 20:00:00
[1] => 64986
[2] => H
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[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 02:00:00
[1] => 64425
[2] => L
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[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 08:00:00
[1] => 64967
[2] => H
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[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 13:00:00
[1] => 64156
[2] => L
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[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 15:00:00
[1] => 64945
[2] => H
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[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 02:00:00
[1] => 64518
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 04:00:00
[1] => 64137
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 12:00:00
[1] => 65356
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 17:00:00
[1] => 64651
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0511659220271
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.027841796723949
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.090470371688
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
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[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
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[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 20:00:00
[1] => 64505
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 23:45:00
[1] => 64171
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 02:00:00
[1] => 64227
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 02:15:00
[1] => 64518
[2] => H
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[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 04:45:00
[1] => 64137
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 06:15:00
[1] => 64444
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 09:30:00
[1] => 64925
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 12:45:00
[1] => 65356
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 14:00:00
[1] => 64746
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 17:15:00
[1] => 64621
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0419854336251
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.08356416644744
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 18
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.19343557048018
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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Array
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[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
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[0] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-07 11:50:00
[1] => 64964
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 12:30:00
[1] => 64936
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 12:55:00
[1] => 65356
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 13:45:00
[1] => 65297
[2] => H
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[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 14:10:00
[1] => 64746
[2] => L
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[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 14:35:00
[1] => 65237
[2] => H
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[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 15:00:00
[1] => 64858
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 15:30:00
[1] => 65103
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 16:10:00
[1] => 65044
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 17:20:00
[1] => 64601
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.65801611217022
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.023219454807201
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.68574789863934
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
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65356
194
0.6384
0.643
0.3318
0.2098
0.4317
1
0.1327
0.5906
0.6926
0.8876
0.5744
0.7774
0.0681
0.0504
0.6667
-0.0782
0.5009
0.65
0.35
1
5
1
0.5804
0.5178
5.0778
0.6
3.1995
5.8262
0.5009
0
0.3553
0.84
0.2754
0.4475
0.4278
0.6652
0.7774
-2.5568
8.9282
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:24 | 64616.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:30 | 64565.00000000 | -0.079% |
| 3 | 13:36 | 64543.00000000 | -0.113% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 11:50:00 | 64964 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:30:00 | 64936 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:55:00 | 65356 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 13:45:00 | 65297 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:10:00 | 64746 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 14:35:00 | 65237 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 64858 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 15:30:00 | 65103 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:10:00 | 65044 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:20:00 | 64601 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 20:00:00 | 64505 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:45:00 | 64171 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 64227 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:15:00 | 64518 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:45:00 | 64137 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:15:00 | 64444 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 09:30:00 | 64925 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 12:45:00 | 65356 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 64746 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:15:00 | 64621 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 63850 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:00:00 | 64986 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 64425 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 08:00:00 | 64967 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 64156 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 64945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 64518 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 64137 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 65356 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 64651 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64616 | 64486.926 | 64874.1481 | 2 | 79591 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64486.926 - 64616 = -129.074
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64616 - 64874.1481 = -258.1481
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -258.1481 / -129.074 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4004.8953 | 100 | 0.06198 | 40.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -129.074 = -0.06
Taille de position USD = -0.06 x 64616 = -3876.96
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.06 avec un stoploss a 64486.926
Avec un position size USD de -3876.96$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.06 x -129.074 = 7.74
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.74$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.06 x -258.1481 = 15.49
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.49$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.20 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2043 % | 102.25 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64616 | 64486.926 | 64874.1481 | 2 | 79591 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64486.926 - 64616 = -129.074
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64616 - 64874.1481 = -258.1481
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -258.1481 / -129.074 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64874.1481
[entry_price] => 64616
[stop_loss] => 64474.0186
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-07 19:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64874.1481
[entry_price] => 64616
[stop_loss] => 64461.1112
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-07 19:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
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[take_profit] => 64874.1481
[entry_price] => 64616
[stop_loss] => 64448.2038
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-07 19:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64874.1481
[entry_price] => 64616
[stop_loss] => 64422.389
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-07 19:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.362% | 1.8R | -0.204% | 1.0R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.478% | 2.4R | -0.204% | 1.0R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.593% | 3.0R | -0.204% | 1.0R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.692% | 3.5R | -0.204% | 1.0R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.692% | 3.5R | -0.204% | 1.0R | 3.4× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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