Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 489.55 LIT at 2.327$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3594 (1.41 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3104 (0.7 %)
Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 489.55 LIT at 2.327$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3594 (1.41 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3104 (0.7 %)
Position
Entry 2.3267$
Qty 489.5541 LIT
Size 1139.0456$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 2.3594 (+1.41%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 2.3104 (-0.7%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9604
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.27×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.44×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 07/08 16:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.206078 15m : 0.338342 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 07/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 07/08 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6566 | r1h: 0.520% · r4h: -1.424% · r1d: 4.29% · r3d: 11.89% · ema21_slope: 0.1727% · dist_ema21: -0.060% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6073 | rs_1h: 0.139% · rs_4h: -1.517% · rs_1d: 3.48% · rs_3d: 10.75% · beta_24h: 2.244 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2613 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.696 · trend: 30.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7780 | ADX: 33.9 (trend) · Chop: 38.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.916% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.310% | 0.4R | -0.559% | 0.8R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.310% | 0.4R | -1.109% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.310% | 0.4R | -1.681% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.423% | 2.0R | -1.947% | 2.8R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.480% | 3.5R | -1.947% | 2.8R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | — | bear_high | -3.19% | +0.32 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.35 | bull_high | +1.06% | +0.84 | 07/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bull_low | +0.95% | -0.16 | 07/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | 0.35 | range_low | +0.39% | -0.37 | 07/08 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 1.922×ATR | p0 | +0.771×ATR | p75 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.723×ATR | p3 | +0.46×ATR | p48 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.687×ATR | p8 | -0.252×ATR | p21 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 3.165×ATR | p48 | -0.053×ATR | p9 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64893.2
0.000797668
64945
0.206078
64677.5
0.00413549
64945
0.338342
64406.3
0.0083791
64946
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0.5836
0.6828
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7.8771
1
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Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:09 | 2.32670000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:15 | 2.32330000 | -0.146% |
| 3 | 16:34 | 2.31970000 | -0.301% |
| 4 | 16:39 | 2.31960000 | -0.305% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 13:25:00 | 2.4206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 13:50:00 | 2.4778 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:20:00 | 2.4982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 15:15:00 | 2.3998 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:05:00 | 2.3751 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:50:00 | 2.2869 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 18:35:00 | 2.3203 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 19:15:00 | 2.3725 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 20:00:00 | 2.3639 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 20:05:00 | 2.3252 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 00:00:00 | 2.4194 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 01:45:00 | 2.4311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 2.3718 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 05:30:00 | 2.3409 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 2.3907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 08:15:00 | 2.3448 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 14:15:00 | 2.4982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:45:00 | 2.2869 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 19:15:00 | 2.3725 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 20:00:00 | 2.3252 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 2.1219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 2.0347 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 2.1566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 15:00:00 | 2.075 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 2.2131 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 04:00:00 | 2.1291 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 01:00:00 | 2.4311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 2.3409 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 2.4982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 2.2869 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3267 | 2.3104 | 2.3594 | 2.01 | 4.3744 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3104 - 2.3267 = -0.0163
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3267 - 2.3594 = -0.0327
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0327 / -0.0163 = 2.0061
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1139.0456 | 100 | 489.5541 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0163 = -490.8
Taille de position USD = -490.8 x 2.3267 = -1141.94
Donc, tu peux acheter -490.8 avec un stoploss a 2.3104
Avec un position size USD de -1141.94$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -490.8 x -0.0163 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -490.8 x -0.0327 = 16.05
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.05$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.41 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.7 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -0.70 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8037 % | 114.72 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3267 | 2.3104 | 2.3594 | 2.01 | 4.3744 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3104 - 2.3267 = -0.0163
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3267 - 2.3594 = -0.0327
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0327 / -0.0163 = 2.0061
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.310% | 0.4R | -0.559% | 0.8R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.310% | 0.4R | -1.109% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.310% | 0.4R | -1.681% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.423% | 2.0R | -1.947% | 2.8R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.480% | 3.5R | -1.947% | 2.8R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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