Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 6541.51 NIL at 0.0382$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04063 (6.42 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03696 (3.2 %)
Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 6541.51 NIL at 0.0382$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04063 (6.42 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03696 (3.2 %)
Position
Entry 0.03818$
Qty 6541.5059 NIL
Size 249.7743$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04063 (+6.42%)
TP $ 16.03$
SL 0.03696 (-3.2%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8328
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.95×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 07/08 16:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.017639 15m : 0.079737 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 07/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 07/08 16:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 1.0000 | r1h: 2.190% · r4h: 12.621% · r1d: 28.38% · r3d: 25.87% · ema21_slope: 0.7614% · dist_ema21: 17.288% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9504 | rs_1h: 1.810% · rs_4h: 12.529% · rs_1d: 27.58% · rs_3d: 24.73% · beta_24h: 1.052 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.60× · zscore_50: 4.128 · trend: 290.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8162 | ADX: 37.9 (trend) · Chop: 2.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9814 | ATR%: 3.056% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.962% | 0.6R | -3.332% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.962% | 0.6R | -3.332% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.962% | 0.6R | -4.995% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.962% | 0.6R | -7.234% | 2.3R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.962% | 0.6R | -10.272% | 3.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
71%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +1.32% | +0.78 | 07/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.10 | bull_low | +0.91% | +0.74 | 07/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.30% | +0.03 | 07/08 16:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 2.072×ATR | p11 | +1.098×ATR | p85 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 3.958×ATR | p77 | -0.471×ATR | p38 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 4.194×ATR | p73 | -0.948×ATR | p59 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64913.8
0.000294417
64933
0.017639
64709.4
0.00354705
64939
0.079737
64405.8
0.00802912
64923
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0.044338
198
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0.7787
0.5743
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0.0931
1
0.3395
1.0841
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0.3
1
1
1
0.4438
0.7705
7.6011
0.55
2.5874
6.4482
1.0841
0.5499
0.2073
0.98
1.4994
0.7451
0.5923
0.7396
0.5743
-2.9825
4.024
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 12:35:00 | 0.035306 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 14:20:00 | 0.036529 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 15:45:00 | 0.039428 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:45:00 | 0.038727 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:50:00 | 0.040222 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:25:00 | 0.037629 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 19:00:00 | 0.043797 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 19:30:00 | 0.044338 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 20:40:00 | 0.037725 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 23:15:00 | 0.033665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 00:45:00 | 0.034566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 0.033827 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 0.034241 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 07:45:00 | 0.032768 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 0.036276 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 12:30:00 | 0.035306 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:15:00 | 0.037629 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 19:30:00 | 0.044338 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 20:30:00 | 0.037725 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 07:00:00 | 0.031614 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 0.035755 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 06:00:00 | 0.03229 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 13:00:00 | 0.03634 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 0.036346 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 16:00:00 | 0.032549 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 14:00:00 | 0.038524 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:00:00 | 0.033665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 07:00:00 | 0.032768 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 19:00:00 | 0.044338 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03818 | 0.03696 | 0.04063 | 2.01 | 0.04893 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03696 - 0.03818 = -0.00122
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03818 - 0.04063 = -0.00245
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00245 / -0.00122 = 2.0082
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 249.7743 | 100 | 6541.5059 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00122 = -6557.38
Taille de position USD = -6557.38 x 0.03818 = -250.36
Donc, tu peux acheter -6557.38 avec un stoploss a 0.03696
Avec un position size USD de -250.36$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -6557.38 x -0.00122 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -6557.38 x -0.00245 = 16.07
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.07$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.42 % | 16.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.2 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -3.20 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.3316 % | 104.26 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03818 | 0.03696 | 0.04063 | 2.01 | 0.04893 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03696 - 0.03818 = -0.00122
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03818 - 0.04063 = -0.00245
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00245 / -0.00122 = 2.0082
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.962% | 0.6R | -3.332% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.962% | 0.6R | -3.332% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.962% | 0.6R | -4.995% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.962% | 0.6R | -7.234% | 2.3R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.962% | 0.6R | -10.272% | 3.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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