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Short Trade on KAITO

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07 Aug 2026 at 17:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 148.6 KAITO at 0.838$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8916 (6.43 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 07 Aug 2026 17:10 → 20:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.8377$

Qty 148.5962 KAITO

Size 124.485$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 124.48$

SL 0.8916 (-6.43%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status win PnL +1.65% / +2.05$ MAE -0.07% MFE +2.93% 0.5R expires 07 Aug 20:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 61962)
#45 / 46 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3453

Quality Score
0.414
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 17:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#45 / 46 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.43 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#45 / 46 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.43 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -0.91×ATR
1d clear 1.13×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_medium

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1)

07/08 17:00

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

06/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

07/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

07/08 16:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.4140
Score SMA
0.4611
Rank
#45 / 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3453
Rank Norm SMA
0.2908
Calculé le
07/08/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2867 r1h: 0.283% · r4h: -3.726% · r1d: -7.75% · r3d: -8.64% · ema21_slope: -0.2128% · dist_ema21: -5.018%
Force Relative 25% 0.2424 rs_1h: 0.277% · rs_4h: -3.953% · rs_1d: -8.55% · rs_3d: -9.58% · beta_24h: -0.461
Volume 20% 0.3519 rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: 0.096 · trend: 18.05%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6470 ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 32.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.257% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.434% (0.0539)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.927% 0.5R -0.068% 0.0R 43.1× 12
2h +2.927% 0.5R -0.068% 0.0R 43.1× 24
3h ★ +2.927% 0.5R -0.068% 0.0R 43.1× 36
4h +2.927% 0.5R -0.068% 0.0R 43.1× 48
8h +7.420% 1.2R -0.068% 0.0R 109.1× 96
12h +13.147% 2.0R -0.068% 0.0R 193.3× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.18
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 35% mid — — 0.39 bear_high -3.19% +0.39 06/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 39% late near -0.9ATR — -0.01 bull_high +1.32% -0.60 07/08 16:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate balanced expansion bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 49% late — — -0.15 bull_low +0.91% -0.74 07/08 16:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bear_high
51%
choppy 48% late — — — range_low +0.30% -0.77 07/08 16:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 9b — 4.07×ATR p55 -0.713×ATR p62
4h ↓ down late 37b — 9.949×ATR p100 -1.364×ATR p89
1h ↓ down late 5b — 4.98×ATR p90 -1.413×ATR p90
15m ↓ down late 16b — 9.031×ATR p100 -0.413×ATR p32

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.89157719
  2. atr: 0.01794573
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-08T00:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 44
  2. total: 46
  3. score: 0.2867
  4. confidence: 0.956

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.8377 0.8916 0.3043
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.8377
  • Stop Loss: 0.8916
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.8916 - 0.8377 = 0.0539

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.8377 - = 0.8377

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.8377 / 0.0539 = 15.5417

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
124.485 100 148.5962 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0539

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0539 = 148.42

Taille de position USD = 148.42 x 0.8377 = 124.33

Donc, tu peux acheter 148.42 avec un stoploss a 0.8916

Avec un position size USD de 124.33$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 148.42 x 0.0539 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 148.42 x 0.8377 = 124.33

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 124.33$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 148.42
  • Taille de position USD 124.33
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 124.33
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 15.5417

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 124.48 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.43 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
2.05 $ 1.65
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.068 % 1.06 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.8377 0.8916 0.3043
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.8377
  • Stop Loss: 0.8916
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.8916 - 0.8377 = 0.0539

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.8377 - = 0.8377

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.8377 / 0.0539 = 15.5417

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.434% (0.0539)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.927% 0.5R -0.068% 0.0R 43.1× 12
2h +2.927% 0.5R -0.068% 0.0R 43.1× 24
3h ★ +2.927% 0.5R -0.068% 0.0R 43.1× 36
4h +2.927% 0.5R -0.068% 0.0R 43.1× 48
8h +7.420% 1.2R -0.068% 0.0R 109.1× 96
12h +13.147% 2.0R -0.068% 0.0R 193.3× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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