Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 7940.84 NIL at 0.0374$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03945 (5.37 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03643 (2.7 %)
Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 7940.84 NIL at 0.0374$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03945 (5.37 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03643 (2.7 %)
Position
Entry 0.03744$
Qty 7940.8407 NIL
Size 297.2733$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.03945 (+5.37%)
TP $ 15.96$
SL 0.03643 (-2.7%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 1.99
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8432
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.66×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 07/08 17:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.0102 15m : 0.078879 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 07/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 07/08 17:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6043 | r1h: -8.727% · r4h: -2.975% · r1d: 11.80% · r3d: 8.25% · ema21_slope: 0.7248% · dist_ema21: 2.170% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4942 | rs_1h: -8.733% · rs_4h: -3.202% · rs_1d: 11.00% · rs_3d: 7.31% · beta_24h: -0.424 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 3.49× · zscore_50: 3.053 · trend: 288.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8087 | ADX: 37.0 (trend) · Chop: 5.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6151 | ATR%: 4.155% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.867% | 0.7R | -1.421% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.867% | 0.7R | -2.810% | 1.0R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.867% | 0.7R | -4.212% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.867% | 0.7R | -5.401% | 2.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.867% | 0.7R | -8.499% | 3.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.41 | bull_high | +1.32% | +0.61 | 07/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | 0.10 | bull_low | +0.96% | +0.79 | 07/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.35% | -0.29 | 07/08 17:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 2.482×ATR | p24 | +0.612×ATR | p60 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 3.777×ATR | p75 | -0.222×ATR | p20 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 4.941×ATR | p77 | -0.785×ATR | p51 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64923.7
0.000820891
64977
0.0102
64712.6
0.00394563
64968
0.078879
64412.6
0.00863772
64969
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0.9683
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1
2
1
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0.7705
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2.5874
6.4482
0.9683
0.5499
0.1891
0.96
1.6097
0.7509
0.577
0.7944
0.5576
-3.2813
4.1365
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:39 | 0.03743600 | -0.011% |
| 2 | 17:44 | 0.03759800 | +0.422% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 14:20:00 | 0.036529 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 15:45:00 | 0.039428 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:45:00 | 0.038727 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:50:00 | 0.040222 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:25:00 | 0.037629 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 19:00:00 | 0.043797 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 19:30:00 | 0.044338 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 20:40:00 | 0.037725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 0.038929 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 21:35:00 | 0.037414 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 23:15:00 | 0.033665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 00:45:00 | 0.034566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 0.033827 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 0.034241 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 07:45:00 | 0.032768 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 0.036276 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 12:30:00 | 0.035306 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:15:00 | 0.037629 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 19:30:00 | 0.044338 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 20:30:00 | 0.037725 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 07:00:00 | 0.031614 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 0.035755 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 06:00:00 | 0.03229 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 13:00:00 | 0.03634 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 0.036346 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 16:00:00 | 0.032549 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 14:00:00 | 0.038524 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:00:00 | 0.033665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 07:00:00 | 0.032768 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 19:00:00 | 0.044338 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03744 | 0.03643 | 0.03945 | 1.99 | 0.04863 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03643 - 0.03744 = -0.00101
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03744 - 0.03945 = -0.00201
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00201 / -0.00101 = 1.9901
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 297.2733 | 100 | 7940.8407 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00101 = -7920.79
Taille de position USD = -7920.79 x 0.03744 = -296.55
Donc, tu peux acheter -7920.79 avec un stoploss a 0.03643
Avec un position size USD de -296.55$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7920.79 x -0.00101 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7920.79 x -0.00201 = 15.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.92$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.37 % | 15.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.7 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -2.70 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.8098 % | 104.16 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03744 | 0.03643 | 0.03945 | 1.99 | 0.04863 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03643 - 0.03744 = -0.00101
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03744 - 0.03945 = -0.00201
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00201 / -0.00101 = 1.9901
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.867% | 0.7R | -1.421% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.867% | 0.7R | -2.810% | 1.0R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.867% | 0.7R | -4.212% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.867% | 0.7R | -5.401% | 2.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.867% | 0.7R | -8.499% | 3.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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