Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 703.83 LIT at 2.313$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3356 (0.98 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3015 (0.49 %)
Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 703.83 LIT at 2.313$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3356 (0.98 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3015 (0.49 %)
Position
Entry 2.3129$
Qty 703.8313 LIT
Size 1627.8914$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 2.3356 (+0.98%)
TP $ 15.98$
SL 2.3015 (-0.49%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 1.99
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9521
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.16×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.97×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 07/08 17:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.145599 15m : 0.335096 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 07/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 07/08 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5614 | r1h: -1.790% · r4h: -1.221% · r1d: 2.50% · r3d: 10.71% · ema21_slope: 0.1495% · dist_ema21: -1.583% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4976 | rs_1h: -1.796% · rs_4h: -1.448% · rs_1d: 1.70% · rs_3d: 9.77% · beta_24h: 2.372 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3808 | rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: 0.226 · trend: 23.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7599 | ADX: 32.1 (trend) · Chop: 39.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.964% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.320% | 0.7R | -0.675% | 1.4R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.320% | 0.7R | -1.094% | 2.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.320% | 0.7R | -1.362% | 2.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.091% | 6.3R | -1.362% | 2.8R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.091% | 6.3R | -1.362% | 2.8R | 2.3× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | — | bear_high | -3.19% | +0.32 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.35 | bull_high | +1.32% | +0.77 | 07/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bull_low | +1.02% | -0.48 | 07/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.34 | range_low | +0.33% | -0.14 | 07/08 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 1.922×ATR | p0 | +0.771×ATR | p75 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.278×ATR | p18 | -0.005×ATR | p2 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 0.951×ATR | p2 | -0.639×ATR | p53 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 2.749×ATR | p45 | -0.386×ATR | p31 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64940.5
-8.72446E-6
64940
0.145599
64723.9
0.00324586
64934
0.335096
64413.3
0.00921588
65007
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2.2869
195
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0.2616
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0.6673
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0.0414
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4
1
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0.8043
4.4104
0.6
1.3433
4.9449
0.4612
0
0.281
0.72
0.0178
0.534
0.404
0.4155
0.6603
-4.1797
8.1241
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:51 | 2.31290000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:58 | 2.30860000 | -0.186% |
| 3 | 18:05 | 2.30460000 | -0.359% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 15:15:00 | 2.3998 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:05:00 | 2.3751 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:50:00 | 2.2869 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 18:35:00 | 2.3203 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 19:15:00 | 2.3725 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 20:00:00 | 2.3639 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 20:15:00 | 2.3137 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 20:50:00 | 2.3139 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:30:00 | 2.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 21:50:00 | 2.3114 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 01:45:00 | 2.4311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 2.3718 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 05:30:00 | 2.3409 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 2.3907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 08:15:00 | 2.3448 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 14:15:00 | 2.4982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:45:00 | 2.2869 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 19:15:00 | 2.3725 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 20:15:00 | 2.3137 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:45:00 | 2.3136 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 2.1219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 2.0347 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 2.1566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 15:00:00 | 2.075 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 2.2131 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 04:00:00 | 2.1291 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 01:00:00 | 2.4311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 2.3409 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 2.4982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 2.2869 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3129 | 2.3015 | 2.3356 | 1.99 | 3.9455 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3015 - 2.3129 = -0.0114
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3129 - 2.3356 = -0.0227
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0227 / -0.0114 = 1.9912
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1627.8914 | 100 | 703.8313 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0114 = -701.75
Taille de position USD = -701.75 x 2.3129 = -1623.08
Donc, tu peux acheter -701.75 avec un stoploss a 2.3015
Avec un position size USD de -1623.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -701.75 x -0.0114 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -701.75 x -0.0227 = 15.93
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.93$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.98 % | 15.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.49 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -0.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5188 % | 105.25 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3129 | 2.3015 | 2.3356 | 1.99 | 3.9455 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3015 - 2.3129 = -0.0114
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3129 - 2.3356 = -0.0227
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0227 / -0.0114 = 1.9912
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.320% | 0.7R | -0.675% | 1.4R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.320% | 0.7R | -1.094% | 2.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.320% | 0.7R | -1.362% | 2.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.091% | 6.3R | -1.362% | 2.8R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.091% | 6.3R | -1.362% | 2.8R | 2.3× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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