Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 5430.83 ETHFI at 0.379$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3824 (0.79 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3779 (0.4 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 5430.83 ETHFI at 0.379$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3824 (0.79 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3779 (0.4 %)
Position
Entry 0.3794$
Qty 5430.8349 ETHFI
Size 2060.5131$ (margin 100$) (leverage 21)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3824 (+0.79%)
TP $ 16.29$
SL 0.3779 (-0.4%)
SL $ 8.15$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9745
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.17×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.41×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.60×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 07/08 17:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.284424 15m : 0.287491 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 07/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 07/08 17:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5840 | r1h: -1.635% · r4h: -0.376% · r1d: 7.62% · r3d: 5.62% · ema21_slope: 0.3149% · dist_ema21: 1.618% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5433 | rs_1h: -1.641% · rs_4h: -0.603% · rs_1d: 6.82% · rs_3d: 4.68% · beta_24h: 1.548 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3507 | rvol_20: 1.01× · zscore_50: 0.220 · trend: -8.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7673 | ADX: 32.1 (trend) · Chop: 37.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.470% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.601% | 1.5R | -0.061% | 0.2R | 9.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.754% | 1.9R | -0.061% | 0.2R | 12.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.315% | 3.3R | -0.079% | 0.2R | 16.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.315% | 3.3R | -0.079% | 0.2R | 16.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.637% | 4.1R | -0.079% | 0.2R | 20.7× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -3.19% | -0.91 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +1.32% | +0.42 | 07/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.42 | bull_low | +1.02% | +0.42 | 07/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.6ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.40% | -0.10 | 07/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 16b | — | 3.322×ATR | p24 | -0.014×ATR | p2 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 3.377×ATR | p55 | +0.819×ATR | p72 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.727×ATR | p12 | -0.12×ATR | p12 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.654×ATR | p45 | -0.521×ATR | p45 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64940.2
-0.000619412
64900
0.284424
64723.9
0.00324586
64934
0.287491
64413.3
0.00921588
65007
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1.6508
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0.65
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0.8312
0.3335
0.86
0.4391
0.5951
0.49
0.937
0.5665
-4.146
5.418
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:56 | 0.37941000 | +0.003% |
| 2 | 18:38 | 0.37963000 | +0.061% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 17:35:00 | 0.38988 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:50:00 | 0.38498 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 18:05:00 | 0.38498 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 18:20:00 | 0.38714 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 18:40:00 | 0.38185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 20:00:00 | 0.38828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 0.38003 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:05:00 | 0.38345 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 21:40:00 | 0.38263 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 21:55:00 | 0.3793 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 07:45:00 | 0.36433 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 08:30:00 | 0.36829 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 10:15:00 | 0.36424 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:45:00 | 0.38792 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:45:00 | 0.37663 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:30:00 | 0.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:30:00 | 0.38988 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 18:30:00 | 0.38185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 20:00:00 | 0.38828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 21:45:00 | 0.37989 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 16:00:00 | 0.3559 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 0.34887 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 0.36847 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 0.35971 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 14:00:00 | 0.37248 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 0.37491 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 09:00:00 | 0.35276 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 0.36201 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 19:00:00 | 0.34868 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 0.38988 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3794 | 0.3779 | 0.3824 | 2 | 0.5657 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3779 - 0.3794 = -0.0015
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3794 - 0.3824 = -0.003
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.003 / -0.0015 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2060.5131 | 100 | 5430.8349 | 21.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0015 = -5333.33
Taille de position USD = -5333.33 x 0.3794 = -2023.47
Donc, tu peux acheter -5333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.3779
Avec un position size USD de -2023.47$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5333.33 x -0.0015 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5333.33 x -0.003 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.79 % | 16.29 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 8.15 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.29 $ | 0.79 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0606 % | 15.33 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3794 | 0.3779 | 0.3824 | 2 | 0.5657 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3779 - 0.3794 = -0.0015
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3794 - 0.3824 = -0.003
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.003 / -0.0015 = 2
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)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.601% | 1.5R | -0.061% | 0.2R | 9.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.754% | 1.9R | -0.061% | 0.2R | 12.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.315% | 3.3R | -0.079% | 0.2R | 16.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.315% | 3.3R | -0.079% | 0.2R | 16.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.637% | 4.1R | -0.079% | 0.2R | 20.7× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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