Short Trade on KAITO

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07 Aug 2026 at 22:10:03 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 189.41 KAITO at 0.812$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7917 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8543 (5.21 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 07 Aug 2026 22:10 → 23:40 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.812$

Qty 189.4109 KAITO

Size 153.8093$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.7917 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.85$

SL 0.8543 (-5.21%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.48

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.85$ MAE -0.37% MFE +9.04% 1.7R expires 08 Aug 04:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 62194)

#44 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1073

Quality Score

0.361

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

4.8M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 22:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#44 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.21 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#44 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.21 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	1.05×ATR
1d	clear	1.02×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 22:00 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

07/08 22:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 07/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 07/08 21:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

07/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

07/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

07/08 21:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.3614

Score SMA

0.4526

Rank

#44 / 45

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1073

Rank Norm SMA

0.2694

Calculé le

07/08/2026 22:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.1917	r1h: -1.777% · r4h: -0.647% · r1d: -9.52% · r3d: -10.60% · ema21_slope: -0.3743% · dist_ema21: -5.366%
Force Relative	25%	0.1901	rs_1h: -1.797% · rs_4h: -0.673% · rs_1d: -10.31% · rs_3d: -11.52% · beta_24h: 0.130
Volume	20%	0.2618	rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.280 · trend: 8.18%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6933	ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 27.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.213% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.209% (0.0423)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.405%	0.1R	-0.373%	0.1R	1.1×	12
2h	+3.392%	0.7R	-0.373%	0.1R	9.1×	24
4h	+4.490%	0.9R	-0.373%	0.1R	12.0×	48
6h ★	+9.036%	1.7R	-0.373%	0.1R	24.2×	72
8h	+11.376%	2.2R	-0.373%	0.1R	30.5×	96
12h	+15.799%	3.0R	-0.373%	0.1R	42.3×	144

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 6.69

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	expansion	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 35%	mid	—	—	0.39	bear_high	-3.08%	-0.86	07/08 20:00
4h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 41%	late	—	—	-0.01	bull_high	+1.18%	-0.85	07/08 20:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	explosive	expansion	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 50%	late	—	—	-0.15	bull_low	+0.80%	-0.81	07/08 21:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 38%	early	near -1.0ATR	—	—	range_low	+0.19%	-0.27	07/08 21:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	10b	—	4.458×ATR	p55	-0.668×ATR	p59
4h	↓ down	late	38b	—	10.422×ATR	p100	-1.375×ATR	p89
1h	↓ down	late	10b	—	6.188×ATR	p94	-0.711×ATR	p60
15m	↓ down	early	5b	—	2.409×ATR	p37	-0.784×ATR	p53

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.85427621
tp_price: 0.791739
atr: 0.01689448
expires_at: 2026-08-08T08:10:03+00:00

Details

rank: 47
total: 47
score: 0.1917
delta_2h: -0.0482
extension_atr: -2.35
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1073
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	22:10	0.81204000	+0.005%
2	23:10	0.80954000	-0.303%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.812	0.8543	0.7917	0.48	0.3003

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.812
Stop Loss: 0.8543
Take Profit: 0.7917

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.8543 - 0.812 = 0.0423
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.812 - 0.7917 = 0.0203
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0203 / 0.0423 = 0.4799

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
153.8093	100	189.4109	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0423

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0423 = 189.13

Taille de position USD = 189.13 x 0.812 = 153.57

Donc, tu peux acheter 189.13 avec un stoploss a 0.8543

Avec un position size USD de 153.57$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 189.13 x 0.0423 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 189.13 x 0.0203 = 3.84

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.84$

Résumé

Taille de position 189.13
Taille de position USD 153.57
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.84
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4799

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	3.85 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.21 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
3.85 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.3732 %	7.16 %	8

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.812	0.8543	0.7917	0.48	0.3003

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.812
Stop Loss: 0.8543
Take Profit: 0.7917

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.8543 - 0.812 = 0.0423
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.812 - 0.7917 = 0.0203
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0203 / 0.0423 = 0.4799

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.209% (0.0423)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.405%	0.1R	-0.373%	0.1R	1.1×	12
2h	+3.392%	0.7R	-0.373%	0.1R	9.1×	24
4h	+4.490%	0.9R	-0.373%	0.1R	12.0×	48
6h ★	+9.036%	1.7R	-0.373%	0.1R	24.2×	72
8h	+11.376%	2.2R	-0.373%	0.1R	30.5×	96
12h	+15.799%	3.0R	-0.373%	0.1R	42.3×	144

computed 3 weeks ago

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