Long Trade on TAO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 2.08 TAO at 196.69$ per unit. Take profit: 206.2931 (4.88 %) & Stop Loss: 192.8487 (1.95 %)
08 Aug 2026 at 00:14:39
hyperliquid
TAO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
08 Aug 2026 00:14
→ 12:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 196.69$
Qty 2.0827 TAO
Size 409.637$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 206.2931 (+4.88%)
TP $ 20$
SL 192.8487 (-1.95%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.81%
/ +3.31$
MAE -0.93%
MFE +0.88%
0.5R
expires
08 Aug 12:14
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 62278)
#5 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 00:00
score du 08/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5136
Quality Score
0.624
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 00:01
08/08 00:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#5 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#5 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.50×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.28×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 12.45×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 00:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 07/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 07/08 23:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6237
Score SMA
0.4913
Rank
#5
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5136
Rank Norm SMA
0.3763
Calculé le
08/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6002 | r1h: 1.381% · r4h: 1.669% · r1d: 2.92% · r3d: -0.37% · ema21_slope: 0.0276% · dist_ema21: 1.633% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5919 | rs_1h: 1.236% · rs_4h: 1.521% · rs_1d: 1.80% · rs_3d: -1.65% · beta_24h: 1.214 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5507 | rvol_20: 2.09× · zscore_50: 0.744 · trend: -14.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5701 | ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 46.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.783% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.953%
(3.8413)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.814% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.412% | 0.2R | -0.925% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.625% | 0.3R | -0.925% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.625% | 0.3R | -0.925% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.885% | 0.5R | -0.925% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.940% | 3.6R | -0.925% | 0.5R | 7.5× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.81
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 31% | late | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -3.08% | -0.30 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.69 | bull_high | +1.23% | -0.34 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.63 | bull_low | +0.89% | +0.15 | 07/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | bull_low_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 54% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.58 | range_low | +0.29% | +0.12 | 07/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 54b | — | 11.757×ATR | p93 | -0.075×ATR | p7 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 19b | — | 2.133×ATR | p9 | +0.358×ATR | p44 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 2.519×ATR | p43 | +1.596×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 5.26×ATR | p90 | +2.825×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8822
- reason: up_bo width=2.83×ATR dur=40b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 192.84874533
- tp_price: 206.29313668
- atr:
- score: 0.88217884723524
- expires_at: 2026-08-08T16:14:31.688481
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.88217884723524
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0934
- obi_top10 : -0.0934
- micro_price : 196.51779906
- spread_pct : 0.005089
- mid_price : 196.515
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.1226
- obi_top5_std : 0.0163
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7055
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
195.14
- balance_zone_bottom:
190.86
- balance_zone_mid:
193
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786021200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786161600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8297
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
40
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8822
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786158000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
195.14
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.925
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.0248
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 1.51254672 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
40
inside_close_ratio
0.925
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0248
Signaux confirmants (42)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:14 | 196.69000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:20 | 196.30000000 | -0.198% |
| 3 | 00:26 | 196.30000000 | -0.198% |
| 4 | 00:33 | 196.30000000 | -0.198% |
| 5 | 00:38 | 195.76000000 | -0.473% |
| 6 | 00:44 | 195.76000000 | -0.473% |
| 7 | 00:50 | 195.55000000 | -0.58% |
| 8 | 00:56 | 195.55000000 | -0.58% |
| 9 | 01:03 | 195.55000000 | -0.58% |
| 10 | 01:08 | 195.26000000 | -0.727% |
| 11 | 02:14 | 196.26000000 | -0.219% |
| 12 | 02:20 | 197.21000000 | +0.264% |
| 13 | 02:26 | 197.21000000 | +0.264% |
| 14 | 02:33 | 197.21000000 | +0.264% |
| 15 | 02:38 | 197.59000000 | +0.458% |
| 16 | 02:44 | 197.59000000 | +0.458% |
| 17 | 02:50 | 197.26000000 | +0.29% |
| 18 | 02:56 | 197.26000000 | +0.29% |
| 19 | 03:03 | 197.26000000 | +0.29% |
| 20 | 03:08 | 197.46000000 | +0.391% |
| 21 | 03:14 | 197.46000000 | +0.391% |
| 22 | 03:20 | 196.77000000 | +0.041% |
| 23 | 03:26 | 196.77000000 | +0.041% |
| 24 | 03:33 | 196.77000000 | +0.041% |
| 25 | 03:38 | 196.99000000 | +0.153% |
| 26 | 03:44 | 196.99000000 | +0.153% |
| 27 | 03:50 | 196.68000000 | -0.005% |
| 28 | 03:56 | 196.68000000 | -0.005% |
| 29 | 04:03 | 196.68000000 | -0.005% |
| 30 | 04:08 | 196.83000000 | +0.071% |
| 31 | 04:14 | 196.83000000 | +0.071% |
| 32 | 04:20 | 196.83000000 | +0.071% |
| 33 | 04:26 | 196.83000000 | +0.071% |
| 34 | 04:33 | 196.83000000 | +0.071% |
| 35 | 04:39 | 196.83000000 | +0.071% |
| 36 | 04:44 | 196.83000000 | +0.071% |
| 37 | 04:50 | 196.58000000 | -0.056% |
| 38 | 04:56 | 196.58000000 | -0.056% |
| 39 | 05:03 | 196.58000000 | -0.056% |
| 40 | 05:50 | 196.25000000 | -0.224% |
| 41 | 05:56 | 196.25000000 | -0.224% |
| 42 | 06:03 | 196.25000000 | -0.224% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7055ms
Confidence avant OB :
88%
→
88%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.093
avg -0.123
± 0.016
OBI Top 10
-0.093
Microstructure
Mid Price
196.5150
Micro Price
196.5178
Spread
0.0051%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196.69 | 192.8487 | 206.2931 | 2.5 | 229.68 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 196.69
- Stop Loss: 192.8487
- Take Profit: 206.2931
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 192.8487 - 196.69 = -3.8413
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 196.69 - 206.2931 = -9.6031
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.6031 / -3.8413 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 409.637 | 100 | 2.0827 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -3.8413
Taille de position = 8 / -3.8413 = -2.08
Taille de position USD = -2.08 x 196.69 = -409.12
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.08 avec un stoploss a 192.8487
Avec un position size USD de -409.12$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.08 x -3.8413 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.08 x -9.6031 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
- Taille de position -2.08
- Taille de position USD -409.12
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 19.97
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.88 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.95 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.31 $ | 0.81 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9253 % | 47.38 % | 41 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196.69 | 192.8487 | 206.2931 | 2.5 | 229.68 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 196.69
- Stop Loss: 192.8487
- Take Profit: 206.2931
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 192.8487 - 196.69 = -3.8413
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 196.69 - 206.2931 = -9.6031
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.6031 / -3.8413 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.953%
(3.8413)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.814% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.412% | 0.2R | -0.925% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.625% | 0.3R | -0.925% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.625% | 0.3R | -0.925% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.885% | 0.5R | -0.925% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.940% | 3.6R | -0.925% | 0.5R | 7.5× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
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