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Short Trade on kBONK

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08 Aug 2026 at 02:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_score)

With 63421.6 kBONK at 0.00247$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002593 (5.11 %)

kBONK SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 08 Aug 2026 02:10 → 05:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.002467$

Qty 63421.5951 kBONK

Size 156.4611$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 156.46$

SL 0.002593 (-5.11%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.86% / -2.92$ MAE -3.08% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 08 Aug 05:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 62360)
#42 / 42 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0112

Quality Score
0.344
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 02:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#42 / 42 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.11 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#42 / 42 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.11 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

08/08 02:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

07/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

08/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

08/08 01:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.3442
Score SMA
0.4182
Rank
#42 / 42
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0112
Rank Norm SMA
0.1333
Calculé le
08/08/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2284 r1h: 0.366% · r4h: -1.830% · r1d: -11.70% · r3d: -12.64% · ema21_slope: -0.2447% · dist_ema21: -1.800%
Force Relative 25% 0.2340 rs_1h: 0.346% · rs_4h: -1.987% · rs_1d: -12.76% · rs_3d: -13.68% · beta_24h: 0.893
Volume 20% 0.1686 rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.471 · trend: -57.60%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5561 ADX: 36.8 (trend) · Chop: 69.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.606% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.107% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.635% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.081% 0.6R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.081% 0.6R 0.0× 36
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.081% 0.6R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -4.013% 0.8R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -4.013% 0.8R 0.0× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 42% late — — 0.67 bear_high -3.08% -0.84 07/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bear_high
41%
noisy_chop 42% late — — 0.48 bull_high +1.32% -0.88 08/08 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 35% early — — 0.45 bull_low +0.86% -0.35 08/08 01:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression bear_medium
59%
noisy_chop 45% early near -0.5ATR — — range_low +0.25% -0.07 08/08 01:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 35b — 12.607×ATR p92 -1.386×ATR p92
4h ↓ down late 7b — 6.091×ATR p91 -1.081×ATR p80
1h ↓ down early 4b — 1.211×ATR p0 -0.263×ATR p27
15m ↓ down early 8b — 1.947×ATR p18 +0.047×ATR p4

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00259314
  2. atr: 4.205E-5
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-08T09:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 45
  2. total: 46
  3. score: 0.2284
  4. confidence: 0.978

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.002467 0.002593 0.003005
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.002467
  • Stop Loss: 0.002593
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002593 - 0.002467 = 0.000126

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.002467 - = 0.002467

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002467 / 0.000126 = 19.5794

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
156.4611 100 63421.5951 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.000126

Taille de position = 8 / 0.000126 = 63492.06

Taille de position USD = 63492.06 x 0.002467 = 156.63

Donc, tu peux acheter 63492.06 avec un stoploss a 0.002593

Avec un position size USD de 156.63$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 63492.06 x 0.000126 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 63492.06 x 0.002467 = 156.63

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 156.63$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 63492.06
  • Taille de position USD 156.63
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 156.63
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 19.5794

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 156.46 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.11 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-2.92 $ -1.86
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.0807 % 60.32 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.002467 0.002593 0.003005
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.002467
  • Stop Loss: 0.002593
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002593 - 0.002467 = 0.000126

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.002467 - = 0.002467

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002467 / 0.000126 = 19.5794

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.107% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.635% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.081% 0.6R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.081% 0.6R 0.0× 36
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.081% 0.6R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -4.013% 0.8R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -4.013% 0.8R 0.0× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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