Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 275.68 NEAR at 1.591$ per unit. Take profit: 1.5509 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6197 (1.82 %)
08 Aug 2026 at 04:10:04
hyperliquid
NEAR
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
08 Aug 2026 04:10
→ 05:15
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 1.5907$
Qty 275.6813 NEAR
Size 438.5262$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 1.5509 (+2.5%)
TP $ 10.97$
SL 1.6197 (-1.82%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 1.37
Status
loss
PnL
-0.85%
/ -3.72$
MAE -0.96%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
08 Aug 05:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=29 <= threshold=30/40
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 62441)
#38 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 04:00
score du 08/08/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2897
Quality Score
0.412
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 04:01
08/08 04:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#38 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#38 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.88×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.32×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.45×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 04:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 08/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 08/08 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4116
Score SMA
0.4956
Rank
#38
/ 40
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2897
Rank Norm SMA
0.4457
Calculé le
08/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3418 | r1h: -0.213% · r4h: -1.168% · r1d: -3.30% · r3d: -7.90% · ema21_slope: -0.1278% · dist_ema21: -1.037% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3441 | rs_1h: -0.119% · rs_4h: -1.039% · rs_1d: -4.27% · rs_3d: -9.11% · beta_24h: 0.927 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1459 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.812 · trend: -50.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6254 | ADX: 43.1 (trend) · Chop: 67.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.761% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -1.823%
(0.0290)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.780% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.962% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 13 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.238% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.679% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.810% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.024% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -2.95% | -0.95 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.63 | bull_high | +1.31% | -0.76 | 08/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.56 | range_low | +0.72% | -0.34 | 08/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -1.1ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.11% | -0.04 | 08/08 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 24b | — | 5.98×ATR | p85 | -0.924×ATR | p75 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 24b | — | 6.528×ATR | p75 | -1.132×ATR | p83 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.745×ATR | p10 | -0.554×ATR | p48 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 5.64×ATR | p91 | -1.439×ATR | p90 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1.61971902
- tp_price: 1.5509325
- atr: 0.01160761
- expires_at: 2026-08-08T14:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 42
- total: 43
- score: 0.3418
- delta_2h: -0.0164
- extension_atr: -1.19
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2897
- confidence: 0.976
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5907 | 1.6197 | 1.5509 | 1.37 | 1.8751 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.5907
- Stop Loss: 1.6197
- Take Profit: 1.5509
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6197 - 1.5907 = 0.029
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.5907 - 1.5509 = 0.0398
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0398 / 0.029 = 1.3724
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 438.5262 | 100 | 275.6813 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.029
Taille de position = 8 / 0.029 = 275.86
Taille de position USD = 275.86 x 1.5907 = 438.81
Donc, tu peux acheter 275.86 avec un stoploss a 1.6197
Avec un position size USD de 438.81$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 275.86 x 0.029 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 275.86 x 0.0398 = 10.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 10.98$
Résumé
- Taille de position 275.86
- Taille de position USD 438.81
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 10.98
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.3724
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 10.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.82 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.72 $ | -0.85 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9618 % | 52.76 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5907 | 1.6197 | 1.5509 | 1.37 | 1.8751 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.5907
- Stop Loss: 1.6197
- Take Profit: 1.5509
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6197 - 1.5907 = 0.029
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.5907 - 1.5509 = 0.0398
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0398 / 0.029 = 1.3724
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -1.823%
(0.0290)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.780% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.962% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 13 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.238% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.679% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.810% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.024% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
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