Short Trade on CC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1820.49 CC at 0.0904$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08817 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09483 (4.87 %)
Short Trade on CC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1820.49 CC at 0.0904$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08817 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09483 (4.87 %)
Position
Entry 0.09043$
Qty 1820.4864 CC
Size 164.6357$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08817 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.11$
SL 0.09483 (-4.87%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.51
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2104
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.24×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.40×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.68×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 07:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 08/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 08/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3048 | r1h: -0.509% · r4h: -2.532% · r1d: 1.03% · r3d: -17.45% · ema21_slope: -0.0861% · dist_ema21: -0.569% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3108 | rs_1h: -0.532% · rs_4h: -2.530% · rs_1d: 0.85% · rs_3d: -18.93% · beta_24h: -1.505 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1773 | rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -1.045 · trend: -14.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4672 | ADX: 18.8 (weak) · Chop: 61.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.055% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.957% | 0.2R | -0.258% | 0.1R | 3.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.957% | 0.2R | -1.514% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.957% | 0.2R | -1.514% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 25 |
| 4h | +0.957% | 0.2R | -1.514% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.957% | 0.2R | -6.209% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.957% | 0.2R | -6.248% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -1.7ATR | — | — | bear_high | -2.95% | -1.00 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 50% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.16 | bull_medium | +1.27% | -0.96 | 08/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.09 | bull_low | +0.76% | -0.53 | 08/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | -0.03 | range_low | +0.16% | -0.03 | 08/08 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 24b | — | 9.729×ATR | p94 | -1.886×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.625×ATR | p0 | -0.228×ATR | p17 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.728×ATR | p17 | -0.105×ATR | p10 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.814×ATR | p6 | -0.337×ATR | p29 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:10 | 0.09043500 | +0.006% |
| 2 | 08:10 | 0.09001600 | -0.458% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09043 | 0.09483 | 0.08817 | 0.51 | 0.1174 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09483 - 0.09043 = 0.0044
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09043 - 0.08817 = 0.00226
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00226 / 0.0044 = 0.5136
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164.6357 | 100 | 1820.4864 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0044 = 1818.18
Taille de position USD = 1818.18 x 0.09043 = 164.42
Donc, tu peux acheter 1818.18 avec un stoploss a 0.09483
Avec un position size USD de 164.42$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1818.18 x 0.0044 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1818.18 x 0.00226 = 4.11
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.11$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.11 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.87 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.71 $ | -0.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5139 % | 31.11 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09043 | 0.09483 | 0.08817 | 0.51 | 0.1174 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09483 - 0.09043 = 0.0044
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09043 - 0.08817 = 0.00226
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00226 / 0.0044 = 0.5136
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.957% | 0.2R | -0.258% | 0.1R | 3.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.957% | 0.2R | -1.514% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.957% | 0.2R | -1.514% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 25 |
| 4h | +0.957% | 0.2R | -1.514% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.957% | 0.2R | -6.209% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.957% | 0.2R | -6.248% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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