08 Aug 2026 at 07:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CC (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1820.49 CC at 0.0904$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08817 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09483 (4.87 %)

CC SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 08 Aug 2026 07:10 → 09:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.09043$

Qty 1820.4864 CC

Size 164.6357$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.08817 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.11$

SL 0.09483 (-4.87%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.51

Status loss PnL -0.43% / -0.71$ MAE -1.51% MFE +0.96% 0.2R expires 08 Aug 09:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=15 <= threshold=29/39

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 62578)
#37 / 39 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2104

Quality Score
0.375
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 07:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#37 / 39 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.87 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#37 / 39 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.87 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.24×ATR
4h near -0.40×ATR
1d near -1.68×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

08/08 07:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

07/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

08/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

08/08 06:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.3747
Score SMA
0.4301
Rank
#37 / 39
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2104
Rank Norm SMA
0.1659
Calculé le
08/08/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3048 r1h: -0.509% · r4h: -2.532% · r1d: 1.03% · r3d: -17.45% · ema21_slope: -0.0861% · dist_ema21: -0.569%
Force Relative 25% 0.3108 rs_1h: -0.532% · rs_4h: -2.530% · rs_1d: 0.85% · rs_3d: -18.93% · beta_24h: -1.505
Volume 20% 0.1773 rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -1.045 · trend: -14.79%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4672 ADX: 18.8 (weak) · Chop: 61.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.055% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 2.2h) Initial Risk: -4.866% (0.0044)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.957% 0.2R -0.258% 0.1R 3.7× 12
2h +0.957% 0.2R -1.514% 0.3R 0.6× 24
2.2h ★ +0.957% 0.2R -1.514% 0.3R 0.6× 25
4h +0.957% 0.2R -1.514% 0.3R 0.6× 48
8h +0.957% 0.2R -6.209% 1.3R 0.2× 96
12h +0.957% 0.2R -6.248% 1.3R 0.2× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.64
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range strong grind compression bear_high_confirmed
53%
noisy_chop 46% late near -1.7ATR bear_high -2.95% -1.00 07/08 20:00
4h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong balanced expansion bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 50% early near -0.4ATR 0.16 bull_medium +1.27% -0.96 08/08 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 39% early near -0.2ATR 0.09 bull_low +0.76% -0.53 08/08 06:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 46% early near -0.1ATR -0.03 range_low +0.16% -0.03 08/08 06:45
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 24b 9.729×ATR p94 -1.886×ATR p98
4h ↓ down early 5b 1.625×ATR p0 -0.228×ATR p17
1h ↓ down early 3b 1.728×ATR p17 -0.105×ATR p10
15m ↓ down early 2b 1.814×ATR p6 -0.337×ATR p29

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.09482943
  2. tp_price: 0.08817413
  3. atr: 0.00175777
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-08T17:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 39
  2. total: 40
  3. score: 0.3048
  4. delta_2h: -0.0157
  5. extension_atr: -0.38
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2104
  9. confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 07:10 0.09043500 +0.006%
2 08:10 0.09001600 -0.458%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.09043 0.09483 0.08817 0.51 0.1174
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.09043
  • Stop Loss: 0.09483
  • Take Profit: 0.08817

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.09483 - 0.09043 = 0.0044

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.09043 - 0.08817 = 0.00226

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00226 / 0.0044 = 0.5136

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
164.6357 100 1820.4864 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0044

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0044 = 1818.18

Taille de position USD = 1818.18 x 0.09043 = 164.42

Donc, tu peux acheter 1818.18 avec un stoploss a 0.09483

Avec un position size USD de 164.42$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1818.18 x 0.0044 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1818.18 x 0.00226 = 4.11

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.11$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1818.18
  • Taille de position USD 164.42
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.11
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5136

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.11 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.87 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-0.71 $ -0.43
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.5139 % 31.11 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.09043 0.09483 0.08817 0.51 0.1174
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.09043
  • Stop Loss: 0.09483
  • Take Profit: 0.08817

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.09483 - 0.09043 = 0.0044

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.09043 - 0.08817 = 0.00226

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00226 / 0.0044 = 0.5136

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 2.2h) Initial Risk: -4.866% (0.0044)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.957% 0.2R -0.258% 0.1R 3.7× 12
2h +0.957% 0.2R -1.514% 0.3R 0.6× 24
2.2h ★ +0.957% 0.2R -1.514% 0.3R 0.6× 25
4h +0.957% 0.2R -1.514% 0.3R 0.6× 48
8h +0.957% 0.2R -6.209% 1.3R 0.2× 96
12h +0.957% 0.2R -6.248% 1.3R 0.2× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

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