Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 139.29 KAITO at 0.697$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.755 (8.24 %)
Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 139.29 KAITO at 0.697$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.755 (8.24 %)
Position
Entry 0.6975$
Qty 139.2919 KAITO
Size 97.1631$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 97.16$
SL 0.755 (-8.24%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0322
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.16×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.66×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 08:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 08/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 08/08 07:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0589 | r1h: -0.219% · r4h: -4.247% · r1d: -19.50% · r3d: -22.65% · ema21_slope: -0.7233% · dist_ema21: -9.875% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1554 | rs_1h: -0.142% · rs_4h: -4.255% · rs_1d: -19.41% · rs_3d: -24.04% · beta_24h: 0.185 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7065 | rvol_20: 1.77× · zscore_50: 1.678 · trend: 94.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8303 | ADX: 39.6 (trend) · Chop: 26.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.749% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.977% | 0.2R | -1.055% | 0.1R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.977% | 0.2R | -2.222% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.977% | 0.2R | -2.222% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.977% | 0.2R | -2.222% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.014% | 0.7R | -7.693% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.014% | 0.7R | -7.693% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.39 | bear_high | -2.95% | -0.95 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
51%
|
choppy 51% | late | — | — | 0.00 | bull_medium | +1.29% | -0.99 | 08/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
choppy 57% | late | — | — | -0.16 | range_low | +0.68% | -0.99 | 08/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.09% | -0.72 | 08/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 4.667×ATR | p60 | -0.857×ATR | p73 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 40b | — | 11.895×ATR | p100 | -2.382×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 20b | — | 11.439×ATR | p100 | -2.033×ATR | p96 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 22b | — | 8.398×ATR | p96 | -0.909×ATR | p58 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6975 | 0.755 | 0.3051 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.755 - 0.6975 = 0.0575
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6975 - = 0.6975
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6975 / 0.0575 = 12.1304
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97.1631 | 97.1631 | 139.2919 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0575 = 139.13
Taille de position USD = 139.13 x 0.6975 = 97.04
Donc, tu peux acheter 139.13 avec un stoploss a 0.755
Avec un position size USD de 97.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 139.13 x 0.0575 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 139.13 x 0.6975 = 97.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 97.04$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 97.16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.24 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.17 $ | 0.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.2222 % | 26.96 % | 20 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6975 | 0.755 | 0.3051 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.755 - 0.6975 = 0.0575
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6975 - = 0.6975
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6975 / 0.0575 = 12.1304
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.977% | 0.2R | -1.055% | 0.1R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.977% | 0.2R | -2.222% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.977% | 0.2R | -2.222% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.977% | 0.2R | -2.222% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.014% | 0.7R | -7.693% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.014% | 0.7R | -7.693% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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