Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 22.36 TAO at 196.24$ per unit. Take profit: 196.9556 (0.36 %) & Stop Loss: 195.8822 (0.18 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 22.36 TAO at 196.24$ per unit. Take profit: 196.9556 (0.36 %) & Stop Loss: 195.8822 (0.18 %)
Position
Entry 196.24$
Qty 22.36 TAO
Size 4387.9349$ (margin 100$) (leverage 44)
Risk Setup
TP 196.9556 (+0.36%)
TP $ 16$
SL 195.8822 (-0.18%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7616
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.80×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.51×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 11.53×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 09:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.17871 15m : 0.482907 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 08/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 08/08 09:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5532 | r1h: 0.254% · r4h: 0.173% · r1d: 1.98% · r3d: 0.61% · ema21_slope: 0.0934% · dist_ema21: 0.946% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5377 | rs_1h: 0.199% · rs_4h: 0.151% · rs_1d: 2.40% · rs_3d: -0.45% · beta_24h: 2.561 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1563 | rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.656 · trend: -51.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6225 | ADX: 29.6 (trend) · Chop: 53.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.665% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.229% | 1.3R | -0.189% | 1.0R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.065% | 5.8R | -0.189% | 1.0R | 5.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.310% | 7.2R | -0.189% | 1.0R | 7.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.074% | 11.4R | -0.189% | 1.0R | 11.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.185% | 39.4R | -0.189% | 1.0R | 38.1× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 32% | late | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -3.02% | -0.12 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 32% | mid | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.70 | bull_medium | +1.28% | -0.13 | 08/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bull_medium |
65%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.63 | range_low | +0.72% | +0.25 | 08/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.52 | range_low | +0.14% | -0.02 | 08/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 54b | — | 10.862×ATR | p93 | +0.292×ATR | p32 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.435×ATR | p21 | +0.604×ATR | p65 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.704×ATR | p8 | +0.448×ATR | p49 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.215×ATR | p22 | -0.86×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64964.7
0.000234829
64980
0.17871
64982.9
-4.55176E-5
64980
0.482907
64548.3
0.00659404
64974
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194.87
191
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0.7329
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0.7483
0.6618
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0.7713
0.6669
0.1501
0.088
1
1.3501
2.1981
0.5
0.5
1
9
1
0.5401
0.9135
2.7967
0.6
0.551
1.541
2.1981
0.5178
0.3135
0
-0.3114
0.4457
0.5233
0.9006
0.6669
-3.8013
7.6119
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:32 | 196.24000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:38 | 195.96000000 | -0.143% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 07:50:00 | 196.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 08:10:00 | 197 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 08:50:00 | 196.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 09:30:00 | 196.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 09:45:00 | 196.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 10:45:00 | 196.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 11:25:00 | 196.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 12:35:00 | 197.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 13:05:00 | 197.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 13:30:00 | 196.21 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 00:00:00 | 192.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 04:00:00 | 197.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 05:45:00 | 194.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 06:45:00 | 197.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 07:45:00 | 196.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 09:45:00 | 196.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 11:15:00 | 196.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 12:30:00 | 197.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 13:00:00 | 197.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 13:30:00 | 196.21 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 198.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 190.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 19:00:00 | 194.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 20:00:00 | 191.34 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 190.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 11:00:00 | 194.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 190.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 195.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 197.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 13:00:00 | 197.31 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196.24 | 195.8822 | 196.9556 | 2 | 229.51 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 195.8822 - 196.24 = -0.3578
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 196.24 - 196.9556 = -0.71559999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.71559999999999 / -0.3578 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4387.9349 | 100 | 22.36 | 44.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.3578 = -22.36
Taille de position USD = -22.36 x 196.24 = -4387.93
Donc, tu peux acheter -22.36 avec un stoploss a 195.8822
Avec un position size USD de -4387.93$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -22.36 x -0.3578 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -22.36 x -0.71559999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.18 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1885 % | 103.4 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196.24 | 195.8822 | 196.9556 | 2 | 229.51 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 195.8822 - 196.24 = -0.3578
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 196.24 - 196.9556 = -0.71559999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.71559999999999 / -0.3578 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.229% | 1.3R | -0.189% | 1.0R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.065% | 5.8R | -0.189% | 1.0R | 5.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.310% | 7.2R | -0.189% | 1.0R | 7.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.074% | 11.4R | -0.189% | 1.0R | 11.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.185% | 39.4R | -0.189% | 1.0R | 38.1× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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