Short Trade on PUMP (BosPullback)
With 159553.25 PUMP at 0.0023$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002177 (5.43 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002352 (2.17 %)
Short Trade on PUMP (BosPullback)
With 159553.25 PUMP at 0.0023$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002177 (5.43 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002352 (2.17 %)
Position
Entry 0.002302$
Qty 159553.2509 PUMP
Size 367.2916$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002177 (+5.43%)
TP $ 19.94$
SL 0.002352 (-2.17%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2904
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.45×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.15×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 09:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 08/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 08/08 09:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4019 | r1h: -1.117% · r4h: -0.347% · r1d: -1.07% · r3d: -8.98% · ema21_slope: -0.0260% · dist_ema21: -0.007% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3517 | rs_1h: -1.173% · rs_4h: -0.368% · rs_1d: -0.65% · rs_3d: -10.04% · beta_24h: 1.576 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7335 | rvol_20: 3.16× · zscore_50: 0.905 · trend: 4.87% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3985 | ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 68.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.593% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.261% | 0.1R | -1.607% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.261% | 0.1R | -2.346% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.261% | 0.1R | -4.865% | 2.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.261% | 0.1R | -5.126% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.261% | 0.1R | -6.777% | 3.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -3.02% | +0.89 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.45 | bull_medium | +1.28% | -0.77 | 08/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near -0.5ATR | near -0.9ATR | 0.33 | range_low | +0.72% | -0.07 | 08/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
33%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.5ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.14% | +0.07 | 08/08 09:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 25b | — | 5.122×ATR | p89 | +0.351×ATR | p42 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 3.566×ATR | p60 | -0.114×ATR | p12 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 2.07×ATR | p37 | +0.182×ATR | p21 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.185×ATR | p23 | -0.075×ATR | p11 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.002234
133
0.3954
0.599
0.2774
0.2182
0.3258
1
0.2379
0.4618
0.3641
0.1477
0.5534
0.4386
0.0237
-0.0133
0.3333
0.0531
-0.4388
0.55
0.45
-1
16
1
0.5637
0.6725
2.5961
0.55
1.5753
2.8571
-0.4388
0.3314
0.2678
0.12
-0.1865
0.4481
0.5254
0
0.4386
-8.5763
6.7003
1
0
0
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0.002234
0.002349
0.002349
0.002234
0.002323
0.00225
0.0022865
1.0697
0.002426
0.002356
0.002391
0.7568
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002302 | 0.002352 | 0.002177 | 2.5 | 0.004386 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002352 - 0.002302 = 5.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002302 - 0.002177 = 0.000125
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000125 / 5.0E-5 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 367.2916 | 100 | 159553.2509 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 5.0E-5 = 160000
Taille de position USD = 160000 x 0.002302 = 368.32
Donc, tu peux acheter 160000 avec un stoploss a 0.002352
Avec un position size USD de 368.32$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 160000 x 5.0E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 160000 x 0.000125 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.43 % | 19.94 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.17 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -2.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.3458 % | 108 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002302 | 0.002352 | 0.002177 | 2.5 | 0.004386 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002352 - 0.002302 = 5.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002302 - 0.002177 = 0.000125
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000125 / 5.0E-5 = 2.5
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.261% | 0.1R | -1.607% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.261% | 0.1R | -2.346% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.261% | 0.1R | -4.865% | 2.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.261% | 0.1R | -5.126% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.261% | 0.1R | -6.777% | 3.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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