Long Trade on ACE

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08 Aug 2026 at 11:08:30 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ACE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 454.94 ACE at 0.132$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1761 (33.31 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1145 (13.32 %)

ACE LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 08 Aug 2026 11:08 → 23:05 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.1321$

Qty 454.9391 ACE

Size 60.0975$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1761 (+33.31%)

TP $ 20.02$

SL 0.1145 (-13.32%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -1.67% / -1$ MAE -7.04% MFE +23.24% 1.7R expires 08 Aug 23:08 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 62718)

#4 / 37 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3514

Quality Score

0.729

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

90 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

1 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

4.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 11:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#4 / 37 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

90 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+7 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

13.32 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#4 / 37 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

90 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+7 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

13.32 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	—
1d	clear	8.25×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↓ down	late	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 11:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

08/08 11:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 08/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 08/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

07/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

08/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

08/08 10:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.7291

Score SMA

0.4466

Rank

#4 / 37

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3514

Rank Norm SMA

0.2845

Calculé le

08/08/2026 11:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.8898	r1h: 7.112% · r4h: 20.077% · r1d: 11.41% · r3d: 77.05% · ema21_slope: -0.0829% · dist_ema21: 11.524%
Force Relative	25%	1.0000	rs_1h: 6.974% · rs_4h: 19.928% · rs_1d: 11.18% · rs_3d: 76.06% · beta_24h: 0.787
Volume	20%	0.5734	rvol_20: 2.54× · zscore_50: -0.181 · trend: -5.37%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6499	ADX: 26.5 (trend) · Chop: 47.0 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 6.730% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -13.323% (0.0176)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+12.869%	1.0R	-7.040%	0.5R	1.8×	12
2h	+23.240%	1.7R	-7.040%	0.5R	3.3×	24
4h	+23.240%	1.7R	-7.040%	0.5R	3.3×	48
8h	+23.240%	1.7R	-7.040%	0.5R	3.3×	96
12h ★	+23.240%	1.7R	-7.040%	0.5R	3.3×	144
24h	+23.240%	1.7R	-9.690%	0.7R	2.4×	288

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 4.66

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 36%	late	—	—	0.32	bear_high	-3.02%	+1.00	07/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 44%	early	—	—	0.04	bull_medium	+1.31%	+1.00	08/08 08:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	67%	noisy_chop 39%	late	—	—	-0.02	bull_low	+0.86%	+0.66	08/08 10:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	—	near -1.6ATR	—	range_low	+0.28%	+0.96	08/08 10:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	late	1b	—	1.803×ATR	p0	+1.755×ATR	p98
4h	↓ down	early	8b	—	2.526×ATR	p14	+0.237×ATR	p23
1h	↑ up	late	1b	—	1.272×ATR	p0	+1.571×ATR	p92
15m	↑ up	mid	8b	—	2.876×ATR	p36	+0.929×ATR	p80

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

long_trend: 1
confidence: 0.9038
reason: up_bo width=2.60×ATR dur=25b phase=fresh
stop_price: 0.11451523
tp_price: 0.17606193
atr:
score: 0.90376042786623
expires_at: 2026-08-09T03:08:22.282667
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.90376042786623

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : -0.0702
obi_top10 : 0.0025
micro_price : 0.12745895
spread_pct : 0.157109
mid_price : 0.1274
bid_wall_price :
bid_wall_size :
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 0.131
ask_wall_size : 108655.624
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : -0.0414
obi_top5_std : 0.0201
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7066
aggregation_tick : 0.001
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
0.1262
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
0.1045
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
0.11535
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1786114800
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1786201200
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
2.5995
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
25
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: forming
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.9038
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1786197600
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
0.1262
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.84
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
0.7068
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
2
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
11
```
regime : bull_high
atr_entry : 0.00834771

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.84

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

0.7068

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	11:08	0.13210000	0%
2	11:14	0.13210000	0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7066ms Confidence avant OB : 90% → 90%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.070

avg -0.041 ± 0.020

OBI Top 10 0.003

Microstructure

Mid Price

0.1274

Micro Price

0.1275

Spread

0.1571%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

0.1310

Size

108,655.62

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1321	0.1145	0.1761	2.5	0.1752

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1321
Stop Loss: 0.1145
Take Profit: 0.1761

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1145 - 0.1321 = -0.0176
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1321 - 0.1761 = -0.044
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.044 / -0.0176 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
60.0975	60.0975	454.9391	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.0176

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0176 = -454.55

Taille de position USD = -454.55 x 0.1321 = -60.05

Donc, tu peux acheter -454.55 avec un stoploss a 0.1145

Avec un position size USD de -60.05$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -454.55 x -0.0176 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -454.55 x -0.044 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

Taille de position -454.55
Taille de position USD -60.05
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 20
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
33.31 %	20.02 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
13.32 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-1 $	-1.67

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-7.0401 %	52.84 %	3

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1321	0.1145	0.1761	2.5	0.1752

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1321
Stop Loss: 0.1145
Take Profit: 0.1761

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1145 - 0.1321 = -0.0176
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1321 - 0.1761 = -0.044
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.044 / -0.0176 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -13.323% (0.0176)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+12.869%	1.0R	-7.040%	0.5R	1.8×	12
2h	+23.240%	1.7R	-7.040%	0.5R	3.3×	24
4h	+23.240%	1.7R	-7.040%	0.5R	3.3×	48
8h	+23.240%	1.7R	-7.040%	0.5R	3.3×	96
12h ★	+23.240%	1.7R	-7.040%	0.5R	3.3×	144
24h	+23.240%	1.7R	-9.690%	0.7R	2.4×	288

computed 3 weeks ago

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