Long Trade on PENGU

Previous Trade Next Trade

08 Aug 2026 at 11:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PENGU (momentum_rotation_score)

With 51656.23 PENGU at 0.0063$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00615 (2.46 %)

PENGU LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 08 Aug 2026 11:10 → 14:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.006305$

Qty 51656.2278 PENGU

Size 325.6925$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 325.69$

SL 0.00615 (-2.46%)

SL $ 8.01$

Status loss PnL -0.11% / -0.36$ MAE -0.52% MFE +0.36% 0.2R expires 08 Aug 14:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 62723)

#10 / 37 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9030

Quality Score

0.614

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

1 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.2M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 11:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#10 / 37 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.46 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#10 / 37 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.46 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-1.35×ATR
4h	near	0.43×ATR
1d	clear	0.70×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↑ up	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 11:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

08/08 11:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 08/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 08/08 10:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

07/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

08/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

08/08 10:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.6136

Score SMA

0.5137

Rank

#10 / 37

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9030

Rank Norm SMA

0.4869

Calculé le

08/08/2026 11:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6590	r1h: 1.219% · r4h: 1.349% · r1d: 5.40% · r3d: 3.58% · ema21_slope: 0.1814% · dist_ema21: 2.392%
Force Relative	25%	0.6562	rs_1h: 1.081% · rs_4h: 1.200% · rs_1d: 5.16% · rs_3d: 2.59% · beta_24h: 2.767
Volume	20%	0.1753	rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.669 · trend: -35.09%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7786	ADX: 33.9 (trend) · Chop: 38.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 0.861% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -2.458% (0.0002)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.365%	0.2R	-0.523%	0.2R	0.7×	12
2h	+0.365%	0.2R	-0.523%	0.2R	0.7×	24
3h ★	+0.365%	0.2R	-0.523%	0.2R	0.7×	36
4h	+1.570%	0.6R	-0.523%	0.2R	3.0×	48
8h	+1.776%	0.7R	-0.523%	0.2R	3.4×	96
12h	+1.776%	0.7R	-1.047%	0.4R	1.7×	144

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60

ML Pullback Score: 1.98

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	pullback	bear_trend	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 36%	early	near -0.4ATR	—	0.74	bear_high	-3.02%	+0.16	07/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 37%	mid	—	near 0.4ATR	0.66	bull_medium	+1.31%	+0.17	08/08 08:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	compression	bull_high	69%	noisy_chop 53%	mid	—	near -1.4ATR	0.58	bull_low	+0.86%	+0.41	08/08 10:00
15m	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_low	48%	noisy_chop 50%	late	—	near -2.6ATR	—	range_low	+0.28%	+0.13	08/08 10:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	35b	—	2.161×ATR	p0	+0.437×ATR	p45
4h	↑ up	mid	10b	—	2.763×ATR	p39	+0.828×ATR	p76
1h	↑ up	mid	5b	—	2.045×ATR	p19	+1.018×ATR	p81
15m	↑ up	late	20b	—	4.598×ATR	p87	+1.603×ATR	p89

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.00615013
atr: 5.162E-5
expires_at: 2026-08-08T18:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 4
total: 40
score: 0.659
confidence: 0.923

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.006305	0.00615			0.00855

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.006305
Stop Loss: 0.00615
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.00615 - 0.006305 = -0.000155
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.006305 - = 0.006305
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.006305 / -0.000155 = -40.6774

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
325.6925	100	51656.2278	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.000155

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000155 = -51612.9

Taille de position USD = -51612.9 x 0.006305 = -325.42

Donc, tu peux acheter -51612.9 avec un stoploss a 0.00615

Avec un position size USD de -325.42$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -51612.9 x -0.000155 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -51612.9 x 0.006305 = -325.42

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -325.42$

Résumé

Taille de position -51612.9
Taille de position USD -325.42
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel -325.42
Risk-Reward Ratio -40.6774

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	325.69 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.46 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-0.36 $	-0.11

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.5234 %	21.29 %	13

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.006305	0.00615			0.00855

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.006305
Stop Loss: 0.00615
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.00615 - 0.006305 = -0.000155
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.006305 - = 0.006305
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.006305 / -0.000155 = -40.6774

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.006305
            [stop_loss] => 0.0061345
            [rr_ratio] => 36.98
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-08 15:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.006305
            [stop_loss] => 0.006119
            [rr_ratio] => 33.9
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-08 15:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.006305
            [stop_loss] => 0.0061035
            [rr_ratio] => 31.29
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-08 15:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.006305
            [stop_loss] => 0.0060725
            [rr_ratio] => 27.12
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-08 15:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -2.458% (0.0002)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.365%	0.2R	-0.523%	0.2R	0.7×	12
2h	+0.365%	0.2R	-0.523%	0.2R	0.7×	24
3h ★	+0.365%	0.2R	-0.523%	0.2R	0.7×	36
4h	+1.570%	0.6R	-0.523%	0.2R	3.0×	48
8h	+1.776%	0.7R	-0.523%	0.2R	3.4×	96
12h	+1.776%	0.7R	-1.047%	0.4R	1.7×	144

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.