Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 128928.28 PUMP at 0.00237$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00253 (6.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002313 (2.61 %)
08 Aug 2026 at 12:09:40
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
08 Aug 2026 12:09
→ 00:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.002375$
Qty 128928.2836 PUMP
Size 306.2047$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.00253 (+6.53%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.002313 (-2.61%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+4.80%
/ +14.7$
MAE -1.22%
MFE +5.26%
2.0R
expires
09 Aug 00:09
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 62765)
#10 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 12:00
score du 08/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3787
Quality Score
0.603
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
17.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 12:02
08/08 12:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#10 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#10 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.23×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.88×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 12:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 08/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 08/08 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6034
Score SMA
0.4566
Rank
#10
/ 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3787
Rank Norm SMA
0.2355
Calculé le
08/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5619 | r1h: 0.897% · r4h: 1.547% · r1d: 1.99% · r3d: -4.91% · ema21_slope: 0.0358% · dist_ema21: 2.316% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5434 | rs_1h: 1.007% · rs_4h: 1.405% · rs_1d: 1.75% · rs_3d: -5.97% · beta_24h: 3.568 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6075 | rvol_20: 2.21× · zscore_50: 0.551 · trend: 22.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5168 | ADX: 16.6 (weak) · Chop: 53.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.543% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.611%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.337% | 0.1R | -1.221% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.642% | 0.6R | -1.221% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.853% | 0.7R | -1.221% | 0.5R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.495% | 1.3R | -1.221% | 0.5R | 2.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.263% | 2.0R | -1.221% | 0.5R | 4.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +15.705% | 6.0R | -1.221% | 0.5R | 12.9× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.02
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -3.02% | +0.89 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.45 | bull_medium | +1.41% | -0.69 | 08/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.33 | bull_low | +0.77% | -0.02 | 08/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.24 | range_low | +0.18% | +0.26 | 08/08 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 25b | — | 5.122×ATR | p89 | +0.351×ATR | p42 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 3.007×ATR | p50 | +0.33×ATR | p33 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 18b | — | 3.248×ATR | p69 | +0.986×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 6.041×ATR | p100 | +1.272×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.873
- reason: up_bo width=2.28×ATR dur=52b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.00231295
- tp_price: 0.00253013
- atr:
- score: 0.87300197960639
- expires_at: 2026-08-09T04:09:32.632758
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.87300197960639
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0882
- obi_top10 : 0.0433
- micro_price : 0.0023608
- spread_pct : 0.042373
- mid_price : 0.0023605
- bid_wall_price : 0.00234
- bid_wall_size : 62236221
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.00238
- ask_wall_size : 48346410.8
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0876
- obi_top5_std : 0.0016
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7117
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.002357
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.002276
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0023165
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786021200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786204800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2792
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
52
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.873
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786201200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.002357
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6731
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.5065
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
14
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 3.554E-5 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
52
inside_close_ratio
0.6731
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.5065
Signaux confirmants (42)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:09 | 0.00237500 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:15 | 0.00237500 | 0% |
| 3 | 12:21 | 0.00236400 | -0.463% |
| 4 | 12:27 | 0.00236400 | -0.463% |
| 5 | 12:33 | 0.00236400 | -0.463% |
| 6 | 13:09 | 0.00237100 | -0.168% |
| 7 | 13:15 | 0.00237100 | -0.168% |
| 8 | 13:21 | 0.00237800 | +0.126% |
| 9 | 13:27 | 0.00237800 | +0.126% |
| 10 | 13:33 | 0.00237800 | +0.126% |
| 11 | 13:39 | 0.00239400 | +0.8% |
| 12 | 13:45 | 0.00239400 | +0.8% |
| 13 | 13:51 | 0.00240500 | +1.263% |
| 14 | 13:57 | 0.00240500 | +1.263% |
| 15 | 14:04 | 0.00240500 | +1.263% |
| 16 | 14:09 | 0.00238500 | +0.421% |
| 17 | 14:15 | 0.00238500 | +0.421% |
| 18 | 14:21 | 0.00238600 | +0.463% |
| 19 | 14:27 | 0.00238600 | +0.463% |
| 20 | 14:34 | 0.00238600 | +0.463% |
| 21 | 14:39 | 0.00238400 | +0.379% |
| 22 | 14:45 | 0.00238400 | +0.379% |
| 23 | 14:51 | 0.00238800 | +0.547% |
| 24 | 14:57 | 0.00238800 | +0.547% |
| 25 | 15:04 | 0.00238800 | +0.547% |
| 26 | 15:10 | 0.00239000 | +0.632% |
| 27 | 15:15 | 0.00239000 | +0.632% |
| 28 | 15:21 | 0.00239000 | +0.632% |
| 29 | 15:27 | 0.00239000 | +0.632% |
| 30 | 15:34 | 0.00239000 | +0.632% |
| 31 | 15:39 | 0.00241000 | +1.474% |
| 32 | 15:45 | 0.00241000 | +1.474% |
| 33 | 15:51 | 0.00238900 | +0.589% |
| 34 | 15:57 | 0.00238900 | +0.589% |
| 35 | 16:04 | 0.00238900 | +0.589% |
| 36 | 16:09 | 0.00239400 | +0.8% |
| 37 | 16:15 | 0.00239400 | +0.8% |
| 38 | 16:21 | 0.00238600 | +0.463% |
| 39 | 16:27 | 0.00238600 | +0.463% |
| 40 | 16:34 | 0.00238600 | +0.463% |
| 41 | 16:39 | 0.00239900 | +1.011% |
| 42 | 16:45 | 0.00239900 | +1.011% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7117ms
Confidence avant OB :
87%
→
87%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.088
avg 0.088
± 0.002
OBI Top 10
0.043
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0024
Micro Price
0.0024
Spread
0.0424%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0023
Size
62,236,221.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0024
Size
48,346,410.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002375 | 0.002313 | 0.00253 | 2.5 | 0.004762 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002375
- Stop Loss: 0.002313
- Take Profit: 0.00253
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002313 - 0.002375 = -6.2E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002375 - 0.00253 = -0.000155
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000155 / -6.2E-5 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 306.2047 | 100 | 128928.2836 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -6.2E-5
Taille de position = 8 / -6.2E-5 = -129032.26
Taille de position USD = -129032.26 x 0.002375 = -306.45
Donc, tu peux acheter -129032.26 avec un stoploss a 0.002313
Avec un position size USD de -306.45$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -129032.26 x -6.2E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -129032.26 x -0.000155 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -129032.26
- Taille de position USD -306.45
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.53 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.61 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 14.7 $ | 4.80 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2211 % | 46.78 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002375 | 0.002313 | 0.00253 | 2.5 | 0.004762 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002375
- Stop Loss: 0.002313
- Take Profit: 0.00253
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002313 - 0.002375 = -6.2E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002375 - 0.00253 = -0.000155
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000155 / -6.2E-5 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.611%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.337% | 0.1R | -1.221% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.642% | 0.6R | -1.221% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.853% | 0.7R | -1.221% | 0.5R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.495% | 1.3R | -1.221% | 0.5R | 2.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.263% | 2.0R | -1.221% | 0.5R | 4.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +15.705% | 6.0R | -1.221% | 0.5R | 12.9× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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