Long Trade on BNB (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.83 BNB at 603.53$ per unit. Take profit: 627.5585 (3.98 %) & Stop Loss: 593.9186 (1.59 %)
08 Aug 2026 at 12:36:44
hyperliquid
BNB
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
08 Aug 2026 12:36
→ 00:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 603.53$
Qty 0.8323 BNB
Size 502.3451$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 627.5585 (+3.98%)
TP $ 20$
SL 593.9186 (-1.59%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.30%
/ -1.52$
MAE -0.76%
MFE +0.39%
0.2R
expires
09 Aug 00:36
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 62739)
#9 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 12:00
score du 08/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6796
Quality Score
0.604
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 12:30
08/08 12:30
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#9 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#9 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.75×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 12:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 08/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 08/08 12:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6044
Score SMA
0.5019
Rank
#9
/ 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6796
Rank Norm SMA
0.4732
Calculé le
08/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5901 | r1h: 0.317% · r4h: 1.482% · r1d: 2.21% · r3d: 0.95% · ema21_slope: 0.0575% · dist_ema21: 1.600% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5695 | rs_1h: 0.427% · rs_4h: 1.341% · rs_1d: 1.98% · rs_3d: -0.10% · beta_24h: 1.063 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3693 | rvol_20: 0.70× · zscore_50: -0.199 · trend: 63.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7409 | ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 4.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.416% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.593%
(9.6114)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.389% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.389% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +0.389% | 0.2R | -0.268% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.389% | 0.2R | -0.759% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.389% | 0.2R | -0.759% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.314% | 0.8R | -0.759% | 0.5R | 1.7× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.3
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.83 | bear_high | -3.02% | +0.38 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.81 | bull_medium | +1.38% | +0.01 | 08/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_low_confirmed |
40%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | — | 0.64 | bull_low | +0.79% | +0.20 | 08/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_low |
55%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.40 | range_low | +0.18% | +0.13 | 08/08 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 3.186×ATR | p35 | +0.507×ATR | p55 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 4.36×ATR | p68 | +1.965×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 1.008×ATR | p2 | +2.259×ATR | p98 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.874×ATR | p19 | +0.042×ATR | p4 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.775
- reason: up_bo width=2.49×ATR dur=66b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 593.91860032
- tp_price: 627.5584992
- atr:
- score: 0.77498220736474
- expires_at: 2026-08-09T04:36:36.872275
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.77498220736474
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0332
- obi_top10 : -0.0332
- micro_price : 603.09829489
- spread_pct : 0.001658
- mid_price : 603.095
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0352
- obi_top5_std : 0.0028
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7090
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
597.405
- balance_zone_bottom:
590.95
- balance_zone_mid:
594.1775
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785970800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786204800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.4932
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
66
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.775
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786194000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
597.405
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7576
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.3658
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
22
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 2.58899679 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
66
inside_close_ratio
0.7576
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
2.3658
Signaux confirmants (33)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:36 | 603.53000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:42 | 603.53000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 12:48 | 604.23000000 | +0.116% |
| 4 | 12:54 | 604.23000000 | +0.116% |
| 5 | 13:01 | 604.23000000 | +0.116% |
| 6 | 15:06 | 603.24000000 | -0.048% |
| 7 | 15:12 | 603.24000000 | -0.048% |
| 8 | 15:36 | 603.12000000 | -0.068% |
| 9 | 15:42 | 603.12000000 | -0.068% |
| 10 | 15:48 | 602.95000000 | -0.096% |
| 11 | 15:54 | 602.95000000 | -0.096% |
| 12 | 16:01 | 602.95000000 | -0.096% |
| 13 | 16:18 | 602.89000000 | -0.106% |
| 14 | 16:24 | 602.89000000 | -0.106% |
| 15 | 16:31 | 602.89000000 | -0.106% |
| 16 | 16:36 | 602.20000000 | -0.22% |
| 17 | 16:42 | 602.20000000 | -0.22% |
| 18 | 16:48 | 602.29000000 | -0.205% |
| 19 | 16:54 | 602.29000000 | -0.205% |
| 20 | 17:01 | 602.29000000 | -0.205% |
| 21 | 17:06 | 601.90000000 | -0.27% |
| 22 | 17:12 | 601.90000000 | -0.27% |
| 23 | 17:18 | 602.16000000 | -0.227% |
| 24 | 17:24 | 602.16000000 | -0.227% |
| 25 | 17:30 | 602.16000000 | -0.227% |
| 26 | 17:36 | 602.44000000 | -0.181% |
| 27 | 17:42 | 602.44000000 | -0.181% |
| 28 | 17:48 | 602.39000000 | -0.189% |
| 29 | 17:54 | 602.39000000 | -0.189% |
| 30 | 18:01 | 602.39000000 | -0.189% |
| 31 | 18:18 | 599.73000000 | -0.63% |
| 32 | 18:24 | 599.73000000 | -0.63% |
| 33 | 18:30 | 599.73000000 | -0.63% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7090ms
Confidence avant OB :
77%
→
78%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.033
avg -0.035
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
-0.033
Microstructure
Mid Price
603.0950
Micro Price
603.0983
Spread
0.0017%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603.53 | 593.9186 | 627.5585 | 2.5 | 702.41 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 603.53
- Stop Loss: 593.9186
- Take Profit: 627.5585
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 593.9186 - 603.53 = -9.6114
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 603.53 - 627.5585 = -24.0285
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -24.0285 / -9.6114 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 502.3451 | 100 | 0.8323 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -9.6114
Taille de position = 8 / -9.6114 = -0.83
Taille de position USD = -0.83 x 603.53 = -500.93
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.83 avec un stoploss a 593.9186
Avec un position size USD de -500.93$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.83 x -9.6114 = 7.98
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.83 x -24.0285 = 19.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.94$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.83
- Taille de position USD -500.93
- Perte potentielle 7.98
- Gain potentiel 19.94
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.98 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.59 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.52 $ | -0.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7589 % | 47.65 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603.53 | 593.9186 | 627.5585 | 2.5 | 702.41 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 603.53
- Stop Loss: 593.9186
- Take Profit: 627.5585
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 593.9186 - 603.53 = -9.6114
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 603.53 - 627.5585 = -24.0285
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -24.0285 / -9.6114 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.593%
(9.6114)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.389% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.389% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +0.389% | 0.2R | -0.268% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.389% | 0.2R | -0.759% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.389% | 0.2R | -0.759% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.314% | 0.8R | -0.759% | 0.5R | 1.7× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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