Long Trade on PENGU

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08 Aug 2026 at 17:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PENGU (momentum_rotation_score)

With 49388.81 PENGU at 0.00638$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006223 (2.54 %)

PENGU LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 08 Aug 2026 17:10 → 20:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.006385$

Qty 49388.8134 PENGU

Size 315.3476$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 315.35$

SL 0.006223 (-2.54%)

SL $ 8$

Status loss PnL -1.14% / -3.61$ MAE -1.85% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 08 Aug 20:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 62941)

#6 / 36 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8673

Quality Score

0.636

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

2 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 17:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#6 / 36 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.54 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#6 / 36 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.54 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	near	-0.60×ATR
1d	clear	0.52×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
4h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 17:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

08/08 17:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 08/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 08/08 16:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

07/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

08/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

08/08 16:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.6360

Score SMA

0.5639

Rank

#6 / 36

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8673

Rank Norm SMA

0.6783

Calculé le

08/08/2026 17:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6565	r1h: 0.647% · r4h: 1.383% · r1d: 6.37% · r3d: 3.39% · ema21_slope: 0.1746% · dist_ema21: 2.348%
Force Relative	25%	0.6592	rs_1h: 0.650% · rs_4h: 1.413% · rs_1d: 6.21% · rs_3d: 3.00% · beta_24h: 2.425
Volume	20%	0.2603	rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.716 · trend: 31.03%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8147	ADX: 44.6 (trend) · Chop: 45.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 0.878% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -2.537% (0.0002)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-0.799%	0.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.504%	0.6R	0.0×	24
3h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.848%	0.7R	0.0×	36
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.848%	0.7R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.287%	0.9R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.287%	0.9R	0.0×	144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60

ML Pullback Score: 0

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	pullback	bear_trend	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	early	near -0.2ATR	—	0.74	bear_high	-2.76%	+0.21	07/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 40%	late	—	near -0.6ATR	0.66	bull_medium	+1.31%	+0.27	08/08 16:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	67%	noisy_chop 47%	late	—	—	0.57	range_low	+0.71%	+0.50	08/08 16:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	normal	bull_medium	64%	noisy_chop 43%	mid	—	—	—	range_low	+0.13%	+0.11	08/08 16:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	35b	—	1.979×ATR	p0	+0.569×ATR	p57
4h	↑ up	late	12b	—	3.796×ATR	p65	+1.224×ATR	p92
1h	↑ up	late	11b	—	3.873×ATR	p78	+1.494×ATR	p94
15m	↑ up	mid	4b	—	1.975×ATR	p15	+0.999×ATR	p81

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.00622302
atr: 5.399E-5
expires_at: 2026-08-09T00:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 2
total: 36
score: 0.6565
confidence: 0.971

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.006385	0.006223			0.00937

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.006385
Stop Loss: 0.006223
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.006223 - 0.006385 = -0.000162
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.006385 - = 0.006385
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.006385 / -0.000162 = -39.4136

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
315.3476	100	49388.8134	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.000162

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000162 = -49382.72

Taille de position USD = -49382.72 x 0.006385 = -315.31

Donc, tu peux acheter -49382.72 avec un stoploss a 0.006223

Avec un position size USD de -315.31$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -49382.72 x -0.000162 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -49382.72 x 0.006385 = -315.31

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -315.31$

Résumé

Taille de position -49382.72
Taille de position USD -315.31
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel -315.31
Risk-Reward Ratio -39.4136

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	315.35 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.54 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-3.61 $	-1.14

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.8481 %	72.84 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.006385	0.006223			0.00937

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.006385
Stop Loss: 0.006223
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.006223 - 0.006385 = -0.000162
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.006385 - = 0.006385
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.006385 / -0.000162 = -39.4136

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.006385
            [stop_loss] => 0.0062068
            [rr_ratio] => 35.83
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-08 21:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.006385
            [stop_loss] => 0.0061906
            [rr_ratio] => 32.84
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-08 21:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.006385
            [stop_loss] => 0.0061744
            [rr_ratio] => 30.32
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-08 21:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.006385
            [stop_loss] => 0.006142
            [rr_ratio] => 26.28
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-08 21:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -2.537% (0.0002)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-0.799%	0.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.504%	0.6R	0.0×	24
3h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.848%	0.7R	0.0×	36
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.848%	0.7R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.287%	0.9R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.287%	0.9R	0.0×	144

computed 2 weeks ago

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