Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 126984.13 PUMP at 0.00238$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002533 (6.61 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002313 (2.65 %)
08 Aug 2026 at 18:09:56
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
08 Aug 2026 18:09
→ 02:45
· 8 hours
Position
Entry 0.002376$
Qty 126984.127 PUMP
Size 301.7143$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002533 (+6.61%)
TP $ 19.94$
SL 0.002313 (-2.65%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.49
Status
win
PnL
+6.61%
/ +19.94$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +8.00%
3.0R
expires
09 Aug 06:09
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 62982)
#6 / 36
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 18:00
score du 08/08/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7614
Quality Score
0.585
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
19.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 18:02
08/08 18:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 36
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 36
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.27×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.31×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.46×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 08/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 08/08 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5852
Score SMA
0.4961
Rank
#6
/ 36
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7614
Rank Norm SMA
0.3921
Calculé le
08/08/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6068 | r1h: 0.167% · r4h: 0.502% · r1d: 6.75% · r3d: -0.87% · ema21_slope: 0.1732% · dist_ema21: 2.429% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5902 | rs_1h: 0.188% · rs_4h: 0.590% · rs_1d: 6.53% · rs_3d: -1.38% · beta_24h: 2.732 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2977 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.387 · trend: 33.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6405 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 45.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.506% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.652%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.894% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.451% | 1.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +4.125% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +6.482% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +7.997% | 3.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +15.657% | 5.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.21
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -2.76% | +0.94 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.45 | bull_medium | +1.31% | -0.39 | 08/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.34 | range_low | +0.68% | +0.47 | 08/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.27 | range_low | +0.11% | +0.11 | 08/08 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 25b | — | 5.335×ATR | p89 | +0.598×ATR | p63 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.227×ATR | p19 | +0.759×ATR | p72 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 24b | — | 4.643×ATR | p87 | +0.734×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 0.87×ATR | p0 | +0.141×ATR | p16 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8443
- reason: up_bo width=2.32×ATR dur=58b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.002313
- tp_price: 0.00253349
- atr:
- score: 0.84433462423449
- expires_at: 2026-08-09T10:09:48.666104
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.84433462423449
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1235
- obi_top10 : 0.0712
- micro_price : 0.00237888
- spread_pct : 0.08414
- mid_price : 0.002378
- bid_wall_price : 0.00237
- bid_wall_size : 73245962.8
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.00239
- ask_wall_size : 67830069.6
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1042
- obi_top5_std : 0.0259
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7000
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.002357
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.002276
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0023165
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786021200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786226400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.3174
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
58
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8443
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786201200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.002357
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6034
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
7
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.5436
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
14
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 3.495E-5 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
58
inside_close_ratio
0.6034
bars_since_breakout
7
distance_to_edge_atr
0.5436
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:09 | 0.00237600 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:15 | 0.00237600 | 0% |
| 3 | 18:21 | 0.00239900 | +0.968% |
| 4 | 18:27 | 0.00239900 | +0.968% |
| 5 | 18:34 | 0.00239900 | +0.968% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7000ms
Confidence avant OB :
84%
→
84%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.124
avg 0.104
± 0.026
OBI Top 10
0.071
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0024
Micro Price
0.0024
Spread
0.0841%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0024
Size
73,245,962.80
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0024
Size
67,830,069.60
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002376 | 0.002313 | 0.002533 | 2.49 | 0.004688 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002376
- Stop Loss: 0.002313
- Take Profit: 0.002533
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002313 - 0.002376 = -6.3E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002376 - 0.002533 = -0.000157
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000157 / -6.3E-5 = 2.4921
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 301.7143 | 100 | 126984.127 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -6.3E-5
Taille de position = 8 / -6.3E-5 = -126984.13
Taille de position USD = -126984.13 x 0.002376 = -301.71
Donc, tu peux acheter -126984.13 avec un stoploss a 0.002313
Avec un position size USD de -301.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -126984.13 x -6.3E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -126984.13 x -0.000157 = 19.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.94$
Résumé
- Taille de position -126984.13
- Taille de position USD -301.71
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.94
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4921
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.61 % | 19.94 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.65 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 19.94 $ | 6.61 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002376 | 0.002313 | 0.002533 | 2.49 | 0.004688 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002376
- Stop Loss: 0.002313
- Take Profit: 0.002533
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002313 - 0.002376 = -6.3E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002376 - 0.002533 = -0.000157
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000157 / -6.3E-5 = 2.4921
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.652%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.894% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.451% | 1.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +4.125% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +6.482% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +7.997% | 3.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +15.657% | 5.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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