Long Trade on BNB (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.19 BNB at 600.66$ per unit. Take profit: 617.4288 (2.79 %) & Stop Loss: 593.9525 (1.12 %)
08 Aug 2026 at 18:36:45
hyperliquid
BNB
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
08 Aug 2026 18:36
→ 06:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 600.66$
Qty 1.1927 BNB
Size 716.4$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 617.4288 (+2.79%)
TP $ 20$
SL 593.9525 (-1.12%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.59%
/ +4.25$
MAE -0.14%
MFE +0.66%
0.6R
expires
09 Aug 06:36
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 62957)
#11 / 36
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 18:00
score du 08/08/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7162
Quality Score
0.553
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 18:30
08/08 18:30
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#11 / 36
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#11 / 36
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.34×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 08/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 08/08 18:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5527
Score SMA
0.5148
Rank
#11
/ 36
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7162
Rank Norm SMA
0.5188
Calculé le
08/08/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5367 | r1h: 0.027% · r4h: -0.341% · r1d: 1.68% · r3d: 1.21% · ema21_slope: 0.0893% · dist_ema21: 0.558% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5207 | rs_1h: 0.048% · rs_4h: -0.253% · rs_1d: 1.46% · rs_3d: 0.69% · beta_24h: 1.585 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1615 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -0.578 · trend: -64.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8613 | ADX: 43.4 (trend) · Chop: 16.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.366% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.117%
(6.7075)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.112% | 0.1R | -0.145% | 0.1R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.390% | 0.4R | -0.145% | 0.1R | 2.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.629% | 0.6R | -0.145% | 0.1R | 4.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.629% | 0.6R | -0.145% | 0.1R | 4.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.661% | 0.6R | -0.145% | 0.1R | 4.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.798% | 1.6R | -0.145% | 0.1R | 12.4× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.13
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.83 | bear_high | -2.76% | +0.48 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.81 | bull_medium | +1.20% | -0.07 | 08/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.64 | range_low | +0.56% | +0.13 | 08/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
36%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.39 | range_low | +0.01% | -0.05 | 08/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 3.586×ATR | p35 | +0.998×ATR | p84 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.204×ATR | p6 | +0.703×ATR | p68 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 5.39×ATR | p92 | -0.6×ATR | p55 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 26b | — | 6.178×ATR | p94 | -1.186×ATR | p79 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7728
- reason: up_bo width=2.87×ATR dur=72b phase=extending
- stop_price: 593.95246189
- tp_price: 617.42884527
- atr:
- score: 0.77282345018512
- expires_at: 2026-08-09T10:36:37.698734
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.77282345018512
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0047
- obi_top10 : 0.0047
- micro_price : 600.51968987
- spread_pct : 0.001665
- mid_price : 600.515
- bid_wall_price : 599
- bid_wall_size : 3947.496
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0044
- obi_top5_std : 0.0002
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6991
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
597.405
- balance_zone_bottom:
590.95
- balance_zone_mid:
594.1775
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785970800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786226400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8684
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
72
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7728
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786194000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
597.405
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6944
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
9
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4464
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
20
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 2.25038107 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
72
inside_close_ratio
0.6944
bars_since_breakout
9
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4464
Signaux confirmants (10)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:36 | 600.66000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:42 | 600.66000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 18:48 | 600.13000000 | -0.088% |
| 4 | 18:54 | 600.13000000 | -0.088% |
| 5 | 19:01 | 600.13000000 | -0.088% |
| 6 | 19:36 | 600.82000000 | +0.027% |
| 7 | 19:42 | 600.82000000 | +0.027% |
| 8 | 19:48 | 601.08000000 | +0.07% |
| 9 | 19:54 | 601.08000000 | +0.07% |
| 10 | 20:01 | 601.08000000 | +0.07% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6991ms
Confidence avant OB :
77%
→
77%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.005
avg 0.004
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.005
Microstructure
Mid Price
600.5150
Micro Price
600.5197
Spread
0.0017%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
599.0000
Size
3,947.50
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600.66 | 593.9525 | 617.4288 | 2.5 | 712.99 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 600.66
- Stop Loss: 593.9525
- Take Profit: 617.4288
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 593.9525 - 600.66 = -6.7075
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 600.66 - 617.4288 = -16.7688
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -16.7688 / -6.7075 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 716.4 | 100 | 1.1927 | 7.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -6.7075
Taille de position = 8 / -6.7075 = -1.19
Taille de position USD = -1.19 x 600.66 = -714.79
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.19 avec un stoploss a 593.9525
Avec un position size USD de -714.79$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.19 x -6.7075 = 7.98
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.19 x -16.7688 = 19.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.95$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.19
- Taille de position USD -714.79
- Perte potentielle 7.98
- Gain potentiel 19.95
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.79 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.12 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.25 $ | 0.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1448 % | 12.97 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600.66 | 593.9525 | 617.4288 | 2.5 | 712.99 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 600.66
- Stop Loss: 593.9525
- Take Profit: 617.4288
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 593.9525 - 600.66 = -6.7075
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 600.66 - 617.4288 = -16.7688
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -16.7688 / -6.7075 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.117%
(6.7075)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.112% | 0.1R | -0.145% | 0.1R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.390% | 0.4R | -0.145% | 0.1R | 2.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.629% | 0.6R | -0.145% | 0.1R | 4.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.629% | 0.6R | -0.145% | 0.1R | 4.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.661% | 0.6R | -0.145% | 0.1R | 4.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.798% | 1.6R | -0.145% | 0.1R | 12.4× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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