Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 224.51 LTC at 45.965$ per unit. Take profit: 46.0363 (0.16 %) & Stop Loss: 45.9294 (0.077 %)
Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 224.51 LTC at 45.965$ per unit. Take profit: 46.0363 (0.16 %) & Stop Loss: 45.9294 (0.077 %)
Position
Entry 45.965$
Qty 224.5083 LTC
Size 10319.523$ (margin 100$) (leverage 103)
Risk Setup
TP 46.0363 (+0.16%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 45.9294 (-0.077%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4647
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.19×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.47×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.38×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.082753 15m : 0.288222 |
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 08/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 08/08 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5417 | r1h: 0.013% · r4h: 0.511% · r1d: 1.32% · r3d: 1.81% · ema21_slope: 0.0396% · dist_ema21: 0.678% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5385 | rs_1h: 0.035% · rs_4h: 0.598% · rs_1d: 1.10% · rs_3d: 1.30% · beta_24h: 0.629 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2483 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.235 · trend: -4.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6216 | ADX: 21.8 (weak) · Chop: 45.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.309% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.083% | 1.1R | -0.131% | 1.7R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.263% | 3.4R | -0.131% | 1.7R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.389% | 5.0R | -0.139% | 1.8R | 2.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.389% | 5.0R | -0.233% | 3.0R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.772% | 10.0R | -0.233% | 3.0R | 3.3× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -2.76% | -0.31 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bull_medium | +1.20% | +0.13 | 08/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bull_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.59 | range_low | +0.54% | +0.08 | 08/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | range_low |
46%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.02% | +0.05 | 08/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 1.913×ATR | p0 | +0.414×ATR | p50 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 33b | — | 5.337×ATR | p86 | +0.794×ATR | p74 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 27b | — | 8.628×ATR | p100 | +0.5×ATR | p55 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.543×ATR | p42 | -0.504×ATR | p50 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65035.1
-0.00143245
64942
0.082753
64981.9
-0.000614737
64942
0.288222
64686.8
0.00397604
64944
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44.759
172
0.6558
0.7815
0.2988
0.2149
0.3675
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0.5396
0.4802
0.036
0.7048
0.9269
0.2235
0.1347
1
1.4824
2.8181
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-1
27
1
0.5702
0.8277
4.9767
0.6
2.8026
6.1494
2.8181
0
0.3167
0.06
-0.3649
0.3685
0.5789
0.7789
0.9269
-1.1986
15.2084
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:49 | 45.96500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:01 | 45.95300000 | -0.026% |
| 3 | 19:06 | 45.95100000 | -0.03% |
| 4 | 19:12 | 45.95100000 | -0.03% |
| 5 | 19:31 | 45.92300000 | -0.091% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 15:30:00 | 45.729 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 16:05:00 | 45.877 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:40:00 | 45.759 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 18:40:00 | 45.938 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 19:30:00 | 45.822 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:50:00 | 45.985 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 20:35:00 | 46.115 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:15:00 | 45.998 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 22:00:00 | 46.071 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:45:00 | 45.961 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 08:00:00 | 45.479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 08:30:00 | 45.604 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 10:30:00 | 45.482 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 11:00:00 | 45.639 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 45.479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 16:00:00 | 45.877 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 19:30:00 | 45.822 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 20:30:00 | 46.115 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:00:00 | 46.071 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:45:00 | 45.961 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 44.782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:00:00 | 45.826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 45.695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 45.312 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 46.051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 19:00:00 | 44.759 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 03:00:00 | 45.627 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 45.459 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 45.479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 20:00:00 | 46.115 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.965 | 45.9294 | 46.0363 | 2 | 49.829 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.9294 - 45.965 = -0.035600000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.965 - 46.0363 = -0.071299999999994
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.071299999999994 / -0.035600000000002 = 2.0028
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10319.523 | 100 | 224.5083 | 103.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.035600000000002 = -224.72
Taille de position USD = -224.72 x 45.965 = -10329.25
Donc, tu peux acheter -224.72 avec un stoploss a 45.9294
Avec un position size USD de -10329.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -224.72 x -0.035600000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -224.72 x -0.071299999999994 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.16 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.077 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.08 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0957 % | 123.48 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.965 | 45.9294 | 46.0363 | 2 | 49.829 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.9294 - 45.965 = -0.035600000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.965 - 46.0363 = -0.071299999999994
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.071299999999994 / -0.035600000000002 = 2.0028
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.083% | 1.1R | -0.131% | 1.7R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.263% | 3.4R | -0.131% | 1.7R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.389% | 5.0R | -0.139% | 1.8R | 2.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.389% | 5.0R | -0.233% | 3.0R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.772% | 10.0R | -0.233% | 3.0R | 3.3× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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