Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 465116.28 PENGU at 0.00631$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006346 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006295 (0.27 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 465116.28 PENGU at 0.00631$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006346 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006295 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 0.006312$
Qty 465116.2791 PENGU
Size 2935.814$ (margin 100$) (leverage 29)
Risk Setup
TP 0.006346 (+0.54%)
TP $ 15.81$
SL 0.006295 (-0.27%)
SL $ 7.91$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8665
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.46×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.52×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.008358 15m : 0.100267 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 08/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 08/08 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6085 | r1h: -0.766% · r4h: 0.794% · r1d: 6.30% · r3d: 3.04% · ema21_slope: 0.1812% · dist_ema21: 1.629% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5843 | rs_1h: -0.745% · rs_4h: 0.882% · rs_1d: 6.07% · rs_3d: 2.52% · beta_24h: 2.268 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2956 | rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.225 · trend: 17.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8486 | ADX: 46.6 (trend) · Chop: 43.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.911% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.713% | 2.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.507% | 1.9R | -0.713% | 2.7R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.634% | 2.4R | -0.840% | 3.1R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.634% | 2.4R | -1.157% | 4.3R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.982% | 3.7R | -1.157% | 4.3R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.74 | bear_high | -2.76% | +0.21 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.66 | bull_medium | +1.20% | +0.26 | 08/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.57 | range_low | +0.54% | +0.35 | 08/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.41 | range_low | -0.02% | +0.06 | 08/08 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 35b | — | 1.979×ATR | p0 | +0.569×ATR | p57 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 3.543×ATR | p65 | +1.081×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.459×ATR | p0 | +0.311×ATR | p33 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.962×ATR | p77 | -0.84×ATR | p71 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65030.7
-0.00136434
64942
0.008358
64981.9
-0.000629821
64941
0.100267
64686.8
0.00397604
64944
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0.7803
0.5879
0.7972
0.1994
0.1296
1
1.0289
2.4117
0.5
0.5
1
1
1
0.5266
0.3487
6.2124
0.55
1.7241
4.3763
2.4117
0.6566
0.3394
0.84
0.1145
0.4934
0.475
0.9437
0.7972
-1.7187
6.7556
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:51 | 0.00631200 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:57 | 0.00629700 | -0.238% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 16:50:00 | 0.006278 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 17:35:00 | 0.006321 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 18:05:00 | 0.006284 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 18:25:00 | 0.006284 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 18:45:00 | 0.006404 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 19:30:00 | 0.006322 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:35:00 | 0.006366 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 0.006417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:10:00 | 0.00635 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:40:00 | 0.006309 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 06:15:00 | 0.006312 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 09:30:00 | 0.006167 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 11:45:00 | 0.00624 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 12:15:00 | 0.00624 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 13:00:00 | 0.006202 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 15:00:00 | 0.006343 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:45:00 | 0.006278 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 18:45:00 | 0.006404 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 0.006417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:30:00 | 0.006309 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 0.005991 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 0.006372 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 07:00:00 | 0.006328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 0.00608 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 0.006206 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 21:00:00 | 0.005919 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 0.006097 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 0.005948 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 0.006312 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 0.006417 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006312 | 0.006295 | 0.006346 | 2 | 0.009753 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006295 - 0.006312 = -1.7E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006312 - 0.006346 = -3.4E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.4E-5 / -1.7E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2935.814 | 100 | 465116.2791 | 29.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.7E-5 = -470588.24
Taille de position USD = -470588.24 x 0.006312 = -2970.35
Donc, tu peux acheter -470588.24 avec un stoploss a 0.006295
Avec un position size USD de -2970.35$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -470588.24 x -1.7E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -470588.24 x -3.4E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 15.81 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 7.91 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.91 $ | -0.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.301 % | 111.77 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006312 | 0.006295 | 0.006346 | 2 | 0.009753 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006295 - 0.006312 = -1.7E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006312 - 0.006346 = -3.4E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.4E-5 / -1.7E-5 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.713% | 2.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.507% | 1.9R | -0.713% | 2.7R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.634% | 2.4R | -0.840% | 3.1R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.634% | 2.4R | -1.157% | 4.3R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.982% | 3.7R | -1.157% | 4.3R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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