Long Trade on ACE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 270.62 ACE at 0.144$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2178 (51.36 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1143 (20.57 %)
08 Aug 2026 at 19:38:33
hyperliquid
ACE
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
08 Aug 2026 19:38
→ 07:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1439$
Qty 270.6166 ACE
Size 38.9417$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2178 (+51.36%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.1143 (-20.57%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-15.91%
/ -6.2$
MAE -17.10%
MFE +8.83%
0.4R
expires
09 Aug 07:38
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63009)
#6 / 36
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 19:00
score du 08/08/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8466
Quality Score
0.598
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 19:30
08/08 19:30
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 36
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
20.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 36
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
20.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 6.26×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 19:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 08/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 08/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5980
Score SMA
0.4956
Rank
#6
/ 36
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8466
Rank Norm SMA
0.4168
Calculé le
08/08/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7962 | r1h: -0.339% · r4h: 1.801% · r1d: 36.49% · r3d: 103.32% · ema21_slope: 1.6516% · dist_ema21: 12.103% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7784 | rs_1h: -0.273% · rs_4h: 1.908% · rs_1d: 36.35% · rs_3d: 102.78% · beta_24h: 5.029 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1714 | rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.894 · trend: -26.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8682 | ADX: 44.2 (trend) · Chop: 28.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.040% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -20.570%
(0.0296)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.656% | 0.2R | -1.112% | 0.1R | 4.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.656% | 0.2R | -3.683% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +8.826% | 0.4R | -11.466% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.826% | 0.4R | -13.482% | 0.7R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +8.826% | 0.4R | -17.095% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.826% | 0.4R | -17.095% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.44
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.32 | bear_high | -2.76% | +1.00 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | — | 0.05 | bull_medium | +1.11% | +1.00 | 08/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | -0.02 | range_low | +0.48% | +0.99 | 08/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.2ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.06% | +0.07 | 08/08 19:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 3.684×ATR | p35 | +2.337×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.887×ATR | p11 | +0.826×ATR | p73 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0.773×ATR | p0 | +0.199×ATR | p20 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 14b | — | 1.714×ATR | p7 | -0.401×ATR | p44 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8122
- reason: up_bo width=2.14×ATR dur=33b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.11433788
- tp_price: 0.21780529
- atr:
- score: 0.81219664764144
- expires_at: 2026-08-09T11:38:26.214506
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.81219664764144
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0525
- obi_top10 : 0.0603
- micro_price : 0.14362389
- spread_pct : 0.069638
- mid_price : 0.14365
- bid_wall_price : 0.141
- bid_wall_size : 264169.4
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.145
- ask_wall_size : 232080.54
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0359
- obi_top5_std : 0.0272
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6966
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.1262
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.1045
- balance_zone_mid:
0.11535
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786114800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786230000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.144
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
33
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8122
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786197600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.1262
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6364
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
9
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.7488
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
11
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.01012116 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
33
inside_close_ratio
0.6364
bars_since_breakout
9
distance_to_edge_atr
1.7488
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:38 | 0.14390000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:44 | 0.14390000 | 0% |
| 3 | 19:50 | 0.14360000 | -0.208% |
| 4 | 19:56 | 0.14360000 | -0.208% |
| 5 | 20:03 | 0.14360000 | -0.208% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6966ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.053
avg -0.036
± 0.027
OBI Top 10
0.060
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1437
Micro Price
0.1436
Spread
0.0696%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1410
Size
264,169.40
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1450
Size
232,080.54
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1439 | 0.1143 | 0.2178 | 2.5 | 0.2033 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1439
- Stop Loss: 0.1143
- Take Profit: 0.2178
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1143 - 0.1439 = -0.0296
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1439 - 0.2178 = -0.0739
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0739 / -0.0296 = 2.4966
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38.9417 | 38.9417 | 270.6166 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0296
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0296 = -270.27
Taille de position USD = -270.27 x 0.1439 = -38.89
Donc, tu peux acheter -270.27 avec un stoploss a 0.1143
Avec un position size USD de -38.89$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -270.27 x -0.0296 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -270.27 x -0.0739 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
- Taille de position -270.27
- Taille de position USD -38.89
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.97
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4966
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 51.36 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 20.57 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -6.2 $ | -15.91 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -17.0952 % | 83.11 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1439 | 0.1143 | 0.2178 | 2.5 | 0.2033 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1439
- Stop Loss: 0.1143
- Take Profit: 0.2178
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1143 - 0.1439 = -0.0296
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1439 - 0.2178 = -0.0739
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0739 / -0.0296 = 2.4966
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -20.570%
(0.0296)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.656% | 0.2R | -1.112% | 0.1R | 4.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.656% | 0.2R | -3.683% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +8.826% | 0.4R | -11.466% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.826% | 0.4R | -13.482% | 0.7R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +8.826% | 0.4R | -17.095% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.826% | 0.4R | -17.095% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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