Long Trade on XMR (BosPullback)
With 1.91 XMR at 378.56$ per unit. Take profit: 389.0212 (2.76 %) & Stop Loss: 374.3755 (1.11 %)
Long Trade on XMR (BosPullback)
With 1.91 XMR at 378.56$ per unit. Take profit: 389.0212 (2.76 %) & Stop Loss: 374.3755 (1.11 %)
Position
Entry 378.56$
Qty 1.9118 XMR
Size 723.7395$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 389.0212 (+2.76%)
TP $ 20$
SL 374.3755 (-1.11%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8681
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.48×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.29×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 20:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 07/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 08/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 08/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4928 | r1h: -0.380% · r4h: -1.750% · r1d: -0.42% · r3d: 3.07% · ema21_slope: 0.0631% · dist_ema21: -0.745% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4640 | rs_1h: -0.428% · rs_4h: -1.594% · rs_1d: -0.51% · rs_3d: 2.58% · beta_24h: 0.130 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2967 | rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.640 · trend: 54.49% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7031 | ADX: 29.9 (trend) · Chop: 43.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.801% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.280% | 0.3R | -0.248% | 0.2R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.962% | 0.9R | -0.248% | 0.2R | 3.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.469% | 1.3R | -0.248% | 0.2R | 5.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.469% | 1.3R | -0.248% | 0.2R | 5.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.469% | 1.3R | -0.248% | 0.2R | 5.9× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.76% | +0.85 | 07/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.38 | bull_medium | +1.11% | +0.51 | 08/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.26 | range_low | +0.53% | -0.06 | 08/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
51%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.02% | -0.19 | 08/08 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 3.778×ATR | p26 | +1.24×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.303×ATR | p0 | +0.206×ATR | p22 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 1.053×ATR | p0 | -0.793×ATR | p65 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.3×ATR | p7 | -0.474×ATR | p39 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
374.72
147
0.6321
0.6715
0.3827
0.2169
0.5183
1
0.1811
0.5735
0.6985
0.952
0.662
0.7807
-0.055
0.0367
0.6667
-0.6257
0.5978
0.6
0.4
1
5
1
0.5661
0.6374
4.3673
0.6
1.0458
4.5674
0.5978
0.1585
0.2617
0.92
0.4048
0.5328
0.5303
0.562
0.7807
-2.5836
9.1953
1
0
1
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374.72
386.13
386.13
374.72
386.13
382.36
384.245
0.8664
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:09 | 378.56000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:40 | 380.40000000 | +0.486% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 378.56 | 374.3755 | 389.0212 | 2.5 | 441.18 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 374.3755 - 378.56 = -4.1845
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 378.56 - 389.0212 = -10.4612
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -10.4612 / -4.1845 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 723.7395 | 100 | 1.9118 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -4.1845 = -1.91
Taille de position USD = -1.91 x 378.56 = -723.05
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.91 avec un stoploss a 374.3755
Avec un position size USD de -723.05$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.91 x -4.1845 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.91 x -10.4612 = 19.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.76 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.11 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 2.76 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2483 % | 22.46 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 378.56 | 374.3755 | 389.0212 | 2.5 | 441.18 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 374.3755 - 378.56 = -4.1845
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 378.56 - 389.0212 = -10.4612
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -10.4612 / -4.1845 = 2.5
Array
(
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.280% | 0.3R | -0.248% | 0.2R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.962% | 0.9R | -0.248% | 0.2R | 3.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.469% | 1.3R | -0.248% | 0.2R | 5.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.469% | 1.3R | -0.248% | 0.2R | 5.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.469% | 1.3R | -0.248% | 0.2R | 5.9× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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