Long Trade on ACE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 255.23 ACE at 0.146$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2241 (53.81 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1144 (21.48 %)
08 Aug 2026 at 20:38:24
hyperliquid
ACE
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
08 Aug 2026 20:38
→ 08:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1457$
Qty 255.2318 ACE
Size 37.1873$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2241 (+53.81%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.1144 (-21.48%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-15.37%
/ -5.72$
MAE -18.12%
MFE +7.48%
0.4R
expires
09 Aug 08:38
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63045)
#20 / 36
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 20:00
score du 08/08/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7857
Quality Score
0.488
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 20:30
08/08 20:30
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#20 / 36
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
21.48 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#20 / 36
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
21.48 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 7.55×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 20:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 08/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 08/08 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4881
Score SMA
0.4999
Rank
#20
/ 36
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7857
Rank Norm SMA
0.4340
Calculé le
08/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6250 | r1h: -2.180% · r4h: -5.651% · r1d: 32.96% · r3d: 103.11% · ema21_slope: 1.7328% · dist_ema21: 8.585% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5427 | rs_1h: -2.228% · rs_4h: -5.495% · rs_1d: 32.87% · rs_3d: 102.62% · beta_24h: 4.589 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1692 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.812 · trend: -34.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8739 | ADX: 44.9 (trend) · Chop: 29.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.048% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -21.483%
(0.0313)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.951% | 0.1R | -4.873% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +7.481% | 0.4R | -7.069% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +7.481% | 0.4R | -12.560% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.481% | 0.4R | -14.550% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +7.481% | 0.4R | -18.119% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.481% | 0.4R | -18.119% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.19
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.31 | bear_high | -2.92% | +0.99 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | — | 0.05 | bull_medium | +1.11% | +1.00 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | -0.02 | range_low | +0.50% | +0.99 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | weak | fading | compression | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.03% | -0.27 | 08/08 20:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 4.365×ATR | p56 | +2.251×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 3.216×ATR | p22 | +0.894×ATR | p77 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.308×ATR | p0 | +0.521×ATR | p47 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 0.371×ATR | p0 | -0.322×ATR | p36 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8294
- reason: up_bo width=2.18×ATR dur=34b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.11435594
- tp_price: 0.22406014
- atr:
- score: 0.82936697380729
- expires_at: 2026-08-09T12:38:16.770179
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.82936697380729
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.123
- obi_top10 : 0.1508
- micro_price : 0.14433287
- spread_pct : 0.0693
- mid_price : 0.14435
- bid_wall_price : 0.142
- bid_wall_size : 262919.236
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.147
- ask_wall_size : 235526.066
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1135
- obi_top5_std : 0.0082
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7052
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.1262
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.1045
- balance_zone_mid:
0.11535
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786114800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786233600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.183
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
34
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8294
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786197600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.1262
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6176
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
10
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.9617
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
11
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00994057 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
34
inside_close_ratio
0.6176
bars_since_breakout
10
distance_to_edge_atr
1.9617
Signaux confirmants (10)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:38 | 0.14570000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:44 | 0.14570000 | 0% |
| 3 | 20:50 | 0.14430000 | -0.961% |
| 4 | 20:56 | 0.14430000 | -0.961% |
| 5 | 21:03 | 0.14430000 | -0.961% |
| 6 | 21:08 | 0.14400000 | -1.167% |
| 7 | 21:14 | 0.14400000 | -1.167% |
| 8 | 21:20 | 0.14370000 | -1.373% |
| 9 | 21:26 | 0.14370000 | -1.373% |
| 10 | 21:33 | 0.14370000 | -1.373% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7052ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.123
avg 0.114
± 0.008
OBI Top 10
0.151
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1444
Micro Price
0.1443
Spread
0.0693%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1420
Size
262,919.24
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1470
Size
235,526.07
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1457 | 0.1144 | 0.2241 | 2.5 | 0.2106 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1457
- Stop Loss: 0.1144
- Take Profit: 0.2241
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1144 - 0.1457 = -0.0313
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1457 - 0.2241 = -0.0784
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0784 / -0.0313 = 2.5048
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37.1873 | 37.1873 | 255.2318 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0313
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0313 = -255.59
Taille de position USD = -255.59 x 0.1457 = -37.24
Donc, tu peux acheter -255.59 avec un stoploss a 0.1144
Avec un position size USD de -37.24$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -255.59 x -0.0313 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -255.59 x -0.0784 = 20.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$
Résumé
- Taille de position -255.59
- Taille de position USD -37.24
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.04
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5048
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 53.81 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 21.48 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -5.72 $ | -15.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -18.1194 % | 84.34 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1457 | 0.1144 | 0.2241 | 2.5 | 0.2106 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1457
- Stop Loss: 0.1144
- Take Profit: 0.2241
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1144 - 0.1457 = -0.0313
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1457 - 0.2241 = -0.0784
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0784 / -0.0313 = 2.5048
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -21.483%
(0.0313)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.951% | 0.1R | -4.873% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +7.481% | 0.4R | -7.069% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +7.481% | 0.4R | -12.560% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.481% | 0.4R | -14.550% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +7.481% | 0.4R | -18.119% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.481% | 0.4R | -18.119% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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