Long Trade on ICP (CatchTheWave)
With 1042.12 ICP at 2.191$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2063 (0.7 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1832 (0.35 %)
Long Trade on ICP (CatchTheWave)
With 1042.12 ICP at 2.191$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2063 (0.7 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1832 (0.35 %)
Position
Entry 2.1909$
Qty 1042.1226 ICP
Size 2283.1864$ (margin 100$) (leverage 23)
Risk Setup
TP 2.2063 (+0.7%)
TP $ 16.05$
SL 2.1832 (-0.35%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9071
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.58×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 7.14×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 21:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.054545 15m : 0.060478 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 08/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 08/08 21:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6781 | r1h: 0.436% · r4h: 1.135% · r1d: 5.58% · r3d: 5.17% · ema21_slope: 0.2627% · dist_ema21: 2.275% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6512 | rs_1h: 0.412% · rs_4h: 1.282% · rs_1d: 5.48% · rs_3d: 4.65% · beta_24h: 2.445 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2006 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.207 · trend: -39.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8899 | ADX: 46.8 (trend) · Chop: 0.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.294% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.173% | 0.5R | -0.429% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.173% | 0.5R | -1.470% | 4.2R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.173% | 0.5R | -1.470% | 4.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.173% | 0.5R | -1.470% | 4.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.173% | 0.5R | -1.470% | 4.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.39 | bear_high | -2.92% | +0.02 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.66 | bull_medium | +1.15% | +0.42 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.54 | range_low | +0.53% | +0.49 | 08/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.24 | range_low | +0.01% | -0.11 | 08/08 21:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.337×ATR | p0 | +0.831×ATR | p74 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 4.951×ATR | p85 | +1.21×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 6.903×ATR | p98 | +0.285×ATR | p33 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 0.687×ATR | p0 | -0.349×ATR | p37 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64985.5
-0.00210097
64849
0.054545
64971
-0.000354912
64948
0.060478
64706.4
0.00384127
64955
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2.3937
191
0.7559
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0.3116
0.2534
0.3592
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0.5996
0.6856
0.892
0.7967
0.4151
0.1451
0.0996
1
1.0328
2.1667
0.45
0.55
1
8
1
0.4932
0.84
10.24
0.6
17.1322
33.5797
2.1667
0
0.2781
0.82
2.8253
0.6091
0.5005
0.8505
0.4151
-6.2035
4.4033
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:27 | 2.19090000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:34 | 2.18930000 | -0.073% |
| 3 | 21:39 | 2.18220000 | -0.397% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 20:10:00 | 2.2264 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 2.1725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 22:15:00 | 2.2172 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:45:00 | 2.1908 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 23:00:00 | 2.2013 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 23:15:00 | 2.1895 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:05:00 | 2.2112 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 00:25:00 | 2.1942 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:55:00 | 2.2153 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 01:25:00 | 2.1909 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 07:30:00 | 2.0923 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 08:15:00 | 2.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 10:15:00 | 2.113 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 11:15:00 | 2.0956 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 13:45:00 | 2.0996 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 17:30:00 | 2.3937 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 2.1725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 22:15:00 | 2.2172 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 23:15:00 | 2.1895 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:45:00 | 2.2153 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 20:00:00 | 2.1025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 2.0827 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 08:00:00 | 2.1026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 2.0704 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 2.1002 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 2.0608 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 2.1022 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 22:00:00 | 2.1026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 05:00:00 | 2.0872 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 17:00:00 | 2.3937 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1909 | 2.1832 | 2.2063 | 2 | 2.3325 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1832 - 2.1909 = -0.0077000000000003
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1909 - 2.2063 = -0.0154
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0154 / -0.0077000000000003 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2283.1864 | 100 | 1042.1226 | 23.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0077000000000003 = -1038.96
Taille de position USD = -1038.96 x 2.1909 = -2276.26
Donc, tu peux acheter -1038.96 avec un stoploss a 2.1832
Avec un position size USD de -2276.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1038.96 x -0.0077000000000003 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1038.96 x -0.0154 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.7 % | 16.05 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -0.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.429 % | 122.05 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1909 | 2.1832 | 2.2063 | 2 | 2.3325 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1832 - 2.1909 = -0.0077000000000003
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1909 - 2.2063 = -0.0154
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0154 / -0.0077000000000003 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.173% | 0.5R | -0.429% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.173% | 0.5R | -1.470% | 4.2R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.173% | 0.5R | -1.470% | 4.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.173% | 0.5R | -1.470% | 4.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.173% | 0.5R | -1.470% | 4.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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