Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 50.4 AAVE at 90.799$ per unit. Take profit: 91.1165 (0.35 %) & Stop Loss: 90.6403 (0.17 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 50.4 AAVE at 90.799$ per unit. Take profit: 91.1165 (0.35 %) & Stop Loss: 90.6403 (0.17 %)
Position
Entry 90.799$
Qty 50.4011 AAVE
Size 4576.3673$ (margin 100$) (leverage 46)
Risk Setup
TP 91.1165 (+0.35%)
TP $ 16$
SL 90.6403 (-0.17%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5214
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.27×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.20×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.64×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 21:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.319845 15m : 0.417489 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 08/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 08/08 21:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5339 | r1h: -0.014% · r4h: -0.388% · r1d: 1.65% · r3d: 1.03% · ema21_slope: 0.0780% · dist_ema21: 0.271% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5171 | rs_1h: -0.039% · rs_4h: -0.240% · rs_1d: 1.56% · rs_3d: 0.52% · beta_24h: 2.135 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3218 | rvol_20: 1.14× · zscore_50: -0.129 · trend: -29.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5863 | ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 50.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.519% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.173% | 1.0R | -0.047% | 0.3R | 3.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.173% | 1.0R | -0.447% | 2.6R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.178% | 1.0R | -0.447% | 2.6R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.177% | 6.7R | -0.447% | 2.6R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.177% | 6.7R | -0.447% | 2.6R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -2.92% | +0.21 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.45 | bull_medium | +1.15% | +0.11 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.58 | range_low | +0.38% | +0.06 | 08/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.13% | -0.04 | 08/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 2.665×ATR | p5 | -0.039×ATR | p4 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 2.956×ATR | p31 | +0.293×ATR | p31 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.499×ATR | p53 | -0.636×ATR | p60 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 3.13×ATR | p65 | -0.881×ATR | p80 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64977.9
-0.00178467
64862
0.319845
64971
-0.00167853
64862
0.417489
64704.5
0.0023871
64859
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.14110902877301
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 18
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92.044
195
0.6052
0.5406
0.3046
0.1808
0.4058
1
0.2513
0.5417
0.6115
0.0654
0.496
0.6007
0.0716
0.0697
0.6667
-0.1519
0.8174
0.4
0.6
1
4
1
0.6384
0.3291
5.8015
0.55
1.9288
4.3045
0.8174
0.1884
0.4176
0.04
-0.2379
0.3517
0.4125
0.8745
0.6007
-5.1232
7.7086
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 19:20:00 | 91.071 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:55:00 | 91.497 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 20:20:00 | 91.246 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 21:25:00 | 92.044 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:05:00 | 91.427 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 23:15:00 | 91.153 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 23:40:00 | 91.537 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 23:55:00 | 91.134 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:50:00 | 90.836 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:30:00 | 90.71 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 06:45:00 | 90.695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 07:30:00 | 89.972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 09:30:00 | 89.977 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 10:15:00 | 90.472 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 11:15:00 | 90.103 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 14:30:00 | 91.661 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:00:00 | 91.645 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 19:15:00 | 91.071 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 21:15:00 | 92.044 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 01:30:00 | 90.71 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 89.465 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 01:00:00 | 91.182 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 09:00:00 | 91.176 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 88.894 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 20:00:00 | 90.662 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 03:00:00 | 89.174 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 90.695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 14:00:00 | 91.661 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 92.044 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 90.71 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90.799 | 90.6403 | 91.1165 | 2 | 123.57 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 90.6403 - 90.799 = -0.15870000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 90.799 - 91.1165 = -0.3175
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3175 / -0.15870000000001 = 2.0006
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4576.3673 | 100 | 50.4011 | 46.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.15870000000001 = -50.41
Taille de position USD = -50.41 x 90.799 = -4577.18
Donc, tu peux acheter -50.41 avec un stoploss a 90.6403
Avec un position size USD de -4577.18$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -50.41 x -0.15870000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -50.41 x -0.3175 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.17 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.196 % | 112.13 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90.799 | 90.6403 | 91.1165 | 2 | 123.57 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 90.6403 - 90.799 = -0.15870000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 90.799 - 91.1165 = -0.3175
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3175 / -0.15870000000001 = 2.0006
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.173% | 1.0R | -0.047% | 0.3R | 3.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.173% | 1.0R | -0.447% | 2.6R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.178% | 1.0R | -0.447% | 2.6R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.177% | 6.7R | -0.447% | 2.6R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.177% | 6.7R | -0.447% | 2.6R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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