Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 142.45 LTC at 45.968$ per unit. Take profit: 46.0803 (0.24 %) & Stop Loss: 45.9118 (0.12 %)
Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 142.45 LTC at 45.968$ per unit. Take profit: 46.0803 (0.24 %) & Stop Loss: 45.9118 (0.12 %)
Position
Entry 45.968$
Qty 142.4522 LTC
Size 6548.2449$ (margin 100$) (leverage 65)
Risk Setup
TP 46.0803 (+0.24%)
TP $ 16$
SL 45.9118 (-0.12%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6264
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.32×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.56×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.76×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 22:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.422481 15m : 0.371163 |
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 08/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 08/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5394 | r1h: -0.061% · r4h: 0.050% · r1d: 1.24% · r3d: 1.87% · ema21_slope: 0.0534% · dist_ema21: 0.511% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5360 | rs_1h: 0.073% · rs_4h: 0.247% · rs_1d: 1.28% · rs_3d: 1.42% · beta_24h: 0.669 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1868 | rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.239 · trend: -47.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6673 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 42.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.301% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.239% | 2.0R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.137% | 1.1R | -0.239% | 2.0R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.183% | 1.5R | -0.239% | 2.0R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.766% | 6.3R | -0.239% | 2.0R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.005% | 8.2R | -0.239% | 2.0R | 4.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -2.92% | -0.23 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bull_medium | +0.93% | +0.17 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_low |
51%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.58 | range_low | +0.33% | +0.12 | 08/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | range_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.17% | +0.02 | 08/08 22:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 14b | — | 1.857×ATR | p0 | +0.489×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 34b | — | 5.552×ATR | p89 | +0.694×ATR | p67 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0.563×ATR | p0 | +0×ATR | p0 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.119×ATR | p33 | -0.543×ATR | p51 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64958.3
-0.00223795
64813
0.422481
64962.8
-0.00230696
64813
0.371163
64683
0.00222602
64827
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45.905
196
0.8125
0.6025
0.4626
0.2163
0.6642
0.1549
0.6393
0.5082
0.8138
0.0972
0.6093
0.9222
0.1715
0.1267
1
0.9509
2.4949
0.85
0.15
1
6
1
0.5673
0.4277
9.1888
0.6
0.1549
1.4233
2.4949
0.9188
0.2141
0.04
-0.1902
0.3991
0.6119
0.9354
0.9222
-1.3192
15.6282
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:18 | 45.96800000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:24 | 45.94300000 | -0.054% |
| 3 | 22:30 | 45.95000000 | -0.039% |
| 4 | 22:42 | 45.94700000 | -0.046% |
| 5 | 22:48 | 45.91700000 | -0.111% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 19:50:00 | 45.985 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 20:35:00 | 46.115 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:15:00 | 45.998 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 22:00:00 | 46.071 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 23:30:00 | 45.905 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:25:00 | 45.976 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:05:00 | 46.144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 01:25:00 | 46.009 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:45:00 | 46.106 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:15:00 | 45.94 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 10:30:00 | 45.482 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 11:00:00 | 45.639 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 45.479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 16:00:00 | 45.877 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 19:30:00 | 45.822 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 20:30:00 | 46.115 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:00:00 | 46.071 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 23:30:00 | 45.905 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 46.144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:15:00 | 45.94 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 44.782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:00:00 | 45.826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 45.695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 45.312 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 46.051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 19:00:00 | 44.759 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 03:00:00 | 45.627 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 45.459 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 45.479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 46.144 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.968 | 45.9118 | 46.0803 | 2 | 50.315 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.9118 - 45.968 = -0.056200000000004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.968 - 46.0803 = -0.1123
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1123 / -0.056200000000004 = 1.9982
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6548.2449 | 100 | 142.4522 | 65.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.056200000000004 = -142.35
Taille de position USD = -142.35 x 45.968 = -6543.54
Donc, tu peux acheter -142.35 avec un stoploss a 45.9118
Avec un position size USD de -6543.54$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -142.35 x -0.056200000000004 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -142.35 x -0.1123 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.12 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.12 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1458 % | 119.22 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.968 | 45.9118 | 46.0803 | 2 | 50.315 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.9118 - 45.968 = -0.056200000000004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.968 - 46.0803 = -0.1123
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1123 / -0.056200000000004 = 1.9982
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.239% | 2.0R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.137% | 1.1R | -0.239% | 2.0R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.183% | 1.5R | -0.239% | 2.0R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.766% | 6.3R | -0.239% | 2.0R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.005% | 8.2R | -0.239% | 2.0R | 4.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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