Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 382043.94 PENGU at 0.00627$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006313 (0.67 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00625 (0.33 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 382043.94 PENGU at 0.00627$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006313 (0.67 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00625 (0.33 %)
Position
Entry 0.006271$
Qty 382043.9351 PENGU
Size 2395.7975$ (margin 100$) (leverage 24)
Risk Setup
TP 0.006313 (+0.67%)
TP $ 16.05$
SL 0.00625 (-0.33%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8718
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.15×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.47×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 22:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.321449 15m : 0.145741 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 08/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 08/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5463 | r1h: -0.930% · r4h: -0.945% · r1d: 3.08% · r3d: 1.32% · ema21_slope: 0.1611% · dist_ema21: 0.340% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4975 | rs_1h: -0.796% · rs_4h: -0.748% · rs_1d: 3.12% · rs_3d: 0.87% · beta_24h: 4.100 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5181 | rvol_20: 1.44× · zscore_50: 1.019 · trend: 25.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8024 | ADX: 46.8 (trend) · Chop: 49.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.935% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.686% | 2.1R | -0.510% | 1.5R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.260% | 3.8R | -0.510% | 1.5R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.260% | 3.8R | -0.510% | 1.5R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.643% | 4.9R | -0.510% | 1.5R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.169% | 6.5R | -0.510% | 1.5R | 4.3× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.1ATR | near 0.5ATR | 0.74 | bear_high | -2.92% | -0.00 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.66 | bull_medium | +0.93% | +0.24 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.56 | range_low | +0.33% | +0.14 | 08/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.20% | -0.04 | 08/08 22:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 36b | — | 2.005×ATR | p0 | +0.533×ATR | p53 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 3.204×ATR | p55 | +0.648×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.916×ATR | p14 | -0.086×ATR | p8 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.508×ATR | p0 | -0.045×ATR | p7 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64932.8
-0.00250828
64770
0.321449
64957.6
-0.00225772
64811
0.145741
64682.5
0.00186234
64803
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
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194
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0.3417
1
0.5075
0.5144
0.6725
0.5099
0.5653
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0.0891
0.0935
1
0.4994
1.9207
0.5
0.5
1
5
1
0.5496
0.3487
6.2124
0.55
1.7241
4.3763
1.9207
0.6566
0.3071
0.64
-0.1112
0.4557
0.4871
0.8775
0.7691
-2.0569
6.8503
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:44 | 0.00627100 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:50 | 0.00627100 | 0% |
| 3 | 22:56 | 0.00625900 | -0.191% |
| 4 | 23:03 | 0.00625300 | -0.287% |
| 5 | 23:09 | 0.00624500 | -0.415% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 19:35:00 | 0.006366 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 0.006417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:10:00 | 0.00635 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 23:20:00 | 0.006267 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:00:00 | 0.006325 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 00:30:00 | 0.006289 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 0.006352 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 01:35:00 | 0.006281 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 02:10:00 | 0.006315 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:40:00 | 0.006269 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 11:45:00 | 0.00624 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 12:15:00 | 0.00624 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 13:00:00 | 0.006202 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 15:00:00 | 0.006343 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:45:00 | 0.006278 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 18:45:00 | 0.006404 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 0.006417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 23:15:00 | 0.006267 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 0.006352 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 01:30:00 | 0.006281 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 0.006372 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 07:00:00 | 0.006328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 0.00608 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 0.006206 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 21:00:00 | 0.005919 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 0.006097 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 0.005948 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 0.006312 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 0.006417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 23:00:00 | 0.006267 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006271 | 0.00625 | 0.006313 | 2 | 0.00947 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00625 - 0.006271 = -2.0999999999999E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006271 - 0.006313 = -4.2E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.2E-5 / -2.0999999999999E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2395.7975 | 100 | 382043.9351 | 24.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.0999999999999E-5 = -380952.38
Taille de position USD = -380952.38 x 0.006271 = -2388.95
Donc, tu peux acheter -380952.38 avec un stoploss a 0.00625
Avec un position size USD de -2388.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -380952.38 x -2.0999999999999E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -380952.38 x -4.2E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.67 % | 16.05 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -0.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3827 % | 114.27 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006271 | 0.00625 | 0.006313 | 2 | 0.00947 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00625 - 0.006271 = -2.0999999999999E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006271 - 0.006313 = -4.2E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.2E-5 / -2.0999999999999E-5 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.686% | 2.1R | -0.510% | 1.5R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.260% | 3.8R | -0.510% | 1.5R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.260% | 3.8R | -0.510% | 1.5R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.643% | 4.9R | -0.510% | 1.5R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.169% | 6.5R | -0.510% | 1.5R | 4.3× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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