Long Trade on ICP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 100.88 ICP at 2.166$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3645 (9.15 %) & Stop Loss: 2.087 (3.66 %)
08 Aug 2026 at 23:10:03
hyperliquid
ICP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
08 Aug 2026 23:10
→ 11:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 2.1663$
Qty 100.8831 ICP
Size 218.5431$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 2.3645 (+9.15%)
TP $ 20$
SL 2.087 (-3.66%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.80%
/ +3.93$
MAE -0.18%
MFE +1.91%
0.5R
expires
09 Aug 11:09
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63168)
#6 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 08/08/2026 23:00
score du 08/08/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8726
Quality Score
0.592
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
08/08 23:02
08/08 23:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.66 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.66 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.26×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 7.14×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 08/08 23:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 08/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 08/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5923
Score SMA
0.5990
Rank
#6
/ 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8726
Rank Norm SMA
0.7515
Calculé le
08/08/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6011 | r1h: -0.325% · r4h: -0.796% · r1d: 4.20% · r3d: 4.02% · ema21_slope: 0.2650% · dist_ema21: 0.727% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5662 | rs_1h: -0.197% · rs_4h: -0.554% · rs_1d: 4.40% · rs_3d: 3.71% · beta_24h: 3.363 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1748 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -0.378 · trend: -61.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9032 | ADX: 48.4 (trend) · Chop: 5.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.266% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.661%
(0.0793)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.217% | 0.1R | -0.083% | 0.0R | 2.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.374% | 0.1R | -0.083% | 0.0R | 4.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.279% | 0.4R | -0.175% | 0.1R | 7.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.279% | 0.4R | -0.175% | 0.1R | 7.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.907% | 0.5R | -0.175% | 0.1R | 10.9× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.747% | 0.8R | -0.175% | 0.1R | 15.7× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.81
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.39 | bear_high | -2.92% | +0.02 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.66 | bull_medium | +0.93% | +0.39 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.55 | range_low | +0.22% | +0.43 | 08/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.28% | +0.01 | 08/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.337×ATR | p0 | +0.831×ATR | p74 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 5.144×ATR | p91 | +0.944×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 7.644×ATR | p98 | -0.151×ATR | p19 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.059×ATR | p71 | -0.915×ATR | p74 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.614
- reason: up_bo width=0.92×ATR dur=65b phase=extending
- stop_price: 2.08700031
- tp_price: 2.36454924
- atr:
- score: 0.61402475615386
- expires_at: 2026-08-09T15:09:56.094960
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.61402475615386
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1269
- obi_top10 : 0.1339
- micro_price : 2.16119945
- spread_pct : 0.046275
- mid_price : 2.1615
- bid_wall_price : 2.12
- bid_wall_size : 61790.98
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 2.2
- ask_wall_size : 49113.174
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1097
- obi_top5_std : 0.0096
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6858
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
2.1024
- balance_zone_bottom:
2.0771
- balance_zone_mid:
2.08975
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786014000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786244400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
0.9201
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
65
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.614
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786197600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
2.1024
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6154
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
13
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.3239
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
19
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
18
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.02749695 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
65
inside_close_ratio
0.6154
bars_since_breakout
13
distance_to_edge_atr
2.3239
Signaux confirmants (20)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:10 | 2.16630000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:15 | 2.16630000 | 0% |
| 3 | 23:21 | 2.16510000 | -0.055% |
| 4 | 23:27 | 2.16510000 | -0.055% |
| 5 | 23:33 | 2.16510000 | -0.055% |
| 6 | 23:39 | 2.16640000 | +0.005% |
| 7 | 23:45 | 2.16640000 | +0.005% |
| 8 | 23:51 | 2.16770000 | +0.065% |
| 9 | 23:57 | 2.16770000 | +0.065% |
| 10 | 00:04 | 2.16770000 | +0.065% |
| 11 | 00:09 | 2.16660000 | +0.014% |
| 12 | 00:15 | 2.16660000 | +0.014% |
| 13 | 00:21 | 2.17130000 | +0.231% |
| 14 | 00:27 | 2.17130000 | +0.231% |
| 15 | 00:33 | 2.17130000 | +0.231% |
| 16 | 00:39 | 2.16960000 | +0.152% |
| 17 | 00:45 | 2.16960000 | +0.152% |
| 18 | 00:51 | 2.17400000 | +0.355% |
| 19 | 00:57 | 2.17400000 | +0.355% |
| 20 | 01:04 | 2.17400000 | +0.355% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6858ms
Confidence avant OB :
61%
→
61%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.127
avg 0.110
± 0.010
OBI Top 10
0.134
Microstructure
Mid Price
2.1615
Micro Price
2.1612
Spread
0.0463%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
2.1200
Size
61,790.98
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
2.2000
Size
49,113.17
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1663 | 2.087 | 2.3645 | 2.5 | 2.4294 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1663
- Stop Loss: 2.087
- Take Profit: 2.3645
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.087 - 2.1663 = -0.0793
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1663 - 2.3645 = -0.1982
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1982 / -0.0793 = 2.4994
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 218.5431 | 100 | 100.8831 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0793
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0793 = -100.88
Taille de position USD = -100.88 x 2.1663 = -218.54
Donc, tu peux acheter -100.88 avec un stoploss a 2.087
Avec un position size USD de -218.54$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -100.88 x -0.0793 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -100.88 x -0.1982 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -100.88
- Taille de position USD -218.54
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4994
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.15 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.66 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.93 $ | 1.80 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1754 % | 4.79 % | 16 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1663 | 2.087 | 2.3645 | 2.5 | 2.4294 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1663
- Stop Loss: 2.087
- Take Profit: 2.3645
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.087 - 2.1663 = -0.0793
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1663 - 2.3645 = -0.1982
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1982 / -0.0793 = 2.4994
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.661%
(0.0793)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.217% | 0.1R | -0.083% | 0.0R | 2.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.374% | 0.1R | -0.083% | 0.0R | 4.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.279% | 0.4R | -0.175% | 0.1R | 7.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.279% | 0.4R | -0.175% | 0.1R | 7.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.907% | 0.5R | -0.175% | 0.1R | 10.9× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.747% | 0.8R | -0.175% | 0.1R | 15.7× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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