Short Trade on WLD (CatchTheWave)
With 6202.94 WLD at 0.308$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3053 (0.81 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3091 (0.42 %)
Short Trade on WLD (CatchTheWave)
With 6202.94 WLD at 0.308$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3053 (0.81 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3091 (0.42 %)
Position
Entry 0.3078$
Qty 6202.9448 WLD
Size 1909.5766$ (margin 100$) (leverage 19)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3053 (+0.81%)
TP $ 15.51$
SL 0.3091 (-0.42%)
SL $ 8.06$
RR 1.92
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2852
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.27×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.98×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.66×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 00:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.432804 15m : 0.433705 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 09/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 09/08 00:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4535 | r1h: 0.056% · r4h: -0.648% · r1d: -1.42% · r3d: -2.64% · ema21_slope: -0.0128% · dist_ema21: -0.634% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4569 | rs_1h: 0.093% · rs_4h: -0.398% · rs_1d: -1.07% · rs_3d: -3.04% · beta_24h: 2.366 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1566 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.651 · trend: -51.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5029 | ADX: 18.3 (weak) · Chop: 56.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.724% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.689% | 1.6R | -0.039% | 0.1R | 17.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.689% | 1.6R | -0.903% | 2.1R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.689% | 1.6R | -1.075% | 2.6R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.689% | 1.6R | -1.238% | 2.9R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.689% | 1.6R | -5.715% | 13.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -2.92% | -0.97 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.48 | bull_medium | +0.85% | -0.43 | 09/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -0.3ATR | near 0.0ATR | 0.60 | range_low | +0.26% | +0.05 | 09/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_low_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | — | range_low | -0.18% | +0.15 | 09/08 00:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 53b | — | 19.145×ATR | p100 | -0.344×ATR | p32 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 1.781×ATR | p0 | -0.365×ATR | p38 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.019×ATR | p14 | +0.741×ATR | p73 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 4.695×ATR | p88 | +2.389×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64873.5
-0.00144164
64780
0.432804
64943.9
-0.00246346
64784
0.433705
64718.2
0.00112426
64791
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Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:37 | 0.30785000 | +0.016% |
| 2 | 00:43 | 0.30765000 | -0.049% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 23:15:00 | 0.30425 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:00:00 | 0.30584 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 00:35:00 | 0.30445 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 0.30623 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 01:25:00 | 0.30204 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 02:30:00 | 0.30486 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:10:00 | 0.30244 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 03:30:00 | 0.30461 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 04:00:00 | 0.30289 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:25:00 | 0.30997 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 13:00:00 | 0.30709 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 13:45:00 | 0.30431 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 16:45:00 | 0.30945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 18:15:00 | 0.30593 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:45:00 | 0.30758 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 23:15:00 | 0.30425 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 0.30623 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 01:15:00 | 0.30204 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 0.30244 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:15:00 | 0.30997 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 0.29286 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 0.30088 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 0.31127 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 22:00:00 | 0.30114 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 01:00:00 | 0.31162 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 0.30533 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 13:00:00 | 0.30431 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 16:00:00 | 0.30945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 0.30204 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:00:00 | 0.30997 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3078 | 0.3091 | 0.3053 | 1.92 | 0.3966 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3091 - 0.3078 = 0.0013
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3078 - 0.3053 = 0.0025
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0025 / 0.0013 = 1.9231
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1909.5766 | 100 | 6202.9448 | 19.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0013 = 6153.85
Taille de position USD = 6153.85 x 0.3078 = 1894.16
Donc, tu peux acheter 6153.85 avec un stoploss a 0.3091
Avec un position size USD de 1894.16$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6153.85 x 0.0013 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6153.85 x 0.0025 = 15.38
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.38$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.81 % | 15.51 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 8.06 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.07 $ | -0.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5978 % | 141.52 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3078 | 0.3091 | 0.3053 | 1.92 | 0.3966 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3091 - 0.3078 = 0.0013
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3078 - 0.3053 = 0.0025
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0025 / 0.0013 = 1.9231
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.689% | 1.6R | -0.039% | 0.1R | 17.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.689% | 1.6R | -0.903% | 2.1R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.689% | 1.6R | -1.075% | 2.6R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.689% | 1.6R | -1.238% | 2.9R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.689% | 1.6R | -5.715% | 13.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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