Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 58.65 AAVE at 90.6$ per unit. Take profit: 90.8728 (0.3 %) & Stop Loss: 90.4636 (0.15 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 58.65 AAVE at 90.6$ per unit. Take profit: 90.8728 (0.3 %) & Stop Loss: 90.4636 (0.15 %)
Position
Entry 90.6$
Qty 58.6522 AAVE
Size 5313.8862$ (margin 100$) (leverage 53)
Risk Setup
TP 90.8728 (+0.3%)
TP $ 16$
SL 90.4636 (-0.15%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5221
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.16×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.10×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.64×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 01:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.296241 15m : 0.412382 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 09/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 09/08 01:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5370 | r1h: 0.282% · r4h: -0.077% · r1d: 0.97% · r3d: 1.85% · ema21_slope: 0.0410% · dist_ema21: 0.068% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5446 | rs_1h: 0.252% · rs_4h: 0.180% · rs_1d: 1.27% · rs_3d: 1.74% · beta_24h: 1.583 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1444 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.834 · trend: -53.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5102 | ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 54.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.494% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.305% | 8.7R | -0.097% | 0.6R | 13.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.363% | 9.1R | -0.097% | 0.6R | 14.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.400% | 9.3R | -0.097% | 0.6R | 14.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.400% | 9.3R | -0.097% | 0.6R | 14.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.435% | 9.5R | -0.097% | 0.6R | 14.8× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -2.92% | +0.21 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.5ATR | near -0.1ATR | 0.45 | bull_medium | +0.83% | +0.11 | 09/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
42%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.58 | range_low | +0.20% | +0.11 | 09/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.57 | range_low | -0.22% | -0.01 | 09/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 2.665×ATR | p5 | -0.039×ATR | p4 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 17b | — | 2.925×ATR | p31 | +0.197×ATR | p21 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 2.691×ATR | p62 | -0.111×ATR | p14 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 2.076×ATR | p38 | -0.271×ATR | p25 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64847.5
-0.00139585
64757
0.296241
64926.4
-0.00260969
64757
0.412382
64723
0.000508879
64756
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.435183173265
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.36507251667717
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8264688637394
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[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
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92.044
191
0.5899
0.5231
0.303
0.1976
0.3892
1
0.2209
0.5447
0.6115
0.0218
0.4581
0.5813
-0.0298
0.0296
0.6667
-0.3503
0.5427
0.4
0.6
1
8
1
0.6048
0.3291
5.8015
0.5
1.9288
4.3045
0.5427
0.1884
0.3923
0
-0.2673
0.3749
0.4333
0.5223
0.5813
-6.2442
8.6706
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:37 | 90.60000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:43 | 90.53300000 | -0.074% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 23:55:00 | 91.134 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:50:00 | 90.836 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:30:00 | 90.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 02:15:00 | 90.956 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:15:00 | 90.393 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 03:30:00 | 90.731 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:50:00 | 90.567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:55:00 | 90.788 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 05:00:00 | 90.961 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:35:00 | 90.6 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 07:30:00 | 89.972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 09:30:00 | 89.977 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 10:15:00 | 90.472 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 11:15:00 | 90.103 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 14:30:00 | 91.661 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:00:00 | 91.645 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 19:15:00 | 91.071 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 21:15:00 | 92.044 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:15:00 | 90.393 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 05:00:00 | 90.961 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 89.465 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 01:00:00 | 91.182 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 09:00:00 | 91.176 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 88.894 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 20:00:00 | 90.662 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 03:00:00 | 89.174 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 90.695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 14:00:00 | 91.661 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 92.044 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 90.393 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90.6 | 90.4636 | 90.8728 | 2 | 137.68 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 90.4636 - 90.6 = -0.13639999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 90.6 - 90.8728 = -0.2728
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2728 / -0.13639999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5313.8862 | 100 | 58.6522 | 53.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.13639999999999 = -58.65
Taille de position USD = -58.65 x 90.6 = -5313.69
Donc, tu peux acheter -58.65 avec un stoploss a 90.4636
Avec un position size USD de -5313.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -58.65 x -0.13639999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -58.65 x -0.2728 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.3 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.15 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0971 % | 64.48 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90.6 | 90.4636 | 90.8728 | 2 | 137.68 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 90.4636 - 90.6 = -0.13639999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 90.6 - 90.8728 = -0.2728
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2728 / -0.13639999999999 = 2
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[result] => win
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[stop_loss] => 90.4636
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 06:10:00+00
[result] => win
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[5.5] => Array
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[stop_loss] => 90.4636
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 06:15:00+00
[result] => win
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[6] => Array
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[take_profit] => 91.4184
[stop_loss] => 90.4636
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 06:20:00+00
[result] => win
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[6.5] => Array
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[take_profit] => 91.4866
[stop_loss] => 90.4636
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 06:30:00+00
[result] => win
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[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 91.5548
[stop_loss] => 90.4636
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 06:30:00+00
[result] => win
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.305% | 8.7R | -0.097% | 0.6R | 13.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.363% | 9.1R | -0.097% | 0.6R | 14.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.400% | 9.3R | -0.097% | 0.6R | 14.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.400% | 9.3R | -0.097% | 0.6R | 14.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.435% | 9.5R | -0.097% | 0.6R | 14.8× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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