Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 9.14 XMR at 380.37$ per unit. Take profit: 382.1201 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 379.495 (0.23 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 9.14 XMR at 380.37$ per unit. Take profit: 382.1201 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 379.495 (0.23 %)
Position
Entry 380.37$
Qty 9.1424 XMR
Size 3477.4898$ (margin 100$) (leverage 35)
Risk Setup
TP 382.1201 (+0.46%)
TP $ 16$
SL 379.495 (-0.23%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7325
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.03×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.79×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 01:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.000311 15m : -0.059635 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 09/08 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5440 | r1h: -0.529% · r4h: 0.781% · r1d: 0.35% · r3d: 4.76% · ema21_slope: 0.0243% · dist_ema21: 0.315% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5451 | rs_1h: -0.560% · rs_4h: 1.038% · rs_1d: 0.65% · rs_3d: 4.64% · beta_24h: -0.733 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1716 | rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.666 · trend: -38.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6273 | ADX: 23.3 (weak) · Chop: 46.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.783% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.250% | 1.1R | -0.350% | 1.5R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.273% | 1.2R | -0.350% | 1.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.557% | 2.4R | -0.350% | 1.5R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.656% | 7.2R | -0.350% | 1.5R | 4.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.217% | 40.1R | -0.350% | 1.5R | 26.4× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.92% | +0.83 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.37 | bull_medium | +0.83% | +0.39 | 09/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.23 | range_low | +0.20% | +0.08 | 09/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | range_low |
46%
|
noisy_chop 52% | mid | — | — | 0.07 | range_low | -0.22% | +0.09 | 09/08 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.619×ATR | p21 | +0.806×ATR | p80 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 0.765×ATR | p0 | +0.467×ATR | p50 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.731×ATR | p47 | +0.24×ATR | p18 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 2.349×ATR | p57 | -0.575×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64843.4
-0.00142646
64751
0.000311
64921.2
-0.00260632
64752
-0.059635
64723
0.000508879
64756
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374.72
192
0.6462
0.654
0.3891
0.2566
0.4975
1
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0.5743
0.6985
0.892
0.6048
0.8325
0.0387
0.0627
0.6667
-0.2317
0.8787
0.6
0.4
1
10
1
0.4868
0.6374
4.3673
0.55
1.0458
4.5673
0.8787
0.1585
0.2281
0.82
0.526
0.6057
0.5268
0
0.8325
-1.9597
9.7398
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:51 | 380.37000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:57 | 380.45000000 | +0.021% |
| 3 | 02:04 | 379.86000000 | -0.134% |
| 4 | 02:39 | 379.21000000 | -0.305% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 22:50:00 | 379.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 23:30:00 | 376.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:25:00 | 379.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 00:50:00 | 377.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 02:00:00 | 382.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:40:00 | 379.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 03:55:00 | 384.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 04:40:00 | 381.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 05:35:00 | 382.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:45:00 | 380.07 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 09:00:00 | 382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 10:45:00 | 375.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 14:00:00 | 385 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:15:00 | 386 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 16:45:00 | 383.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:45:00 | 386.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:15:00 | 374.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 22:45:00 | 379.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:45:00 | 384.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:45:00 | 380.07 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 10:00:00 | 359.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 00:00:00 | 370.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:00:00 | 366.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 07:00:00 | 371.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 367.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 01:00:00 | 381.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 10:00:00 | 375.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:00:00 | 386.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:00:00 | 374.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 384.12 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 380.37 | 379.495 | 382.1201 | 2 | 417.38 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 379.495 - 380.37 = -0.875
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 380.37 - 382.1201 = -1.7501
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.7501 / -0.875 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3477.4898 | 100 | 9.1424 | 35.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.875 = -9.14
Taille de position USD = -9.14 x 380.37 = -3476.58
Donc, tu peux acheter -9.14 avec un stoploss a 379.495
Avec un position size USD de -3476.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -9.14 x -0.875 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -9.14 x -1.7501 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.23 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3497 % | 152.04 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 380.37 | 379.495 | 382.1201 | 2 | 417.38 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 379.495 - 380.37 = -0.875
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 380.37 - 382.1201 = -1.7501
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.7501 / -0.875 = 2.0001
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.250% | 1.1R | -0.350% | 1.5R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.273% | 1.2R | -0.350% | 1.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.557% | 2.4R | -0.350% | 1.5R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.656% | 7.2R | -0.350% | 1.5R | 4.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.217% | 40.1R | -0.350% | 1.5R | 26.4× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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