09 Aug 2026 at 02:10:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SAGA (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2939.78 SAGA at 0.0175$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01792 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01476 (15.56 %)

SAGA LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 02:10 → 02:15 · 4 minutes

Position

Entry 0.01748$

Qty 2939.7822 SAGA

Size 51.3874$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.01792 (+2.52%)

TP $ 1.29$

SL 0.01476 (-15.56%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.16

Status win PnL +2.52% / +1.29$ MAE -9.50% MFE +3.15% 0.2R expires 09 Aug 08:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 63271)
#1 / 39 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8141

Quality Score
0.769
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 02:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#1 / 39 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
15.56 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 39 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
15.56 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear
4h clear
1d clear
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h OK
1d OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

09/08 02:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

09/08 01:00

Score : +1 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.7687
Score SMA
0.6010
Rank
#1 / 39
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8141
Rank Norm SMA
0.7956
Calculé le
09/08/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8629 r1h: -20.175% · r4h: 3.224% · r1d: 28.36% · r3d: 27.51% · ema21_slope: 1.2798% · dist_ema21: 6.461%
Force Relative 25% 0.6948 rs_1h: -20.174% · rs_4h: 3.350% · rs_1d: 28.68% · rs_3d: 27.68% · beta_24h: -12.581
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 7.29× · zscore_50: 5.530 · trend: 405.16%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9073 ADX: 48.9 (trend) · Chop: -4.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.439% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -15.561% (0.0027)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.147% 0.2R -6.751% 0.4R 0.5× 12
2h +3.147% 0.2R -7.552% 0.5R 0.4× 24
4h +3.147% 0.2R -8.124% 0.5R 0.4× 48
6h ★ +3.147% 0.2R -9.497% 0.6R 0.3× 72
8h +3.147% 0.2R -10.526% 0.7R 0.3× 96
12h +3.147% 0.2R -12.700% 0.8R 0.3× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.54
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d
4h
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 52% early 0.08 range_low +0.20% +0.99 09/08 01:00
15m ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
72%
noisy_chop 47% late range_low -0.22% +0.69 09/08 01:30
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1h ↓ down early 8b 0×ATR p0 -0.178×ATR p17
15m ↓ down late 2b 5.074×ATR p87 -0.913×ATR p61

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.01475871
  2. tp_price: 0.017917
  3. atr: 0.00108852
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-09T12:10:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 39
  3. score: 0.8629
  4. delta_2h: 0
  5. extension_atr: 0.95
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8141
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01748 0.01476 0.01792 0.16 0.01531
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01748
  • Stop Loss: 0.01476
  • Take Profit: 0.01792

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01476 - 0.01748 = -0.00272

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01748 - 0.01792 = -0.00044

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00044 / -0.00272 = 0.1618

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
51.3874 51.3874 2939.7822 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00272

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00272 = -2941.18

Taille de position USD = -2941.18 x 0.01748 = -51.41

Donc, tu peux acheter -2941.18 avec un stoploss a 0.01476

Avec un position size USD de -51.41$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2941.18 x -0.00272 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2941.18 x -0.00044 = 1.29

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.29$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -2941.18
  • Taille de position USD -51.41
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 1.29
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.1618

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.52 % 1.29 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
15.56 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
1.29 $ 2.52
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01748 0.01476 0.01792 0.16 0.01531
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01748
  • Stop Loss: 0.01476
  • Take Profit: 0.01792

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01476 - 0.01748 = -0.00272

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01748 - 0.01792 = -0.00044

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00044 / -0.00272 = 0.1618

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -15.561% (0.0027)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.147% 0.2R -6.751% 0.4R 0.5× 12
2h +3.147% 0.2R -7.552% 0.5R 0.4× 24
4h +3.147% 0.2R -8.124% 0.5R 0.4× 48
6h ★ +3.147% 0.2R -9.497% 0.6R 0.3× 72
8h +3.147% 0.2R -10.526% 0.7R 0.3× 96
12h +3.147% 0.2R -12.700% 0.8R 0.3× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.