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Long Trade on ICP

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09 Aug 2026 at 03:10:03 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ICP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 129.08 ICP at 2.173$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2274 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1111 (2.85 %)

ICP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 03:10 → 07:15 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 2.1731$

Qty 129.0765 ICP

Size 280.4962$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 2.2274 (+2.5%)

TP $ 7.01$

SL 2.1111 (-2.85%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.88

Status win PnL +0.08% / +0.22$ MAE -0.14% MFE +0.86% 0.3R expires 09 Aug 07:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=12 > threshold=10/39

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 63320)
#3 / 39 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8654

Quality Score
0.631
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 03:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#3 / 39 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.85 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 39 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.85 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near 0.35×ATR
1d clear 7.27×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late OK
4h ↓ down late OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

09/08 03:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

08/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

09/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

09/08 02:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.6309
Score SMA
0.6031
Rank
#3 / 39
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8654
Rank Norm SMA
0.7868
Calculé le
09/08/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6583 r1h: 1.140% · r4h: 0.815% · r1d: 4.68% · r3d: 4.51% · ema21_slope: 0.1483% · dist_ema21: 1.080%
Force Relative 25% 0.6583 rs_1h: 1.052% · rs_4h: 0.757% · rs_1d: 4.90% · rs_3d: 4.50% · beta_24h: 5.211
Volume 20% 0.1769 rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -0.347 · trend: -76.50%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8898 ADX: 46.8 (trend) · Chop: 20.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.161% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4.2h) Initial Risk: -2.853% (0.0620)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.433% 0.2R -0.143% 0.1R 3.0× 12
2h +0.635% 0.2R -0.143% 0.1R 4.5× 24
4h +0.861% 0.3R -0.143% 0.1R 6.0× 48
4.2h ★ +0.861% 0.3R -0.143% 0.1R 6.0× 49
8h +1.588% 0.6R -0.143% 0.1R 11.1× 96
12h +2.425% 0.9R -0.143% 0.1R 17.0× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.68
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 35% early near 0.4ATR — 0.39 bear_high -3.14% -0.11 08/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 41% late — near 0.3ATR 0.66 bull_medium +0.87% +0.32 09/08 00:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 42% late — — 0.54 range_low +0.31% +0.34 09/08 02:00
15m ↔ neutral range range strong grind compression bull_medium
57%
noisy_chop 43% late — near 0.1ATR — range_low -0.09% +0.04 09/08 02:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 1b — 2.576×ATR p0 +0.487×ATR p48
4h ↓ down late 3b — 5.814×ATR p94 +0.365×ATR p46
1h ↓ down late 13b — 8.785×ATR p98 +0.036×ATR p5
15m ↑ up late 14b — 4.18×ATR p86 +3.166×ATR p97

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 2.11112126
  2. tp_price: 2.2274275
  3. atr: 0.0247915
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-09T13:10:03+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 39
  3. score: 0.6583
  4. delta_2h: 0.0438
  5. extension_atr: 0.16
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8654
  9. confidence: 0.921

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.1731 2.1111 2.2274 0.88 2.4178
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.1731
  • Stop Loss: 2.1111
  • Take Profit: 2.2274

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.1111 - 2.1731 = -0.062

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.1731 - 2.2274 = -0.0543

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0543 / -0.062 = 0.8758

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
280.4962 100 129.0765 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.062

Taille de position = 8 / -0.062 = -129.03

Taille de position USD = -129.03 x 2.1731 = -280.4

Donc, tu peux acheter -129.03 avec un stoploss a 2.1111

Avec un position size USD de -280.4$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -129.03 x -0.062 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -129.03 x -0.0543 = 7.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -129.03
  • Taille de position USD -280.4
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 7.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8758

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 7.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.85 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
0.22 $ 0.08
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1427 % 5 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.1731 2.1111 2.2274 0.88 2.4178
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.1731
  • Stop Loss: 2.1111
  • Take Profit: 2.2274

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.1111 - 2.1731 = -0.062

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.1731 - 2.2274 = -0.0543

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0543 / -0.062 = 0.8758

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4.2h) Initial Risk: -2.853% (0.0620)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.433% 0.2R -0.143% 0.1R 3.0× 12
2h +0.635% 0.2R -0.143% 0.1R 4.5× 24
4h +0.861% 0.3R -0.143% 0.1R 6.0× 48
4.2h ★ +0.861% 0.3R -0.143% 0.1R 6.0× 49
8h +1.588% 0.6R -0.143% 0.1R 11.1× 96
12h +2.425% 0.9R -0.143% 0.1R 17.0× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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