Long Trade on ZEC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.54 ZEC at 524.83$ per unit. Take profit: 561.8058 (7.05 %) & Stop Loss: 510.0397 (2.82 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 06:09:43
hyperliquid
ZEC
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 06:09
→ 18:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 524.83$
Qty 0.5409 ZEC
Size 283.8774$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 561.8058 (+7.05%)
TP $ 20$
SL 510.0397 (-2.82%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.15%
/ -3.27$
MAE -2.10%
MFE +0.49%
0.2R
expires
09 Aug 18:09
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63436)
#3 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 06:00
score du 09/08/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5385
Quality Score
0.652
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
41.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 06:02
09/08 06:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#3 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -2.20×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.36×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 06:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6517
Score SMA
0.5117
Rank
#3
/ 40
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5385
Rank Norm SMA
0.4770
Calculé le
09/08/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6343 | r1h: 1.482% · r4h: 1.975% · r1d: 2.86% · r3d: 3.33% · ema21_slope: 0.0605% · dist_ema21: 1.907% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6671 | rs_1h: 1.478% · rs_4h: 1.949% · rs_1d: 3.11% · rs_3d: 3.12% · beta_24h: 1.892 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5604 | rvol_20: 2.00× · zscore_50: 0.743 · trend: 3.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5505 | ADX: 12.2 (weak) · Chop: 44.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.760% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.818%
(14.7903)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.490% | 0.2R | -0.259% | 0.1R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.490% | 0.2R | -0.606% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.490% | 0.2R | -0.793% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.490% | 0.2R | -2.102% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.490% | 0.2R | -2.102% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.490% | 0.2R | -4.099% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.81
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -3.14% | -0.53 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.65 | bull_medium | +0.88% | +0.05 | 09/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -2.2ATR | 0.60 | range_low | +0.24% | +0.29 | 09/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.13% | +0.12 | 09/08 05:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 25b | — | 2.992×ATR | p0 | +0.355×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.029×ATR | p0 | +0.583×ATR | p57 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.807×ATR | p20 | +1.003×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.057×ATR | p0 | +1.414×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7764
- reason: up_bo width=2.18×ATR dur=47b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 510.03967332
- tp_price: 561.8058167
- atr:
- score: 0.7764273293863
- expires_at: 2026-08-09T22:09:35.653642
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.7764273293863
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0281
- obi_top10 : 0.0281
- micro_price : 525.4983743
- spread_pct : 0.001903
- mid_price : 525.495
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0198
- obi_top5_std : 0.0201
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6962
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
515.07
- balance_zone_bottom:
505.855
- balance_zone_mid:
510.4625
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786104000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786269600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1794
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
47
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7764
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786266000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
515.07
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.766
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.3083
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
13
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 4.22826681 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
47
inside_close_ratio
0.766
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
2.3083
Signaux confirmants (60)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:09 | 524.83000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:15 | 524.83000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 06:21 | 526.37000000 | +0.293% |
| 4 | 06:27 | 526.37000000 | +0.293% |
| 5 | 06:33 | 526.37000000 | +0.293% |
| 6 | 06:39 | 526.01000000 | +0.225% |
| 7 | 06:45 | 526.01000000 | +0.225% |
| 8 | 06:51 | 526.36000000 | +0.292% |
| 9 | 06:57 | 526.36000000 | +0.292% |
| 10 | 07:04 | 526.36000000 | +0.292% |
| 11 | 07:09 | 525.10000000 | +0.051% |
| 12 | 07:15 | 525.10000000 | +0.051% |
| 13 | 07:21 | 523.97000000 | -0.164% |
| 14 | 07:27 | 523.97000000 | -0.164% |
| 15 | 07:33 | 523.97000000 | -0.164% |
| 16 | 07:39 | 524.63000000 | -0.038% |
| 17 | 07:45 | 524.63000000 | -0.038% |
| 18 | 07:51 | 523.03000000 | -0.343% |
| 19 | 07:57 | 523.03000000 | -0.343% |
| 20 | 08:04 | 523.03000000 | -0.343% |
| 21 | 08:09 | 521.84000000 | -0.57% |
| 22 | 08:15 | 521.84000000 | -0.57% |
| 23 | 08:21 | 522.04000000 | -0.532% |
| 24 | 08:27 | 522.04000000 | -0.532% |
| 25 | 08:33 | 522.04000000 | -0.532% |
| 26 | 08:39 | 522.41000000 | -0.461% |
| 27 | 08:45 | 522.41000000 | -0.461% |
| 28 | 08:51 | 523.75000000 | -0.206% |
| 29 | 08:57 | 523.75000000 | -0.206% |
| 30 | 09:04 | 523.75000000 | -0.206% |
| 31 | 09:09 | 524.11000000 | -0.137% |
| 32 | 09:15 | 524.11000000 | -0.137% |
| 33 | 09:21 | 525.86000000 | +0.196% |
| 34 | 09:27 | 525.86000000 | +0.196% |
| 35 | 09:33 | 525.86000000 | +0.196% |
| 36 | 09:39 | 525.67000000 | +0.16% |
| 37 | 09:45 | 525.67000000 | +0.16% |
| 38 | 09:51 | 525.23000000 | +0.076% |
| 39 | 09:57 | 525.23000000 | +0.076% |
| 40 | 10:04 | 525.23000000 | +0.076% |
| 41 | 10:09 | 523.88000000 | -0.181% |
| 42 | 10:15 | 523.88000000 | -0.181% |
| 43 | 10:21 | 524.06000000 | -0.147% |
| 44 | 10:27 | 524.06000000 | -0.147% |
| 45 | 10:34 | 524.06000000 | -0.147% |
| 46 | 10:39 | 523.23000000 | -0.305% |
| 47 | 10:45 | 523.23000000 | -0.305% |
| 48 | 10:51 | 523.73000000 | -0.21% |
| 49 | 10:57 | 523.73000000 | -0.21% |
| 50 | 11:04 | 523.73000000 | -0.21% |
| 51 | 11:09 | 523.65000000 | -0.225% |
| 52 | 11:15 | 523.65000000 | -0.225% |
| 53 | 11:21 | 522.11000000 | -0.518% |
| 54 | 11:27 | 522.11000000 | -0.518% |
| 55 | 11:34 | 522.11000000 | -0.518% |
| 56 | 11:39 | 522.11000000 | -0.518% |
| 57 | 11:45 | 522.11000000 | -0.518% |
| 58 | 11:51 | 522.27000000 | -0.488% |
| 59 | 11:57 | 522.27000000 | -0.488% |
| 60 | 12:04 | 522.27000000 | -0.488% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6962ms
Confidence avant OB :
78%
→
78%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.028
avg 0.020
± 0.020
OBI Top 10
0.028
Microstructure
Mid Price
525.4950
Micro Price
525.4984
Spread
0.0019%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 524.83 | 510.0397 | 561.8058 | 2.5 | 796.94 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 524.83
- Stop Loss: 510.0397
- Take Profit: 561.8058
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 510.0397 - 524.83 = -14.7903
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 524.83 - 561.8058 = -36.9758
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -36.9758 / -14.7903 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 283.8774 | 100 | 0.5409 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -14.7903
Taille de position = 8 / -14.7903 = -0.54
Taille de position USD = -0.54 x 524.83 = -283.41
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.54 avec un stoploss a 510.0397
Avec un position size USD de -283.41$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.54 x -14.7903 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.54 x -36.9758 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.54
- Taille de position USD -283.41
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 19.97
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.05 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.82 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.27 $ | -1.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1016 % | 74.58 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 524.83 | 510.0397 | 561.8058 | 2.5 | 796.94 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 524.83
- Stop Loss: 510.0397
- Take Profit: 561.8058
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 510.0397 - 524.83 = -14.7903
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 524.83 - 561.8058 = -36.9758
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -36.9758 / -14.7903 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.818%
(14.7903)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.490% | 0.2R | -0.259% | 0.1R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.490% | 0.2R | -0.606% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.490% | 0.2R | -0.793% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.490% | 0.2R | -2.102% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.490% | 0.2R | -2.102% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.490% | 0.2R | -4.099% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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