09 Aug 2026 at 09:19:20 hyperliquid

Long Trade on CRV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 807.04 CRV at 0.237$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2619 (10.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2272 (4.18 %)

CRV LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 09:19 → 21:15 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.2371$

Qty 807.0357 CRV

Size 191.3562$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2619 (+10.46%)

TP $ 20.01$

SL 0.2272 (-4.18%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 2.51

Status win PnL +1.56% / +2.99$ MAE -0.67% MFE +3.79% 0.9R expires 09 Aug 21:19 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 63529)
#2 / 39 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8694

Quality Score
0.743
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
81 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 09:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#2 / 39 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.18 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 39 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.18 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear
4h clear
1d clear 16.32×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

09/08 09:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

08/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

09/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

09/08 09:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.7434
Score SMA
0.6575
Rank
#2 / 39
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8694
Rank Norm SMA
0.9073
Calculé le
09/08/2026 09:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7211 r1h: 0.034% · r4h: 4.571% · r1d: 5.25% · r3d: 13.35% · ema21_slope: 0.1462% · dist_ema21: 3.940%
Force Relative 25% 0.7647 rs_1h: 0.043% · rs_4h: 4.388% · rs_1d: 5.35% · rs_3d: 12.55% · beta_24h: 1.504
Volume 20% 0.4635 rvol_20: 1.02× · zscore_50: 0.186 · trend: 75.41%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9548 ADX: 54.6 (trend) · Chop: 26.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.060% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.176% (0.0099)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.928% 0.2R -0.675% 0.2R 1.4× 12
2h +1.350% 0.3R -0.675% 0.2R 2.0× 24
4h +3.787% 0.9R -0.675% 0.2R 5.6× 48
8h +3.787% 0.9R -0.675% 0.2R 5.6× 96
12h ★ +3.787% 0.9R -0.675% 0.2R 5.6× 144
24h +3.787% 0.9R -0.675% 0.2R 5.6× 288

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.96
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 39% late 0.68 bear_high -2.96% +0.78 08/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high
71%
choppy 49% late 0.49 bull_medium +1.15% +0.83 09/08 08:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
65%
noisy_chop 47% late 0.43 range_low +0.52% +0.45 09/08 09:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_medium_confirmed
70%
choppy 52% mid range_low +0.14% +0.39 09/08 09:00
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 8b 3.666×ATR p40 +2.014×ATR p99
4h ↑ up late 11b 6.683×ATR p97 +2.08×ATR p99
1h ↑ up late 5b 4.37×ATR p83 +1.652×ATR p92
15m ↑ up mid 9b 4.091×ATR p79 +0.56×ATR p46

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.8092
  3. reason: up_bo width=1.71×ATR dur=24b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_moderate(+0.05)
  4. stop_price: 0.22719718
  5. tp_price: 0.26189206
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.68921860572309
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-10T01:19:12.920603
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.68921860572309
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.2862
  14. obi_top10 : 0.1385
  15. micro_price : 0.23645756
  16. spread_pct : 0.127011
  17. mid_price : 0.23635
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.233
  19. bid_wall_size : 516615
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.241
  22. ask_wall_size : 395958
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.2728
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.012
  27. pressure_side : bid
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6940
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.22956
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.22533
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.227445
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1786197600
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1786280400
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.7069
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    24
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: forming
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.6892
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1786269600
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.22956
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8333
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    3
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    3.0465
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    2
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    5
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00247823
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
24
inside_close_ratio
0.8333
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
3.0465

Signaux confirmants (11)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 09:19 0.23711000 +0.004%
2 09:25 0.23711000 +0.004%
3 09:31 0.23711000 +0.004%
4 09:37 0.23668000 -0.177%
5 09:43 0.23668000 -0.177%
6 09:49 0.23595000 -0.485%
7 09:55 0.23595000 -0.485%
8 10:01 0.23595000 -0.485%
9 14:19 0.23807000 +0.409%
10 14:25 0.23807000 +0.409%
11 14:31 0.23807000 +0.409%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6940ms Confidence avant OB : 69%81%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.286
avg 0.273 ± 0.012
OBI Top 10 0.139

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.2364
Micro Price
0.2365
Spread
0.1270%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.2330
Size
516,615.00

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.2410
Size
395,958.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2371 0.2272 0.2619 2.51 0.3233
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2371
  • Stop Loss: 0.2272
  • Take Profit: 0.2619

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2272 - 0.2371 = -0.0099

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2371 - 0.2619 = -0.0248

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0248 / -0.0099 = 2.5051

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
191.3562 100 807.0357 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0099

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0099 = -808.08

Taille de position USD = -808.08 x 0.2371 = -191.6

Donc, tu peux acheter -808.08 avec un stoploss a 0.2272

Avec un position size USD de -191.6$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -808.08 x -0.0099 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -808.08 x -0.0248 = 20.04

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -808.08
  • Taille de position USD -191.6
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.04
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5051

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
10.46 % 20.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.18 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
2.99 $ 1.56
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6748 % 16.16 % 12
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2371 0.2272 0.2619 2.51 0.3233
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2371
  • Stop Loss: 0.2272
  • Take Profit: 0.2619

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2272 - 0.2371 = -0.0099

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2371 - 0.2619 = -0.0248

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0248 / -0.0099 = 2.5051

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.176% (0.0099)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.928% 0.2R -0.675% 0.2R 1.4× 12
2h +1.350% 0.3R -0.675% 0.2R 2.0× 24
4h +3.787% 0.9R -0.675% 0.2R 5.6× 48
8h +3.787% 0.9R -0.675% 0.2R 5.6× 96
12h ★ +3.787% 0.9R -0.675% 0.2R 5.6× 144
24h +3.787% 0.9R -0.675% 0.2R 5.6× 288

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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