Long Trade on TAO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1.38 TAO at 208.98$ per unit. Take profit: 214.2045 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 203.1892 (2.77 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 10:10:04
hyperliquid
TAO
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 10:10
→ 12:10
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 208.98$
Qty 1.3815 TAO
Size 288.7054$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 214.2045 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.22$
SL 203.1892 (-2.77%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.9
Status
loss
PnL
-0.21%
/ -0.61$
MAE -0.52%
MFE +0.81%
0.3R
expires
09 Aug 12:20
Exit
rank_decay: long rank=12 > threshold=10/39
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63583)
#2 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 10:00
score du 09/08/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9348
Quality Score
0.779
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
7.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 10:01
09/08 10:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#2 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.19×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.61×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 10:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 09/08 09:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.7790
Score SMA
0.6543
Rank
#2
/ 40
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9348
Rank Norm SMA
0.8672
Calculé le
09/08/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7160 | r1h: 1.137% · r4h: 1.585% · r1d: 6.64% · r3d: 8.88% · ema21_slope: 0.2036% · dist_ema21: 2.262% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6947 | rs_1h: 0.717% · rs_4h: 1.060% · rs_1d: 6.32% · rs_3d: 7.65% · beta_24h: 2.249 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8540 | rvol_20: 2.38× · zscore_50: 2.744 · trend: 77.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7983 | ADX: 52.0 (trend) · Chop: 54.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.171% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -2.771%
(5.7908)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.603% | 0.2R | -0.517% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.809% | 0.3R | -0.517% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.809% | 0.3R | -0.517% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 25 |
| 4h | +0.809% | 0.3R | -0.971% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.809% | 0.3R | -1.665% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.809% | 0.3R | -3.914% | 1.4R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.56
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -2.96% | +0.55 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.68 | bull_medium | +1.15% | +0.45 | 09/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.54 | bull_low | +0.82% | +0.44 | 09/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_medium_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -1.3ATR | — | range_low | +0.42% | +0.10 | 09/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.585×ATR | p7 | +0.967×ATR | p78 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 0.967×ATR | p0 | +0.966×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 2.563×ATR | p43 | +0.811×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.322×ATR | p28 | +1.145×ATR | p81 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 203.18918371
- tp_price: 214.2045
- atr: 2.31632652
- expires_at: 2026-08-09T20:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 3
- total: 40
- score: 0.716
- delta_2h: 0.044
- extension_atr: 1.73
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9348
- confidence: 0.949
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:10 | 208.98000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:10 | 209.52000000 | +0.258% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208.98 | 203.1892 | 214.2045 | 0.9 | 230.18 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 208.98
- Stop Loss: 203.1892
- Take Profit: 214.2045
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 203.1892 - 208.98 = -5.7908
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 208.98 - 214.2045 = -5.2245
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.2245 / -5.7908 = 0.9022
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 288.7054 | 100 | 1.3815 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -5.7908
Taille de position = 8 / -5.7908 = -1.38
Taille de position USD = -1.38 x 208.98 = -288.39
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.38 avec un stoploss a 203.1892
Avec un position size USD de -288.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.38 x -5.7908 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.38 x -5.2245 = 7.21
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.21$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.38
- Taille de position USD -288.39
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 7.21
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9022
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.22 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.77 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.61 $ | -0.21 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5168 % | 18.65 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208.98 | 203.1892 | 214.2045 | 0.9 | 230.18 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 208.98
- Stop Loss: 203.1892
- Take Profit: 214.2045
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 203.1892 - 208.98 = -5.7908
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 208.98 - 214.2045 = -5.2245
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.2245 / -5.7908 = 0.9022
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -2.771%
(5.7908)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.603% | 0.2R | -0.517% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.809% | 0.3R | -0.517% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.809% | 0.3R | -0.517% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 25 |
| 4h | +0.809% | 0.3R | -0.971% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.809% | 0.3R | -1.665% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.809% | 0.3R | -3.914% | 1.4R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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