Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 148.45 VVV at 11.514$ per unit. Take profit: 11.6218 (0.94 %) & Stop Loss: 11.4601 (0.47 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 148.45 VVV at 11.514$ per unit. Take profit: 11.6218 (0.94 %) & Stop Loss: 11.4601 (0.47 %)
Position
Entry 11.514$
Qty 148.4479 VVV
Size 1709.2295$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 11.6218 (+0.94%)
TP $ 16$
SL 11.4601 (-0.47%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5655
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.11×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.98×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.41×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 10:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.12962 15m : 0.129686 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 09/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 09/08 10:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5693 | r1h: -0.591% · r4h: 3.029% · r1d: 3.54% · r3d: 1.86% · ema21_slope: 0.0475% · dist_ema21: 2.281% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5556 | rs_1h: -1.012% · rs_4h: 2.505% · rs_1d: 3.22% · rs_3d: 0.64% · beta_24h: 1.517 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6941 | rvol_20: 1.90× · zscore_50: 1.049 · trend: 110.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7107 | ADX: 25.3 (trend) · Chop: 29.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.093% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.642% | 3.5R | -0.295% | 0.6R | 5.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.474% | 7.4R | -0.295% | 0.6R | 11.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +5.116% | 10.9R | -0.295% | 0.6R | 17.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.116% | 10.9R | -0.295% | 0.6R | 17.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.116% | 10.9R | -0.295% | 0.6R | 17.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -2.96% | -0.07 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.47 | bull_medium | +1.48% | +0.00 | 09/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.47 | range_low | +0.73% | +0.26 | 09/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
51%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | near -1.3ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.32% | +0.26 | 09/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 3.892×ATR | p57 | -0.174×ATR | p21 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 2.151×ATR | p0 | +1.046×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 0.565×ATR | p0 | +0.782×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.36×ATR | p36 | -0.421×ATR | p44 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64969
0.00273927
65147
0.12962
64944.8
0.0031125
65147
0.129686
64721.7
0.00654026
65145
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0.5327
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0.0729
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1.2382
0.45
0.55
1
4
1
0.5677
0.6099
5.228
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1.1269
1.7627
1.2382
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0.2506
0.88
0.3576
0.4824
0.4729
0
0.3668
-5.3166
3.0792
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:51 | 11.51400000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:57 | 11.51000000 | -0.035% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 08:55:00 | 11.163 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 09:30:00 | 11.162 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 10:00:00 | 11.275 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 10:35:00 | 11.211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 10:50:00 | 11.697 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:10:00 | 11.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:50:00 | 11.727 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 13:25:00 | 11.722 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:00:00 | 11.569 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 14:50:00 | 11.513 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 23:30:00 | 11.311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:45:00 | 11.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 05:00:00 | 11.194 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:45:00 | 11.105 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 07:45:00 | 11.131 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:00:00 | 11.244 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 09:30:00 | 11.162 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 10:45:00 | 11.697 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:45:00 | 11.727 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:45:00 | 11.518 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 11.553 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 20:00:00 | 11.285 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 11.76 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 11.433 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 11.816 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 23:00:00 | 11.268 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 07:00:00 | 11.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 17:00:00 | 11.373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:00:00 | 11.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 11.727 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.514 | 11.4601 | 11.6218 | 2 | 15.997 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.4601 - 11.514 = -0.053899999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.514 - 11.6218 = -0.1078
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1078 / -0.053899999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1709.2295 | 100 | 148.4479 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.053899999999999 = -148.42
Taille de position USD = -148.42 x 11.514 = -1708.91
Donc, tu peux acheter -148.42 avec un stoploss a 11.4601
Avec un position size USD de -1708.91$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -148.42 x -0.053899999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -148.42 x -0.1078 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.94 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.47 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.94 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2953 % | 63.08 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.514 | 11.4601 | 11.6218 | 2 | 15.997 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.4601 - 11.514 = -0.053899999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.514 - 11.6218 = -0.1078
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1078 / -0.053899999999999 = 2
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Array
(
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.642% | 3.5R | -0.295% | 0.6R | 5.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.474% | 7.4R | -0.295% | 0.6R | 11.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +5.116% | 10.9R | -0.295% | 0.6R | 17.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.116% | 10.9R | -0.295% | 0.6R | 17.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.116% | 10.9R | -0.295% | 0.6R | 17.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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