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Long Trade on XMR

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09 Aug 2026 at 12:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on XMR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 0.63 XMR at 401.17$ per unit. Take profit: 411.1993 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 388.4457 (3.17 %)

XMR LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 12:10 → 15:15 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 401.17$

Qty 0.6287 XMR

Size 252.2235$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 411.1993 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.31$

SL 388.4457 (-3.17%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.79

Status loss PnL -1.64% / -4.13$ MAE -2.44% MFE +0.19% 0.1R expires 09 Aug 15:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=14 > threshold=10/39

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 63675)
#5 / 39 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7622

Quality Score
0.769
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
21.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 12:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#5 / 39 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.17 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 39 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.17 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d clear 1.60×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1)

09/08 12:00

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

08/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

09/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

09/08 11:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.7691
Score SMA
0.5966
Rank
#5 / 39
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7622
Rank Norm SMA
0.7503
Calculé le
09/08/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6777 r1h: -2.501% · r4h: 5.690% · r1d: 4.67% · r3d: 10.24% · ema21_slope: 0.1198% · dist_ema21: 4.096%
Force Relative 25% 0.6416 rs_1h: -2.437% · rs_4h: 5.267% · rs_1d: 4.46% · rs_3d: 9.32% · beta_24h: 4.188
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.20× · zscore_50: 3.009 · trend: 317.26%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7023 ADX: 24.3 (weak) · Chop: 6.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.319% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 3.2h) Initial Risk: -3.172% (12.7243)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.189% 0.1R -1.221% 0.4R 0.2× 12
2h +0.189% 0.1R -2.406% 0.8R 0.1× 24
3.2h ★ +0.189% 0.1R -2.438% 0.8R 0.1× 37
4h +0.189% 0.1R -2.438% 0.8R 0.1× 48
8h +0.189% 0.1R -2.438% 0.8R 0.1× 96
12h +0.691% 0.2R -2.438% 0.8R 0.3× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.12
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong fading compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.50 bear_high -2.96% +0.84 08/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
72%
ranging_calm 52% late — — 0.35 bull_medium +1.50% +0.81 09/08 08:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
53%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.19 bull_low +0.78% +0.52 09/08 11:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_medium_confirmed
62%
ranging_calm 58% mid — — 0.07 range_low +0.37% +0.50 09/08 11:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 12b — 3.633×ATR p21 +0.891×ATR p84
4h ↑ up late 4b — 5.293×ATR p84 +3.59×ATR p100
1h ↑ up late 9b — 5.849×ATR p91 +3.125×ATR p100
15m ↓ down mid 3b — 3.445×ATR p74 +0.372×ATR p33

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 388.445728
  2. tp_price: 411.19925
  3. atr: 5.0897088
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-09T22:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 6
  2. total: 41
  3. score: 0.6777
  4. delta_2h: 0.0826
  5. extension_atr: 2.64
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7622
  9. confidence: 0.925

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
401.17 388.4457 411.1993 0.79 415.62
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 401.17
  • Stop Loss: 388.4457
  • Take Profit: 411.1993

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 388.4457 - 401.17 = -12.7243

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 401.17 - 411.1993 = -10.0293

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -10.0293 / -12.7243 = 0.7882

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
252.2235 100 0.6287 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -12.7243

Taille de position = 8 / -12.7243 = -0.63

Taille de position USD = -0.63 x 401.17 = -252.74

Donc, tu peux acheter -0.63 avec un stoploss a 388.4457

Avec un position size USD de -252.74$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -0.63 x -12.7243 = 8.02

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -0.63 x -10.0293 = 6.32

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.32$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -0.63
  • Taille de position USD -252.74
  • Perte potentielle 8.02
  • Gain potentiel 6.32
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7882

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 6.31 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.17 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-4.13 $ -1.64
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.4379 % 76.86 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
401.17 388.4457 411.1993 0.79 415.62
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 401.17
  • Stop Loss: 388.4457
  • Take Profit: 411.1993

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 388.4457 - 401.17 = -12.7243

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 401.17 - 411.1993 = -10.0293

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -10.0293 / -12.7243 = 0.7882

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 3.2h) Initial Risk: -3.172% (12.7243)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.189% 0.1R -1.221% 0.4R 0.2× 12
2h +0.189% 0.1R -2.406% 0.8R 0.1× 24
3.2h ★ +0.189% 0.1R -2.438% 0.8R 0.1× 37
4h +0.189% 0.1R -2.438% 0.8R 0.1× 48
8h +0.189% 0.1R -2.438% 0.8R 0.1× 96
12h +0.691% 0.2R -2.438% 0.8R 0.3× 144

computed 1 week ago

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