Long Trade on XMR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.45 XMR at 396.65$ per unit. Take profit: 440.6963 (11.1 %) & Stop Loss: 379.0315 (4.44 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 13:21:56
hyperliquid
XMR
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 13:21
→ 01:20
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 396.65$
Qty 0.4541 XMR
Size 180.1059$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 440.6963 (+11.1%)
TP $ 20$
SL 379.0315 (-4.44%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.28%
/ +0.51$
MAE -1.33%
MFE +1.84%
0.4R
expires
10 Aug 01:21
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63715)
#4 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 13:00
score du 09/08/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7658
Quality Score
0.760
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
26.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 13:17
09/08 13:17
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#4 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.60×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 09/08 13:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 09/08 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.7600
Score SMA
0.5989
Rank
#4
/ 40
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7658
Rank Norm SMA
0.7494
Calculé le
09/08/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6720 | r1h: -0.160% · r4h: 4.911% · r1d: 3.97% · r3d: 9.72% · ema21_slope: 0.1428% · dist_ema21: 3.363% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7051 | rs_1h: -0.201% · rs_4h: 4.439% · rs_1d: 3.72% · rs_3d: 8.94% · beta_24h: 4.052 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8645 | rvol_20: 2.66× · zscore_50: 1.790 · trend: 272.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7279 | ADX: 27.3 (trend) · Chop: 8.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.299% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.442%
(17.6185)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.058% | 0.0R | -1.293% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.141% | 0.0R | -1.326% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.137% | 0.3R | -1.326% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.137% | 0.3R | -1.326% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.838% | 0.4R | -1.326% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.838% | 0.4R | -1.336% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.6
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.96% | +0.84 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.36 | bull_medium | +1.43% | +0.69 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
70%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.19 | range_low | +0.75% | +0.44 | 09/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 53% | late | — | — | 0.04 | range_low | +0.32% | +0.38 | 09/08 13:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.633×ATR | p21 | +0.891×ATR | p84 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 2.545×ATR | p28 | +1.443×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 3.657×ATR | p68 | +0.547×ATR | p50 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 5.889×ATR | p90 | -0.463×ATR | p40 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8445
- reason: up_bo width=1.78×ATR dur=34b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_moderate(+0.05)
- stop_price: 379.03147337
- tp_price: 440.69631658
- atr:
- score: 0.72451214513228
- expires_at: 2026-08-10T05:21:49.034642
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.72451214513228
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2519
- obi_top10 : 0.2198
- micro_price : 396.23181818
- spread_pct : 0.040395
- mid_price : 396.17
- bid_wall_price : 391
- bid_wall_size : 576.18
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 397
- ask_wall_size : 361.632
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2526
- obi_top5_std : 0.0006
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6829
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
384.12
- balance_zone_bottom:
374.97
- balance_zone_mid:
379.545
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786176000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786294800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.7818
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
34
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7245
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786280400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
384.12
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7941
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
4
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.44
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 5.13526632 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
34
inside_close_ratio
0.7941
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
2.44
Signaux confirmants (60)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:21 | 396.65000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:27 | 396.65000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 13:34 | 396.65000000 | 0% |
| 4 | 13:40 | 396.10000000 | -0.139% |
| 5 | 13:46 | 396.10000000 | -0.139% |
| 6 | 13:52 | 392.09000000 | -1.15% |
| 7 | 13:58 | 392.09000000 | -1.15% |
| 8 | 14:05 | 392.09000000 | -1.15% |
| 9 | 14:10 | 394.00000000 | -0.668% |
| 10 | 14:16 | 394.00000000 | -0.668% |
| 11 | 14:22 | 393.69000000 | -0.746% |
| 12 | 14:28 | 393.69000000 | -0.746% |
| 13 | 14:34 | 393.69000000 | -0.746% |
| 14 | 14:40 | 393.19000000 | -0.872% |
| 15 | 14:46 | 393.19000000 | -0.872% |
| 16 | 14:51 | 392.57000000 | -1.029% |
| 17 | 14:58 | 392.57000000 | -1.029% |
| 18 | 15:05 | 392.57000000 | -1.029% |
| 19 | 15:10 | 395.21000000 | -0.363% |
| 20 | 15:16 | 395.21000000 | -0.363% |
| 21 | 15:22 | 394.60000000 | -0.517% |
| 22 | 15:27 | 394.60000000 | -0.517% |
| 23 | 15:34 | 394.60000000 | -0.517% |
| 24 | 15:39 | 397.50000000 | +0.214% |
| 25 | 15:46 | 397.50000000 | +0.214% |
| 26 | 15:52 | 397.18000000 | +0.134% |
| 27 | 15:57 | 397.18000000 | +0.134% |
| 28 | 16:05 | 397.18000000 | +0.134% |
| 29 | 16:10 | 396.42000000 | -0.058% |
| 30 | 16:17 | 396.42000000 | -0.058% |
| 31 | 16:22 | 399.21000000 | +0.645% |
| 32 | 16:28 | 399.21000000 | +0.645% |
| 33 | 16:34 | 399.21000000 | +0.645% |
| 34 | 16:40 | 400.48000000 | +0.966% |
| 35 | 16:46 | 400.48000000 | +0.966% |
| 36 | 16:52 | 400.50000000 | +0.971% |
| 37 | 16:58 | 400.50000000 | +0.971% |
| 38 | 17:05 | 400.50000000 | +0.971% |
| 39 | 17:11 | 399.04000000 | +0.603% |
| 40 | 17:16 | 399.04000000 | +0.603% |
| 41 | 17:22 | 397.23000000 | +0.146% |
| 42 | 17:28 | 397.23000000 | +0.146% |
| 43 | 17:34 | 397.23000000 | +0.146% |
| 44 | 17:40 | 392.00000000 | -1.172% |
| 45 | 17:46 | 392.00000000 | -1.172% |
| 46 | 17:52 | 393.01000000 | -0.918% |
| 47 | 17:58 | 393.01000000 | -0.918% |
| 48 | 18:05 | 393.01000000 | -0.918% |
| 49 | 18:10 | 393.73000000 | -0.736% |
| 50 | 18:16 | 393.73000000 | -0.736% |
| 51 | 18:22 | 392.29000000 | -1.099% |
| 52 | 18:27 | 392.29000000 | -1.099% |
| 53 | 18:34 | 392.29000000 | -1.099% |
| 54 | 18:42 | 393.05000000 | -0.908% |
| 55 | 18:48 | 393.05000000 | -0.908% |
| 56 | 18:54 | 393.28000000 | -0.85% |
| 57 | 18:59 | 393.28000000 | -0.85% |
| 58 | 19:06 | 393.28000000 | -0.85% |
| 59 | 19:12 | 394.52000000 | -0.537% |
| 60 | 19:18 | 394.52000000 | -0.537% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6829ms
Confidence avant OB :
72%
→
84%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.252
avg 0.253
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.220
Microstructure
Mid Price
396.1700
Micro Price
396.2318
Spread
0.0404%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
391.0000
Size
576.18
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
397.0000
Size
361.63
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 396.65 | 379.0315 | 440.6963 | 2.5 | 416.95 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 396.65
- Stop Loss: 379.0315
- Take Profit: 440.6963
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 379.0315 - 396.65 = -17.6185
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 396.65 - 440.6963 = -44.0463
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -44.0463 / -17.6185 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180.1059 | 100 | 0.4541 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -17.6185
Taille de position = 8 / -17.6185 = -0.45
Taille de position USD = -0.45 x 396.65 = -178.49
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.45 avec un stoploss a 379.0315
Avec un position size USD de -178.49$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.45 x -17.6185 = 7.93
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.93$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.45 x -44.0463 = 19.82
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.82$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.45
- Taille de position USD -178.49
- Perte potentielle 7.93
- Gain potentiel 19.82
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.1 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.44 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.51 $ | 0.28 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3261 % | 29.86 % | 25 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 396.65 | 379.0315 | 440.6963 | 2.5 | 416.95 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 396.65
- Stop Loss: 379.0315
- Take Profit: 440.6963
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 379.0315 - 396.65 = -17.6185
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 396.65 - 440.6963 = -44.0463
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -44.0463 / -17.6185 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.442%
(17.6185)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.058% | 0.0R | -1.293% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.141% | 0.0R | -1.326% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.137% | 0.3R | -1.326% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.137% | 0.3R | -1.326% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.838% | 0.4R | -1.326% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.838% | 0.4R | -1.336% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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