Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.35 BTC at 65162$ per unit. Take profit: 65208.2813 (0.071 %) & Stop Loss: 65138.8594 (0.036 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.35 BTC at 65162$ per unit. Take profit: 65208.2813 (0.071 %) & Stop Loss: 65138.8594 (0.036 %)
Position
Entry 65162$
Qty 0.3457 BTC
Size 22527.2844$ (margin 100$) (leverage 225)
Risk Setup
TP 65208.2813 (+0.071%)
TP $ 16$
SL 65138.8594 (-0.036%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2432
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -3.61×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.54×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.57×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 09/08 13:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 09/08 13:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5197 | r1h: 0.041% · r4h: 0.471% · r1d: 0.25% · r3d: 0.78% · ema21_slope: 0.0101% · dist_ema21: 0.368% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4274 | rvol_20: 1.32× · zscore_50: 0.182 · trend: 12.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6899 | ADX: 22.8 (weak) · Chop: 31.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5104 | ATR%: 0.153% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.046% | 1.3R | -0.012% | 0.4R | 3.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.046% | 1.3R | -0.032% | 0.9R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.097% | 2.7R | -0.184% | 5.2R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.480% | 13.5R | -0.588% | 16.6R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.480% | 13.5R | -0.588% | 16.6R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -1.6ATR | — | — | — | — | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -1.5ATR | — | — | — | — | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_low |
46%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -3.6ATR | — | — | — | — | 09/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | — | — | — | — | 09/08 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 19b | — | 1.503×ATR | p0 | +0.338×ATR | p34 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 38b | — | 8.804×ATR | p97 | +0.961×ATR | p81 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 5.298×ATR | p92 | +1.189×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.255×ATR | p0 | +0.101×ATR | p10 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
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[0] => 2026-08-07 02:00:00
[1] => 64518
[2] => H
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[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 04:00:00
[1] => 64137
[2] => L
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[2] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-07 12:00:00
[1] => 65356
[2] => H
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[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 17:00:00
[1] => 64484
[2] => L
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[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 21:00:00
[1] => 65063
[2] => H
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[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 03:00:00
[1] => 65045
[2] => H
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[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 12:00:00
[1] => 64883
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 14:00:00
[1] => 65168
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 03:00:00
[1] => 64700
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 14:00:00
[1] => 65266
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10572120246376
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.76816074188563
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.87480680061824
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
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[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
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[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 01:00:00
[1] => 64979
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 03:15:00
[1] => 64700
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 04:15:00
[1] => 64800
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 05:45:00
[1] => 64748
[2] => L
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[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 08:15:00
[1] => 64909
[2] => H
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[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 08:45:00
[1] => 64758
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 11:30:00
[1] => 64969
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 12:00:00
[1] => 64884
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 14:45:00
[1] => 65266
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 16:15:00
[1] => 65148
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12104311586431
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.05986369497145
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.18112605145208
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
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[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
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[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 12:50:00
[1] => 64906
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 13:40:00
[1] => 65236
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 14:40:00
[1] => 65121
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 14:55:00
[1] => 65266
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 16:05:00
[1] => 65241
[2] => H
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[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 16:25:00
[1] => 65148
[2] => L
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[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 16:35:00
[1] => 65236
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 17:00:00
[1] => 65185
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 17:25:00
[1] => 65200
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 17:50:00
[1] => 65162
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.058282208588957
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.058316196556275
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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64700
185
0.752
0.5435
0.2809
0.23
0.3225
0.6842
0.6402
0.4837
0.6827
0.4677
0.4821
0.8944
0.2787
0.145
1
2.0824
3.2084
0.6
0.4
1
53
1
0.5399
0.3744
5.2375
0.5
0.6842
3.5835
3.2084
0.7316
0.2675
0.36
0.0775
0.5086
0.5342
0.0376
0.8944
-1.76
14.9098
1
0
2
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:54 | 65162.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:00 | 65162.00000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 14:18 | 65154.00000000 | -0.012% |
| 4 | 14:24 | 65159.00000000 | -0.005% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 12:50:00 | 64906 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 13:40:00 | 65236 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:40:00 | 65121 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 14:55:00 | 65266 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:05:00 | 65241 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:25:00 | 65148 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:35:00 | 65236 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 65185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:25:00 | 65200 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:50:00 | 65162 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 64979 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:15:00 | 64700 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:15:00 | 64800 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:45:00 | 64748 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:15:00 | 64909 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 08:45:00 | 64758 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 11:30:00 | 64969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 64884 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 14:45:00 | 65266 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:15:00 | 65148 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 64518 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 64137 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 65356 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 64484 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 65063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 03:00:00 | 65045 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 64883 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 14:00:00 | 65168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 64700 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 14:00:00 | 65266 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65162 | 65138.8594 | 65208.2813 | 2 | 72718 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 65138.8594 - 65162 = -23.140599999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 65162 - 65208.2813 = -46.281300000002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -46.281300000002 / -23.140599999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22527.2844 | 100 | 0.3457 | 225.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -23.140599999999 = -0.35
Taille de position USD = -0.35 x 65162 = -22806.7
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.35 avec un stoploss a 65138.8594
Avec un position size USD de -22806.7$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.35 x -23.140599999999 = 8.1
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.1$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.35 x -46.281300000002 = 16.2
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.2$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.071 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.036 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.04 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0522 % | 147.04 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65162 | 65138.8594 | 65208.2813 | 2 | 72718 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 65138.8594 - 65162 = -23.140599999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 65162 - 65208.2813 = -46.281300000002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -46.281300000002 / -23.140599999999 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 65208.2813
[entry_price] => 65162
[stop_loss] => 65136.54534
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 20:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 65208.2813
[entry_price] => 65162
[stop_loss] => 65134.23128
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 20:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 65208.2813
[entry_price] => 65162
[stop_loss] => 65131.91722
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 20:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 65208.2813
[entry_price] => 65162
[stop_loss] => 65127.2891
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 20:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.046% | 1.3R | -0.012% | 0.4R | 3.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.046% | 1.3R | -0.032% | 0.9R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.097% | 2.7R | -0.184% | 5.2R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.480% | 13.5R | -0.588% | 16.6R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.480% | 13.5R | -0.588% | 16.6R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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