Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 3.4 XMR at 394.11$ per unit. Take profit: 398.8219 (1.2 %) & Stop Loss: 391.754 (0.6 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 3.4 XMR at 394.11$ per unit. Take profit: 398.8219 (1.2 %) & Stop Loss: 391.754 (0.6 %)
Position
Entry 394.11$
Qty 3.3956 XMR
Size 1338.2512$ (margin 100$) (leverage 13)
Risk Setup
TP 398.8219 (+1.2%)
TP $ 16$
SL 391.754 (-0.6%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7658
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.60×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 09/08 13:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.116545 15m : 0.020097 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6720 | r1h: -0.160% · r4h: 4.911% · r1d: 3.97% · r3d: 9.72% · ema21_slope: 0.1428% · dist_ema21: 3.363% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7051 | rs_1h: -0.201% · rs_4h: 4.439% · rs_1d: 3.72% · rs_3d: 8.94% · beta_24h: 4.052 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8645 | rvol_20: 2.66× · zscore_50: 1.790 · trend: 272.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7279 | ADX: 27.3 (trend) · Chop: 8.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.299% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.315% | 0.5R | -0.690% | 1.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.703% | 2.9R | -0.690% | 1.2R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.789% | 3.0R | -0.690% | 1.2R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.789% | 3.0R | -0.690% | 1.2R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.494% | 4.2R | -0.690% | 1.2R | 3.6× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.96% | +0.84 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.36 | bull_medium | +1.43% | +0.69 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.19 | bull_low | +0.76% | +0.43 | 09/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 54% | late | — | — | 0.03 | range_low | +0.31% | +0.30 | 09/08 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.633×ATR | p21 | +0.891×ATR | p84 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 2.545×ATR | p28 | +1.443×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 3.75×ATR | p68 | +0.463×ATR | p43 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 7.129×ATR | p93 | -0.749×ATR | p62 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65083.7
0.00120191
65162
0.116545
65007.1
0.0027671
65187
0.020097
64803.4
0.00607264
65197
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415.43
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7.1634
12.5144
1.4091
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0.1974
0.96
1.2317
0.7683
0.5503
0.4345
0.6419
-3.2887
5.8955
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:58 | 394.11000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:10 | 393.61000000 | -0.127% |
| 3 | 14:16 | 393.84000000 | -0.069% |
| 4 | 14:22 | 392.98000000 | -0.287% |
| 5 | 14:28 | 392.48000000 | -0.414% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 11:45:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:05:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:15:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:25:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:50:00 | 382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 13:15:00 | 381.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 13:25:00 | 381.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:05:00 | 415.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:35:00 | 398.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:50:00 | 391.52 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 22:15:00 | 374.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 22:45:00 | 379.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:45:00 | 384.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 06:30:00 | 379.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 10:15:00 | 382.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:15:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 11:45:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:15:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 415.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:45:00 | 391.86 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 03:00:00 | 366.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 07:00:00 | 371.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 367.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 01:00:00 | 381.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 10:00:00 | 375.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:00:00 | 386.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:00:00 | 374.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 384.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 415.43 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 394.11 | 391.754 | 398.8219 | 2 | 411.73 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 391.754 - 394.11 = -2.356
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 394.11 - 398.8219 = -4.7119
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.7119 / -2.356 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1338.2512 | 100 | 3.3956 | 13.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.356 = -3.4
Taille de position USD = -3.4 x 394.11 = -1339.97
Donc, tu peux acheter -3.4 avec un stoploss a 391.754
Avec un position size USD de -1339.97$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3.4 x -2.356 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3.4 x -4.7119 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.2 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.6 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.60 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6902 % | 115.46 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 394.11 | 391.754 | 398.8219 | 2 | 411.73 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 391.754 - 394.11 = -2.356
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 394.11 - 398.8219 = -4.7119
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.7119 / -2.356 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.315% | 0.5R | -0.690% | 1.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.703% | 2.9R | -0.690% | 1.2R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.789% | 3.0R | -0.690% | 1.2R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.789% | 3.0R | -0.690% | 1.2R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.494% | 4.2R | -0.690% | 1.2R | 3.6× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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