Long Trade on SAGA (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 4149.4 SAGA at 0.0157$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01614 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01382 (12.25 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 14:10:07
hyperliquid
SAGA
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 14:10
→ 14:20
· 9 minutes
Position
Entry 0.01575$
Qty 4149.3991 SAGA
Size 65.353$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01614 (+2.48%)
TP $ 1.62$
SL 0.01382 (-12.25%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.2
Status
loss
PnL
-0.70%
/ -0.46$
MAE -6.10%
MFE +0.83%
0.1R
expires
09 Aug 14:20
Exit
rank_decay: long rank=20 > threshold=10/39
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63743)
#20 / 39
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 14:00
score du 09/08/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5177
Quality Score
0.553
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 14:01
09/08 14:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#20 / 39
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#20 / 39
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 14:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 13:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5533
Score SMA
0.5722
Rank
#20
/ 39
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5177
Rank Norm SMA
0.7194
Calculé le
09/08/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6833 | r1h: 1.962% · r4h: -1.079% · r1d: 1.10% · r3d: 12.40% · ema21_slope: -0.1130% · dist_ema21: -2.768% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6662 | rs_1h: 1.962% · rs_4h: -1.088% · rs_1d: 0.94% · rs_3d: 11.45% · beta_24h: -11.077 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1720 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.420 · trend: -72.95% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8114 | ADX: 37.4 (trend) · Chop: 26.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2565 | ATR%: 5.230% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -12.254%
(0.0019)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.651% | 0.1R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.825% | 0.1R | -2.857% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.825% | 0.1R | -6.095% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.825% | 0.1R | -7.873% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.825% | 0.1R | -7.873% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.3
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.34 | bear_high | -2.96% | +0.98 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.33 | bull_medium | +1.43% | +0.86 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.04 | bull_low | +0.76% | -0.60 | 09/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.32% | -0.27 | 09/08 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 2.654×ATR | p0 | +1.144×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 6.032×ATR | p91 | -0.065×ATR | p7 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 8.118×ATR | p98 | -0.238×ATR | p22 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.444×ATR | p4 | +0.184×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.01382201
- tp_price: 0.01614375
- atr: 0.0007712
- expires_at: 2026-08-10T00:10:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 6
- total: 40
- score: 0.6833
- delta_2h: 0.0932
- extension_atr: -0.37
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5177
- confidence: 0.922
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01575 | 0.01382 | 0.01614 | 0.2 | 0.01391 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01575
- Stop Loss: 0.01382
- Take Profit: 0.01614
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01382 - 0.01575 = -0.00193
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01575 - 0.01614 = -0.00039
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00039 / -0.00193 = 0.2021
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65.353 | 65.353 | 4149.3991 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00193
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00193 = -4145.08
Taille de position USD = -4145.08 x 0.01575 = -65.29
Donc, tu peux acheter -4145.08 avec un stoploss a 0.01382
Avec un position size USD de -65.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4145.08 x -0.00193 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4145.08 x -0.00039 = 1.62
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.62$
Résumé
- Taille de position -4145.08
- Taille de position USD -65.29
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 1.62
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2021
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.48 % | 1.62 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.25 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.46 $ | -0.70 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8254 % | 6.74 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01575 | 0.01382 | 0.01614 | 0.2 | 0.01391 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01575
- Stop Loss: 0.01382
- Take Profit: 0.01614
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01382 - 0.01575 = -0.00193
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01575 - 0.01614 = -0.00039
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00039 / -0.00193 = 0.2021
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -12.254%
(0.0019)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.651% | 0.1R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.825% | 0.1R | -2.857% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.825% | 0.1R | -6.095% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.825% | 0.1R | -7.873% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.825% | 0.1R | -7.873% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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